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Eastern Illinois vs IPFW Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Projected 77-69
Projected total 145.9
Scheduled
Position#323
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game80.0
Eastern Illinois
USA
Vs
75%
25%
■ EAST 75%■ IPFW 25%
Pythia win probability
IPFW
USA
Position#277
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game74.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Eastern Illinois faces IPFW on 15 November 2026 in an NCAA matchup where the model names Eastern Illinois as the favourite, giving it a 75% chance of winning largely because of their 1-3 record and 69.0 points per game compared with IPFW's 1-2 record and 77.7 points per game; the model also notes Eastern Illinois' 102.0 points per game at home versus IPFW's 71.0 on the road. Eastern Illinois has a 1-0 home record, having beaten Blackburn 102-44, while IPFW is 0-1 on the road after a 71-78 loss to Duquesne; the last five games for Eastern Illinois were 1-4, and for IPFW 2-3. Their only previous meeting, on 4 December 2019, ended with IPFW winning 74-69. The model projects a 77-69 score, with a total of 145.9 points, and gives Eastern Illinois a 82% probability of covering the 3.5-point line. The over line of 147.0 has a 47% chance, and the game has a 4% overtime probability. IPFW's recent home win over Albion 103-65 shows they can punch above their weight, but Eastern Illinois's dominant home performance suggests they will control the game.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eastern Illinois win
75.3%fair 1.33
Best odds2.32
Implied42.4%
Edge+32.9pp
IPFW win
24.7%fair 4.04
Best odds1.67
Implied57.6%
Edge-32.9pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Eastern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#112
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H20/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H21/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A27/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
50-77
50
77
-27
A28/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
77-71 OT
77
71
+6
A05/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Indiana
#49
L
57-91
57
91
-34
A03/11
NCAA
Iowa
#151
L
47-91
47
91
-44
A07/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#37
L
70-94
70
94
-24
A10/11
NCAA
Blackburn
#511
W
102-44
102
44
+58
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-29
42-44
20-36
48-34
36-29
35-38
26-35
24-42
40-31
25-34
22-27
41-39
23-44
34-47
20-41
27-50
33-46
37-48
53-24
49-20
141.9Avg total
67.5Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.080.0149.0-11.025%
Season at home (1)102.044.0146.0+58.0100%
Season away (3)58.092.0150.0-34.00%
Last 10 (10)67.574.4141.9-6.930%
Last 5 (5)67.877.2145.0-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)64.276.4140.6-12.225%
vs Similar (9)66.266.2132.4+0.044%
vs Weaker (3)79.063.3142.3+15.767%
This opponent (IPFW) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IPFWUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A13/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H15/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A19/02
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Wright State
#94
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H26/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A04/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#77
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A04/11
NCAA
Albion
#444
W
103-65
103
65
+38
H08/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#103
L
59-81
59
81
-22
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-42
36-34
42-36
41-42
33-42
38-45
43-40
49-46
26-31
44-43
40-43
47-38
22-34
34-30
37-36
34-42
60-26
43-39
28-35
31-46
152.1Avg total
75.1Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.774.7152.3+3.033%
Season at home (2)81.073.0154.0+8.050%
Season away (1)71.078.0149.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)75.177.0152.1-1.940%
Last 5 (5)75.273.8149.0+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.779.9151.6-8.143%
vs Similar (13)70.275.4145.5-5.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.377.3160.7+6.078%
This opponent (Eastern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 141
Over 141
61.4%
Under 141
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 146 · main line
Over 146
49.1%
@ 1.89-1.4pp
Under 146
50.9%
@ 1.93+1.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Under
Marathon Be
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
Over/Under 151
Over 151
36.9%
Under 151
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Eastern Illinois total 67.5
Over 67.5
no forecast
@ 1.39
Under 67.5
no forecast
@ 2.60
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Under
Betano
2.60
Eastern Illinois total 71.5 · main line
Over 71.5
70.1%
@ 1.88+20.1pp
Under 71.5
29.9%
@ 1.91-20.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.82
Under
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.88
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Eastern Illinois total 75.5
Over 75.5
55.2%
@ 2.45+18.1pp
Under 75.5
44.8%
@ 1.44-18.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.44
IPFW total 71
Over 71
41.7%
Under 71
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IPFW total 75 · main line
Over 75
27.2%
@ 1.85-23.1pp
Under 75
72.8%
@ 1.86+23.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
IPFW total 79
Over 79
16.0%
Under 79
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Eastern Illinois 0
EAST 0
75.3%
IPFW 0
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
EAST
No market prices yet.
