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East Carolina vs UAB Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#123
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Position#220
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game74.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · East Carolina v UAB
23 Jan 2027
EAST v UAB
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
EAST85
UAB87
11 Feb 2025
EAST82
UAB75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

East Carolina win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UAB win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

East CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#71
L
89-92 OT
89
92
-3
H19/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A21/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
82-81
82
81
+1
A26/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H01/03
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
66-93
66
93
-27
H06/03
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A08/03
NCAA
USC Upstate
#332
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H03/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#19
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H07/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#194
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#305
W
72-48
72
48
+24
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-37
36-32
25-36
31-32
34-43
48-38
44-30
40-38
28-53
38-40
44-41
39-49
44-32
39-38
33-31
42-47
35-28
37-39
33-21
39-27
151.7Avg total
76.2Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.565.8141.2+9.875%
Season at home (4)75.565.8141.2+9.875%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.275.5151.7+0.750%
Last 5 (5)77.070.6147.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)70.677.5148.1-6.926%
vs Similar (3)70.067.3137.3+2.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)81.267.8149.0+13.5100%
This opponent (UAB) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UABUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#205
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A19/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A22/02
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
58-62
58
62
-4
H01/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A05/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H08/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H13/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#153
L
78-99
78
99
-21
A02/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#203
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#309
W
92-64
92
64
+28
H10/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#214
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-33
37-38
46-30
32-37
28-21
30-41
33-35
47-39
41-44
49-39
33-31
45-52
35-44
43-55
36-30
34-33
47-27
45-37
30-35
38-36
150.5Avg total
76.8Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.074.2151.2+2.850%
Season at home (2)81.063.5144.5+17.5100%
Season away (2)73.085.0158.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)76.873.7150.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)77.276.0153.2+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)78.585.3163.8-6.850%
vs Similar (9)71.373.1144.4-1.833%
vs Weaker (15)79.870.7150.5+9.180%
This opponent (East Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -0.7-0.7
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -0.7-0.7
East CarolinaUAB
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
East CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#71
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H19/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A21/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A26/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H01/03
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
28-53
28
53
-25
H06/03
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A08/03
NCAA
USC Upstate
#332
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H03/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#19
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H07/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#194
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H11/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#305
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H14/11
NCAA
70.5Avg total
35.3Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.836.168.9-3.347%-
Last 30 at home (20)33.434.968.2-1.550%-
Last 30 away (10)31.738.670.3-6.940%-
Last 10 (10)35.335.270.5+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.830.668.4+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)31.337.669.0-6.335%-
vs Similar (3)35.330.365.7+5.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.231.871.0+7.575%-
This opponent (UAB) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#205
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A19/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A22/02
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A05/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H08/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H13/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#153
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A02/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#203
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H07/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#309
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H10/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#214
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A15/11
NCAA
69.8Avg total
36.8Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.234.770.8+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.634.971.5+1.862%-
Last 30 away (14)35.634.470.1+1.257%-
Last 10 (10)36.833.069.8+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)36.233.469.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.538.773.2-4.217%-
vs Similar (9)34.933.067.9+1.967%-
vs Weaker (15)37.634.171.7+3.573%-
This opponent (East Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
East Carolina wins
4
UAB wins
DateGameScore
08/03/26UAB v East Carolina90-83
11/01/26East Carolina v UAB85-87 OT
15/03/25UAB v East Carolina94-77
12/02/25East Carolina v UAB82-75
20/01/24UAB v East Carolina69-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HDelaware State72-48
11/11/26HN. Carolina A&T72-67
07/11/26HNC Wilmington75-78
03/11/26HUSC Upstate83-70
08/03/26AUAB83-90
06/03/26HTulsa66-93
01/03/26HMemphis84-68
26/02/26AUTSA Roadrunners82-81
21/02/26ACharlotte56-68
19/02/26HWichita State89-92 OT
UABlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AJacksonville State68-71
10/11/26HFlorida A&M92-64
07/11/26HNicholls State70-63
02/11/26AMcNeese State78-99
13/03/26HCharlotte78-83
08/03/26HEast Carolina90-83
05/03/26ACharlotte80-74
01/03/26HNorth Texas58-62
22/02/26AMemphis78-67
19/02/26ATemple76-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

East Carolina
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWLWW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game75.575.5-
Allowed / game65.865.8-
Point differential+9.8+9.8-
Avg total141.2141.2-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%-
UAB
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game77.081.073.0
Allowed / game74.263.585.0
Point differential+2.8+17.5-12.0
Avg total151.2144.5158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa330100%90.765.3+25.3
2 North Texas43175%84.064.5+19.5
3 Wichita State43175%88.570.0+18.5
4 East Carolina43175%75.565.8+9.8
5 Florida Atlantic43175%79.577.5+2.0
6 UTSA Roadrunners32167%76.774.0+2.7
7 Memphis32167%83.389.7-6.3
8 South Florida42250%82.874.8+8.0
9 Rice42250%81.274.0+7.2
10 Tulane42250%81.278.2+3.0
11 UAB42250%77.074.2+2.8
12 Charlotte42250%69.267.8+1.5
13 Temple31233%67.375.3-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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