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Duke vs Ohio State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 81-72
39-29 42-43
Position#39
Record6-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game57.0
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Position#235
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game61.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#39
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H27/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H03/04
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
W
71-44
71
44
+27
H08/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#190
W
84-38
84
38
+46
H11/11
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A16/11
NCAA
Delaware
#201
W
92-58
92
58
+34
H19/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H22/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A24/11
NCAA
Xavier
#46
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A25/11
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-33
33-36
37-34
40-47
42-26
29-18
43-18
41-20
29-33
35-36
42-36
50-22
41-33
33-24
29-27
25-24
40-34
31-30
35-46
21-29
132.7Avg total
72.1Scored
60.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)70.857.0127.8+13.875%
Season at home (4)80.249.2129.5+31.0100%
Season away (4)61.264.8126.0-3.550%
Last 10 (10)72.160.6132.7+11.570%
Last 5 (5)69.461.0130.4+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)69.071.0140.0-2.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)77.464.9142.3+12.584%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#159
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H06/03
NCAA
Penn State
#234
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H11/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H18/03
NCAA
Villanova
#20
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A20/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
91-53
91
53
+38
H08/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
82-56
82
56
+26
H10/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
65-43
65
43
+22
H17/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A22/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
W
81-53
81
53
+28
A22/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-30
32-45
33-24
35-47
23-18
31-23
28-39
33-32
42-28
49-25
46-22
36-34
26-20
39-23
26-37
51-51
38-27
43-26
41-37
39-36
135.2Avg total
72.8Scored
62.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.361.0140.3+18.383%
Season at home (4)79.556.2135.8+23.2100%
Season away (2)79.070.5149.5+8.550%
Last 10 (10)72.862.4135.2+10.460%
Last 5 (5)77.062.6139.6+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)70.467.6138.0+2.840%
vs Similar (14)75.169.8144.9+5.364%
vs Weaker (11)73.061.0134.0+12.073%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +4.6+4.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +4.6+4.6
DukeOhio State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#39
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H27/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H03/04
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H08/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#190
W
43-18
43
18
+25
H11/11
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A16/11
NCAA
Delaware
#201
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H19/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A24/11
NCAA
Xavier
#46
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A25/11
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A27/11
NCAA
70.3Avg total
38.3Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.831.669.4+6.273%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.033.272.2+5.867%-
Last 30 away (12)35.929.265.1+6.783%-
Last 10 (10)38.332.070.3+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)37.435.272.6+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)35.035.870.8-0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)38.330.869.1+7.680%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#159
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H06/03
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H11/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
23-18
23
18
+5
H18/03
NCAA
Villanova
#20
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A20/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H08/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H10/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
26-20
26
20
+6
H17/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A22/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A22/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H23/11
NCAA
62.2Avg total
34.0Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.031.065.0+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.029.065.0+7.083%-
Last 30 away (12)31.134.065.1-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)34.028.262.2+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)35.428.664.0+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)31.032.063.0-1.040%-
vs Similar (14)35.633.469.0+2.364%-
vs Weaker (11)33.427.560.9+5.873%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Duke wins
1
Ohio State wins
DateGameScore
01/12/21Ohio State v Duke71-66
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/22APurdue56-75
25/11/22AXavier71-64
24/11/22AOregon State54-51
22/11/22HBellarmine74-57
19/11/22HDelaware92-58
16/11/22AKansas64-69
11/11/22HUSC Upstate84-38
08/11/22HJacksonville71-44
03/04/22HNorth Carolina77-81
27/03/22HArkansas78-69
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/22HTexas Tech80-73
22/11/22ACincinnati81-53
22/11/22ASan Diego State77-88
17/11/22HEastern Illinois65-43
10/11/22HCharleston Southern82-56
08/11/22HRobert Morris91-53
20/03/22AVillanova61-71
18/03/22HLoyola Chicago54-41
11/03/22HPenn State68-71
06/03/22HMichigan69-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game70.880.261.2
Allowed / game57.049.264.8
Point differential+13.8+31.0-3.5
Avg total127.8129.5126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ohio State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game79.379.579.0
Allowed / game61.056.270.5
Point differential+18.3+23.2+8.5
Avg total140.3135.8149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia660100%76.759.3+17.3
2 NC State87188%83.065.4+17.6
3 Virginia Tech87188%76.864.2+12.5
4 Wake Forest87188%81.269.2+12.0
5 Notre Dame65183%74.770.2+4.5
6 Duke86275%70.857.0+13.8
7 Clemson86275%75.866.6+9.1
8 North Carolina75271%82.675.1+7.4
9 Boston College75271%64.362.1+2.1
10 Miami (FL)149564%75.269.8+5.4
11 Pittsburgh85362%73.267.2+6.0
12 Georgia Tech74357%69.966.3+3.6
13 SMU Mustangs63350%67.365.2+2.2
14 Stanford73443%66.663.3+3.3
15 Syracuse73443%70.470.4+0.0
16 Florida State81712%66.175.4-9.2
17 California7070%58.465.9-7.4
18 Louisville7070%58.073.0-15.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana660100%88.859.3+29.5
2 Maryland770100%82.160.3+21.9
3 Purdue660100%76.859.5+17.3
4 Illinois76186%83.059.0+24.0
5 Iowa76186%86.467.9+18.6
6 Washington76186%70.463.7+6.7
7 Rutgers65183%76.852.8+24.0
8 Ohio State65183%79.361.0+18.3
9 Penn State86275%76.967.2+9.6
10 UCLA75271%83.063.9+19.1
11 Northwestern75271%64.156.7+7.4
12 Wisconsin75271%64.457.4+7.0
13 Michigan75271%76.070.0+6.0
14 Michigan State75271%73.970.7+3.1
15 USC74357%72.368.0+4.3
16 Nebraska74357%68.365.0+3.3
17 Minnesota74357%62.163.1-1.0
18 Oregon73443%68.065.0+3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke394281
Ohio State294372
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