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Durham Wildcats vs Worcester Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Apr 2015
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 79-110
17-23 21-30 15-29 26-28
Position#12
Record8-27
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#3
Record27-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game75.9
United KingdomSLBRound 30
Other2014-15
Meetings · Durham Wildcats v Worcester Wolves
19 Apr 2015
DURH79
WORC110
15 Feb 2015
DURH58
WORC66
18 Jan 2015
DURH84
WORC86
01 Dec 2013
DURH86
WORC100
24 Feb 2013
DURH79
WORC83
20 Jan 2013
DURH91
WORC98
24 Feb 2012
DURH70
WORC90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Durham Wildcats winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Worcester Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Durham WildcatsUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bristol Flyers
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H22/02
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#4
L
76-99
76
99
-23
H27/02
SLB
Worcester Wolves
#3
L
73-89
73
89
-16
A13/03
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#7
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A20/03
SLB
London Lions
#5
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H22/03
SLB
Plymouth Raiders
#10
L
87-94
87
94
-7
A26/03
SLB
Plymouth Raiders
#10
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H29/03
SLB
Leicester Riders
#2
L
67-101
67
101
-34
H05/04
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#4
L
58-91
58
91
-33
A12/04
SLB
London Lions
#5
L
0-20
0
20
-20
A17/04
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
25-16
16-23
14-29
20-17
29-23
10-36
17-23
20-29
16-26
19-19
18-15
10-26
16-21
11-21
35-17
21-9
17-21
18-29
15-24
27-28
22-19
20-24
18-23
15-16
12-22
25-15
15-22
12-28
19-22
27-30
9-21
9-21
16-23
30-26
3-21
–
–
–
–
146.5Avg total
64.4Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)71.879.1150.9-7.323%
Season at home (17)74.877.5152.4-2.735%
Season away (18)68.980.6149.4-11.711%
Last 10 (10)64.482.1146.5-17.70%
Last 5 (5)55.876.2132.0-20.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)66.881.3148.1-14.66%
vs Similar (8)71.977.9149.8-6.025%
vs Weaker (3)85.070.7155.7+14.367%
This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Worcester WolvesUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Glasgow Rocks
#6
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A22/02
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H27/02
SLB
Plymouth Raiders
#10
W
86-85
86
85
+1
H06/03
SLB
Durham Wildcats
#12
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H13/03
SLB
Leeds Force
#11
W
84-54
84
54
+30
A27/03
SLB
London Lions
#5
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A29/03
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#1
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H03/04
SLB
Glasgow Rocks
#6
W
92-80
92
80
+12
H10/04
SLB
Leicester Riders
#2
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A14/04
SLB
Leicester Riders
#2
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H17/04
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
15-27
14-15
16-25
21-16
27-13
16-15
23-21
19-28
26-26
23-11
18-20
29-20
26-16
19-19
15-18
16-19
26-5
21-16
21-14
15-15
22-19
15-27
18-27
24-23
16-15
22-21
26-22
23-18
24-18
25-17
20-27
21-20
14-18
14-8
14-20
16-16
16-11
22-17
23-23
154.4Avg total
79.6Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)81.475.9157.3+5.577%
Season at home (18)82.372.6154.9+9.794%
Season away (17)80.579.4159.8+1.159%
Last 10 (10)79.674.8154.4+4.870%
Last 5 (5)78.076.4154.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.777.8158.5+2.867%
vs Similar (10)79.283.3162.5-4.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)79.969.2149.1+10.8100%
This opponent (Durham Wildcats) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: -2.3-2.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: -2.3-2.3
Durham WildcatsWorcester Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Durham WildcatsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bristol Flyers
#8
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H22/02
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#4
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H27/02
SLB
Worcester Wolves
#3
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A13/03
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#7
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A20/03
SLB
London Lions
#5
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H22/03
SLB
Plymouth Raiders
#10
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A26/03
SLB
Plymouth Raiders
#10
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H29/03
SLB
Leicester Riders
#2
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H05/04
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#4
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A12/04
SLB
78.6Avg total
36.0Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.440.377.8-2.938%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.736.074.7+2.760%-
Last 30 away (14)36.145.081.1-8.914%-
Last 10 (9)36.042.678.6-6.644%-
Last 5 (5)34.041.875.8-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.441.878.2-5.529%-
vs Similar (8)39.539.078.5+0.562%-
vs Weaker (3)40.035.075.0+5.033%-
This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Worcester WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Glasgow Rocks
#6
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A22/02
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H27/02
SLB
Plymouth Raiders
#10
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H06/03
SLB
Durham Wildcats
#12
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H13/03
SLB
Leeds Force
#11
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A27/03
SLB
London Lions
#5
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A29/03
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H03/04
SLB
Glasgow Rocks
#6
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H10/04
SLB
Leicester Riders
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A14/04
SLB
Leicester Riders
#2
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H17/04
SLB
77.6Avg total
41.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.437.979.3+3.570%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.434.676.0+6.779%-
Last 30 away (16)41.440.782.1+0.862%-
Last 10 (10)41.136.577.6+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)38.234.672.8+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.038.578.5+1.567%-
vs Similar (10)39.740.980.6-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.335.779.0+7.685%-
This opponent (Durham Wildcats) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/15ALondon Lions0-20
12/04/15ACheshire Phoenix58-91
05/04/15HLeicester Riders67-101
29/03/15HPlymouth Raiders67-75
26/03/15APlymouth Raiders87-94
22/03/15HLondon Lions71-83
20/03/15ASheffield Sharks72-85
13/03/15AWorcester Wolves73-89
27/02/15HCheshire Phoenix76-99
22/02/15HBristol Flyers73-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/15HLeicester Riders77-67
14/04/15ALeicester Riders63-66
10/04/15HGlasgow Rocks92-80
03/04/15HNewcastle Eagles88-81
29/03/15ALondon Lions70-88
27/03/15ALeeds Force84-54
13/03/15HDurham Wildcats89-73
06/03/15HPlymouth Raiders86-85
27/02/15HSheffield Sharks87-65
22/02/15AGlasgow Rocks60-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Durham Wildcats
SLB 2014-15
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeLLLLL35%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %23%35%11%
Points / game71.874.868.9
Allowed / game79.177.580.6
Point differential-7.3-2.7-11.7
Avg total150.9152.4149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)60% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Worcester Wolves
SLB 2014-15
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW77%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWLWLL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %77%94%59%
Points / game81.482.380.5
Allowed / game75.972.679.4
Point differential+5.5+9.7+1.1
Avg total157.3154.9159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won77% (13)83% (6)71% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Newcastle Eagles3631586%97.182.2+14.8
2 Leicester Riders3630683%87.475.9+11.6
3 Worcester Wolves3527877%81.475.9+5.5
4 Cheshire Phoenix35251071%87.779.2+8.6
5 London Lions35201557%78.374.1+4.1
6 Glasgow Rocks35201557%81.479.8+1.5
7 Sheffield Sharks35191654%80.076.6+3.4
8 Bristol Flyers36132336%71.978.1-6.2
9 Manchester Giants35122334%81.986.4-4.5
10 Plymouth Raiders35112431%84.590.8-6.3
11 Leeds Force3692725%64.374.8-10.5
12 Durham Wildcats3582723%71.879.1-7.3
13 Surrey Scorchers3653114%73.788.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Durham Wildcats1721152679
Worcester Wolves23302928110
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