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East Carolina vs UAB Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-87 (OT)
37-39 42-40 6-8
Position#310
Record5-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game76.3
vs
UAB 🏆
USA
Position#99
Record10-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · East Carolina v UAB
23 Jan 2027
EAST v UAB
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
EAST85
UAB87
11 Feb 2025
EAST82
UAB75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

East Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UAB winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

East CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#29
L
56-89
56
89
-33
H25/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H27/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H03/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H06/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
54-67
54
67
-13
H12/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H14/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H18/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
51-99
51
99
-48
A23/12
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-47
32-42
29-28
29-39
32-26
36-30
33-41
45-41
17-33
37-34
28-47
45-23
38-23
36-30
26-49
25-50
39-37
31-42
21-36
46-39
138.6Avg total
64.9Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)67.376.3143.6-9.133%
Season at home (11)69.072.6141.6-3.645%
Season away (4)62.586.5149.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)64.973.7138.6-8.830%
Last 5 (5)67.075.2142.2-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)68.579.2147.7-10.729%
vs Similar (12)73.774.8148.4-1.158%
vs Weaker (4)77.270.2147.5+7.0100%
This opponent (UAB) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UABUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#203
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A24/11
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H25/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A02/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A06/12
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H14/12
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
101-77
101
77
+24
H18/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
72-47
72
47
+25
H21/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H31/12
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
109-106 OT
109
106
+3
A04/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-35
45-38
37-34
38-25
33-32
28-44
33-32
41-37
39-35
46-51
42-37
59-40
42-26
30-21
42-29
28-46
36-38
47-45
33-40
38-36
154.3Avg total
79.9Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.273.2156.5+10.062%
Season at home (11)85.268.5153.7+16.664%
Season away (5)79.083.6162.6-4.660%
Last 10 (10)79.974.4154.3+5.560%
Last 5 (5)84.676.2160.8+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)96.088.0184.0+8.0100%
vs Similar (13)74.778.9153.6-4.231%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.069.4155.4+16.685%
This opponent (East Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.0-8.01st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +1.7+1.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.0-8.01st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +1.7+1.7
East CarolinaUAB
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
East CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#29
L
24-47
24
47
-23
H25/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H03/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H06/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
17-33
17
33
-16
H12/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H14/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H18/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A23/12
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H31/12
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A08/01
NCAA
65.4Avg total
28.7Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.236.667.8-5.337%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.134.366.4-2.250%-
Last 30 away (12)29.939.969.8-10.017%-
Last 10 (10)28.736.765.4-8.040%-
Last 5 (5)30.438.468.8-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.639.469.0-9.921%-
vs Similar (12)33.234.067.2-0.858%-
vs Weaker (4)31.234.265.5-3.025%-
This opponent (UAB) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#203
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A24/11
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H25/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A02/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A06/12
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H14/12
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H18/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H31/12
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A04/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H08/01
NCAA
71.1Avg total
37.3Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.133.973.0+5.273%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.333.675.9+8.875%-
Last 30 away (14)35.534.369.8+1.271%-
Last 10 (10)37.333.871.1+3.580%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.073.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.040.076.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (13)36.233.569.8+2.777%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.332.976.2+10.492%-
This opponent (East Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
East Carolina wins
2
UAB wins
DateGameScore
15/03/25UAB v East Carolina94-77
12/02/25East Carolina v UAB82-75
20/01/24UAB v East Carolina69-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26ATemple67-75
31/12/25HTulane70-79
23/12/25ANorth Carolina51-99
18/12/25HPresbyterian74-53
14/12/25HBuffalo73-70
12/12/25HAppalachian State54-67
06/12/25HNC Greensboro78-82
03/12/25HMd.-East. Shore68-56
27/11/25HSt. Bonaventure58-67
25/11/25HMichigan State56-89
UABlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26HFlorida Atlantic71-76
04/01/26ASouth Florida109-106 OT
31/12/25HWichita State70-75
21/12/25HUNC Asheville72-47
18/12/25HCleveland State101-77
14/12/25HTroy85-86
06/12/25ADrake74-69
02/12/25AMiddle Tenn. St.61-76
25/11/25HUTEP75-59
24/11/25ASouthern Illinois81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

East Carolina
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeLLWWL45%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %33%45%0%
Points / game67.369.062.5
Allowed / game76.372.686.5
Point differential-9.1-3.6-24.0
Avg total143.6141.6149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
UAB
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeLWWLL64%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %62%64%60%
Points / game83.285.279.0
Allowed / game73.268.583.6
Point differential+10.0+16.6-4.6
Avg total156.5153.7162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa1613381%87.871.6+16.1
2 Tulane1612475%74.272.9+1.3
3 Temple1611569%77.470.3+7.1
4 Florida Atlantic1711665%83.573.2+10.2
5 South Florida1610662%91.179.8+11.3
6 UAB1610662%83.273.2+10.0
7 North Texas1610662%69.964.1+5.9
8 Wichita State169756%78.269.0+9.2
9 Charlotte168850%74.273.0+1.2
10 Memphis157847%74.474.3+0.1
11 Rice167944%73.473.5-0.1
12 East Carolina1551033%67.376.3-9.1
13 UTSA Roadrunners1641225%68.277.6-9.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
East Carolina3742685
UAB3940887
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