Dynamo Grozny will host Temp Sumz Revda in the Super League on 12 November 2026, a match where the margin of advantage is razor-thin as both sides sit at 7-1 and 6-1 respectively, with the home side only a point ahead in the standings. Dynamo has averaged 83.6 points per game while allowing 72.8, and on home soil they have scored 82.5 and given up 72.0, winning 3 of 4 home contests; their last five games saw four victories and one loss, highlighted by a 94-76 win over Rusichi Kursk. Temp Sumz Revda, meanwhile, has posted 91.1 points per game and 77.9 allowed, with a road record of 2-1 and an average of 88.0 points scored and 82.7 allowed on the road; their recent five games also include four wins and one defeat, including a 90-77 triumph over Rusichi Kursk. The teams are even on head-to-head, each winning two of the four meetings, the most recent being a 70-66 win for Dynamo in February 2026. Pythia assigns a 51% chance to the home team and 49% to the visitor, projecting a 81-81 draw and a total of 162.2 points; the home line is -1.5 with a 48% chance of covering, while the over on 160.5 carries a 53% probability, and there is a 5% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Temp Sumz Revda can sustain their offensive output against Dynamo's disciplined defence.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dynamo Grozny winLost
50.9%fair 1.96
Best odds1.79
Implied52.1%
Edge-1.2pp
Temp Sumz Revda winWon
49.1%fair 2.04
Best odds1.98
Implied47.9%
Edge+1.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 18:15 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Dynamo Grozny) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 157Actual: Over 157
Over 157
61.7%
Under 157
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 162.25 · main lineActual: Over 162.25
Over 162.25
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under 162.25
no forecast
@ 1.81
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.81
Over/Under 167Actual: Over 167
Over 167
37.4%
Under 167
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
📊 3. Team Totals
Dynamo Grozny total 77.5Actual: Dynamo Grozny over 77.5
Over 77.5
63.8%
@ 1.38+0.4pp
Under 77.5
36.2%
@ 2.39-0.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
Under
1xBet
2.39
Dynamo Grozny total 81.5 · main lineActual: Dynamo Grozny over 81.5
Over 81.5
48.6%
@ 1.81-1.7pp
Under 81.5
51.4%
@ 1.85+1.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.72
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.72
Dynamo Grozny total 85.5Actual: Dynamo Grozny over 85.5
Over 85.5
33.7%
@ 2.36-3.4pp
Under 85.5
66.3%
@ 1.39+3.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.36
Under
1xBet
1.39
Temp Sumz Revda total 76.5Actual: Temp Sumz Revda over 76.5
Over 76.5
66.4%
@ 1.37+2.6pp
Under 76.5
33.6%
@ 2.41-2.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.37
Under
1xBet
2.41
Temp Sumz Revda total 80.5 · main lineActual: Temp Sumz Revda over 80.5
Over 80.5
51.4%
@ 1.82+1.0pp
Under 80.5
48.6%
@ 1.84-1.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.82
1xBet
1.70
Under
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.74
Temp Sumz Revda total 84.5Actual: Temp Sumz Revda over 84.5
Over 84.5
36.3%
@ 2.34-1.1pp
Under 84.5
63.7%
@ 1.40+1.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.34
Under
1xBet
1.40
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Dynamo Grozny -4.5Actual: Temp Sumz Revda +4.5
DYNA -4.5
36.7%
@ 2.28-2.1pp
TEMP +4.5
63.3%
@ 1.47+2.1pp
Best 5 market prices
DYNA
1xBet
2.28
TEMP
Marathon Be
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Spread Dynamo Grozny -1.5 · main lineActual: Temp Sumz Revda +1.5
DYNA -1.5
48.1%
@ 1.87-1.9pp
TEMP +1.5
51.9%
@ 1.87+1.9pp
Best 5 market prices
DYNA
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
SBO
1.84
TEMP
Pinnacle
1.87
SBO
1.84
1xBet
1.82
Marathon Be
1.82
Spread Dynamo Grozny +1.5Actual: Temp Sumz Revda -1.5
DYNA +1.5
53.8%
@ 1.68-1.5pp
TEMP -1.5
46.2%
@ 2.12+1.5pp
Best 5 market prices
DYNA
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.58
Marathon Be
1.58
TEMP
1xBet
2.12
Marathon Be
2.12
Pinnacle
2.08
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
Dynamo GroznyTemp Sumz Revda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dynamo GroznyLast 10 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Novosibirsk
#10
L
12-15
12
15
-3
A23/05
Super League
Novosibirsk
#10
D
15-15
15
15
+0
H25/05
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
L
18-22
18
22
-4
H01/10
Super League
Tambov
#8
W
24-19
24
19
+5
H04/10
Super League
Novosibirsk
#10
L
12-17
12
17
-5
A12/10
Super League
Barnaul
#9
W
24-17
24
17
+7
A15/10
Super League
Khimki M.
#5
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H22/10
Super League
University-Ugra
#11
L
10-18
10
18
-8
H25/10
Super League
Rusichi Kursk
#14
W
21-19
21
19
+2
A02/11
Super League
Desna Bryansk
#13
L
14-20
14
20
-6
A05/11
Super League
36.2Avg total
17.7Scored
18.5Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)
19.9
17.4
37.3
+2.5
67%
33%
Last 30 at home (14)
20.9
17.9
38.8
+2.9
64%
36%
Last 30 away (16)
19.1
16.9
35.9
+2.2
69%
31%
Last 10 (10)
17.7
18.5
36.2
-0.8
40%
30%
Last 5 (5)
19.2
19.4
38.6
-0.2
60%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)
27.0
22.0
49.0
+5.0
100%
100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)
20.4
18.2
38.6
+2.2
77%
54%
vs Weaker (16)
19.1
16.4
35.4
+2.7
56%
12%
This opponent (Temp Sumz Revda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Dynamo Grozny under 87.5
73.0%
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-
-
-
-
+3.9pp
Won
Temp Sumz Revda over 74.5
73.2%
1.27
1xBet
1.27
-
-
-
-
+3.2pp
Won
Temp Sumz Revda +6.5
70.1%
1.31
1xBet
1.31
-
-
-
-
+2.1pp
Won
Temp Sumz Revda under 86.5
70.6%
1.29
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
-
+1.9pp
Lost
Dynamo Grozny over 75.5
70.8%
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
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Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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