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Arkansas vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 80-75
33-32 47-43
Position#224
Record4-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#32
Record5-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game64.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Arkansas v Duke
27 Nov 2025
ARKA71
DUKE80
29 Nov 2023
ARKA80
DUKE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#114
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H16/03
NCAA
Kansas
#23
W
72-71
72
71
+1
A18/03
NCAA
Uconn
#29
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A23/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
93-59
93
59
+34
H07/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#195
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H11/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H14/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H18/11
NCAA
Stanford
#259
W
77-74 OT
77
74
+3
H23/11
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A23/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-26
37-37
27-35
45-36
29-46
36-42
46-22
47-37
48-36
38-32
37-31
49-46
24-38
48-40
22-20
37-39
37-42
42-42
38-35
34-52
152.4Avg total
77.5Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.775.3156.0+5.457%
Season at home (5)82.871.2154.0+11.680%
Season away (2)75.585.5161.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)77.574.9152.4+2.660%
Last 5 (5)77.280.0157.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.083.1154.1-12.10%
vs Similar (17)74.369.9144.2+4.459%
vs Weaker (6)76.866.5143.3+10.383%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#122
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A11/03
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A12/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
W
74-51
74
51
+23
H16/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A18/03
NCAA
Dartmouth
#352
W
92-54
92
54
+38
H07/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H11/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A15/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#270
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H17/11
NCAA
La Salle
#222
W
95-66
95
66
+29
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-36
44-42
24-17
35-32
40-23
34-28
21-27
31-38
42-21
50-33
33-41
40-37
31-20
43-45
44-29
46-31
39-29
56-37
31-35
49-27
140.2Avg total
77.4Scored
62.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.064.2148.2+19.883%
Season at home (5)86.064.0150.0+22.080%
Season away (1)74.065.0139.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.462.8140.2+14.680%
Last 5 (5)82.466.2148.6+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.058.0121.0+5.050%
vs Similar (12)70.267.8138.1+2.458%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)78.165.1143.1+13.088%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +7.8+7.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +7.8+7.8
ArkansasDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#114
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H16/03
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A18/03
NCAA
Uconn
#29
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A23/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H07/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#195
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H11/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H14/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H18/11
NCAA
Stanford
#259
W
22-20
22
20
+2
H23/11
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A23/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A24/11
NCAA
67.5Avg total
34.4Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.631.566.1+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.129.764.7+5.467%-
Last 30 away (15)34.233.367.5+0.967%-
Last 10 (10)34.433.167.5+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)31.633.264.8-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.936.668.4-4.729%-
vs Similar (17)34.631.265.8+3.471%-
vs Weaker (6)38.026.364.3+11.7100%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#122
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A11/03
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
24-17
24
17
+7
A12/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H16/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A18/03
NCAA
Dartmouth
#352
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H07/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H11/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
31-20
31
20
+11
A15/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#270
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H17/11
NCAA
La Salle
#222
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H24/11
NCAA
62.4Avg total
34.6Scored
27.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.331.366.6+4.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.231.269.4+7.175%-
Last 30 away (14)31.931.463.3+0.664%-
Last 10 (10)34.627.862.4+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)35.630.866.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.525.055.5+5.550%-
vs Similar (12)33.333.466.8-0.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)37.430.467.8+6.975%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas wins
1
Duke wins
DateGameScore
27/03/22Duke v Arkansas78-69
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23ANorth Carolina72-87
23/11/23AMemphis79-84
23/11/23HStanford77-74 OT
18/11/23HNC Greensboro72-78
14/11/23HOld Dominion86-77
11/11/23HGardner Webb86-68
07/11/23HAlcorn State93-59
23/03/23AUconn65-88
18/03/23AKansas72-71
16/03/23HIllinois73-63
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23HSouthern Indiana80-62
22/11/23HLa Salle95-66
17/11/23HBucknell90-60
15/11/23AMichigan State74-65
11/11/23HArizona73-78
07/11/23HDartmouth92-54
18/03/23ATennessee52-65
16/03/23HOral Roberts74-51
12/03/23AVirginia59-49
11/03/23AMiami (FL)85-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %57%80%0%
Points / game80.782.875.5
Allowed / game75.371.285.5
Point differential+5.4+11.6-10.0
Avg total156.0154.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%20%0%
Duke
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %83%80%100%
Points / game84.086.074.0
Allowed / game64.264.065.0
Point differential+19.8+22.0+9.0
Avg total148.2150.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma660100%84.259.8+24.3
2 South Carolina660100%74.763.8+10.8
3 Ole Miss660100%72.264.5+7.7
4 Kentucky76186%94.472.3+22.1
5 Mississippi St.76186%73.460.3+13.1
6 Texas65183%82.067.2+14.8
7 Auburn54180%82.466.4+16.0
8 Missouri86275%74.666.6+8.0
9 Texas A&M86275%75.268.1+7.1
10 Alabama75271%94.976.3+18.6
11 Tennessee74357%76.367.0+9.3
12 Florida74357%84.175.7+8.4
13 LSU74357%74.769.0+5.7
14 Arkansas74357%80.775.3+5.4
15 Georgia63350%70.872.0-1.2
16 Vanderbilt63350%71.773.7-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson660100%80.568.5+12.0
2 North Carolina76186%87.472.3+15.1
3 Virginia76186%64.452.9+11.6
4 Duke65183%84.064.2+19.8
5 Florida State54180%83.273.8+9.4
6 Pittsburgh75271%84.764.3+20.4
7 Syracuse75271%78.469.4+9.0
8 Virginia Tech75271%76.967.9+9.0
9 Miami (FL)75271%83.175.7+7.4
10 NC State64267%77.570.2+7.3
11 Boston College64267%74.570.5+4.0
12 SMU Mustangs85362%72.563.9+8.6
13 Georgia Tech53260%72.873.8-1.0
14 Wake Forest74357%78.972.7+6.1
15 Louisville74357%76.474.6+1.9
16 Notre Dame63350%64.066.8-2.8
17 Stanford73443%79.177.7+1.4
18 California72529%73.373.4-0.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas334780
Duke324375
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