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South Florida vs UAB Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 106-109 (OT)
38-36 45-47 23-26
Position#40
Record8-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game78.4
South Florida
USA
vs
UAB 🏆
USA
Position#99
Record9-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · South Florida v UAB
04 Jan 2026
SOUT106
UAB109
15 Jan 2025
SOUT83
UAB92
16 Mar 2024
SOUT83
UAB93
21 Nov 2022
SOUT65
UAB80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Florida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UAB winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#113
W
108-89
108
89
+19
A16/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
95-103
95
103
-8
A20/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H26/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
97-91 OT
97
91
+6
H27/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
68-83
68
83
-15
H28/11
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H05/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H11/12
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
93-104
93
104
-11
A18/12
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H21/12
NCAA
Georgia College
#688
W
111-50
111
50
+61
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
56-41
52-48
45-44
50-59
33-36
33-42
40-50
44-34
29-33
39-50
41-20
33-41
46-43
35-32
39-46
54-58
45-29
49-40
61-31
50-19
169.0Avg total
88.7Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)91.178.4169.5+12.762%
Season at home (9)88.169.3157.4+18.878%
Season away (4)97.898.8196.5-1.025%
Last 10 (10)88.780.3169.0+8.460%
Last 5 (5)90.671.8162.4+18.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.279.7149.8-9.50%
vs Similar (16)74.575.8150.2-1.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)93.079.7172.7+13.371%
This opponent (UAB) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UABUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rhodes Lynx
#534
W
112-56
112
56
+56
H18/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A24/11
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H25/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A02/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A06/12
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H14/12
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
101-77
101
77
+24
H18/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
72-47
72
47
+25
H21/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
60-34
52-22
36-26
44-46
36-35
45-38
37-34
38-25
33-32
28-44
33-32
41-37
39-35
46-51
42-37
59-40
42-26
30-21
42-29
28-46
150.1Avg total
81.1Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.370.7153.0+11.664%
Season at home (10)86.667.8154.4+18.870%
Season away (4)71.578.0149.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)81.169.0150.1+12.170%
Last 5 (5)80.470.8151.2+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)89.579.0168.5+10.5100%
vs Similar (13)74.277.8151.9-3.638%
vs Weaker (14)86.770.0156.7+16.786%
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +8.0+8.02nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +4.1+4.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +8.0+8.02nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +4.1+4.1
South FloridaUAB
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#113
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A16/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A20/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H26/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H27/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H28/11
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H05/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H11/12
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A18/12
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Georgia College
#688
W
61-31
61
31
+30
H29/12
NCAA
80.8Avg total
43.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.037.174.1-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.834.971.8+1.947%-
Last 30 away (13)37.239.977.2-2.731%-
Last 10 (10)43.537.380.8+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)46.433.880.2+12.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.540.872.3-9.317%-
vs Similar (16)34.235.669.9-1.431%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.638.182.7+6.471%-
This opponent (UAB) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rhodes Lynx
#534
W
60-34
60
34
+26
H18/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A24/11
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H25/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A02/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A06/12
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H14/12
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H18/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H31/12
NCAA
72.0Avg total
40.0Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.233.372.5+5.980%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.132.874.9+9.282%-
Last 30 away (13)35.534.069.5+1.577%-
Last 10 (10)40.032.072.0+8.0100%-
Last 5 (5)39.631.871.4+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)36.041.077.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (13)36.232.869.0+3.385%-
vs Weaker (14)43.032.775.7+10.393%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
South Florida wins
5
UAB wins
DateGameScore
16/02/25UAB v South Florida85-78
16/01/25South Florida v UAB83-92
16/03/24South Florida v UAB83-93
07/01/24UAB v South Florida75-71
21/11/22South Florida v UAB65-80
South Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/25HGeorgia College111-50
21/12/25HUMBC Retrievers94-69
18/12/25AAlabama93-104
11/12/25HCharleston81-75
05/12/25HUtah State74-61
28/11/25HColorado State68-83
27/11/25HWestern Kentucky97-91 OT
26/11/25HVCU Rams66-78
20/11/25AOklahoma State95-103
16/11/25AKennesaw State108-89
UABlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25HWichita State70-75
21/12/25HUNC Asheville72-47
18/12/25HCleveland State101-77
14/12/25HTroy85-86
06/12/25ADrake74-69
02/12/25AMiddle Tenn. St.61-76
25/11/25HUTEP75-59
24/11/25ASouthern Illinois81-73
22/11/25HSouth Alabama80-72
18/11/25HRhodes Lynx112-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Florida
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %62%78%25%
Points / game91.188.197.8
Allowed / game78.469.398.8
Point differential+12.7+18.8-1.0
Avg total169.5157.4196.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%56%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %8%11%0%
UAB
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL64%
HomeWLWWL70%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %64%70%50%
Points / game82.386.671.5
Allowed / game70.767.878.0
Point differential+11.6+18.8-6.5
Avg total153.0154.4149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa1413193%89.970.1+19.9
2 Tulane1410471%73.874.9-1.1
3 Temple1510567%77.570.5+7.0
4 UAB149564%82.370.7+11.6
5 Florida Atlantic149564%84.973.4+11.5
6 North Texas149564%69.863.1+6.6
7 South Florida138562%91.178.4+12.7
8 Wichita State159660%79.269.2+10.0
9 Memphis147750%74.173.2+0.9
10 Charlotte157847%74.374.0+0.3
11 Rice156940%73.974.1-0.3
12 East Carolina145936%67.376.4-9.1
13 UTSA Roadrunners1441029%70.177.3-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
South Florida384523106
UAB364726109
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