IPFW
No market prices yet.
Spread Eastern Illinois +3 · main line
EAST +3
82.0%
@ 1.92+31.9pp
IPFW -3
18.0%
@ 1.93-31.9pp
Best 5 market prices
EAST
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathon Be
1.89
1xBet
1.89
SBO
1.88
IPFW
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.82
1xBet
1.82
SBO
1.81
Spread Eastern Illinois +6
EAST +6
88.2%
IPFW -6
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
EAST
No market prices yet.
IPFW
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.1-4.11st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: -0.8-0.8
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.1-4.11st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: -0.8-0.8
Eastern IllinoisIPFW
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Eastern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#112
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H20/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
20-36
20
36
-16
H21/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A27/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A28/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A05/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
22-27
22
27
-5
A06/03
NCAA
Indiana
#49
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A03/11
NCAA
Iowa
#151
L
20-41
20
41
-21
A07/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#37
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A10/11
NCAA
Blackburn
#511
W
53-24
53
24
+29
H12/11
NCAA
64.3Avg total
30.1Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 70
Last 30 (30)33.332.565.9+0.847%33%
Last 30 at home (14)36.130.967.0+5.357%43%
Last 30 away (16)30.934.064.9-3.138%25%
Last 10 (10)30.134.264.3-4.130%30%
Last 5 (5)30.236.466.6-6.220%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)32.135.567.6-3.438%44%
vs Similar (9)30.030.360.3-0.344%0%
vs Weaker (3)37.028.365.3+8.767%33%
This opponent (IPFW) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IPFWLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A13/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H15/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A19/02
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Wright State
#94
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H26/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A28/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A04/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#77
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A04/11
NCAA
Albion
#444
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H08/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#103
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H13/11
NCAA
71.9Avg total
35.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 70
Last 30 (30)35.237.772.9-2.437%77%
Last 30 at home (15)37.835.473.2+2.447%80%
Last 30 away (15)32.739.972.6-7.327%73%
Last 10 (10)35.436.571.9-1.140%60%
Last 5 (5)37.434.872.2+2.640%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.439.372.7-5.929%86%
vs Similar (13)32.436.869.2-4.523%62%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.038.976.9-0.956%89%
This opponent (Eastern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
EAST win
no forecast
@ 2.20
IPFW win
no forecast
@ 1.67
1st half Spread Eastern Illinois +1.5 · main line
EAST +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
IPFW -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 70 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Eastern Illinois 1st half total 34 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
IPFW 1st half total 36 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Over/Under 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.10
Under
no forecast
@ 1.65
1st half Spread Eastern Illinois +2.5
EAST +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.75
IPFW -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
1st half Spread Eastern Illinois +3.5
EAST +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
IPFW -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Over/Under 66.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.50
Under
no forecast
@ 2.40
1st half Over/Under 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.47
Under
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Eastern Illinois -1.5
EAST -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
IPFW +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
1st half Spread Eastern Illinois +4.5
EAST +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
IPFW -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
1st half Spread Eastern Illinois -2.5
EAST -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.65
IPFW +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
1st half Spread Eastern Illinois +5.5
EAST +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
IPFW -5.5
no forecast
@ 2.65
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
EAST
no forecast
@ 2.25
Draw
no forecast
@ 21.00
IPFW
no forecast
@ 1.73

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
EAST win + total 146.5
🔒 Pro
IPFW win + total 146.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: EAST leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Eastern Illinois (regulation)72.8%2.39
Betano
2.40
Marathon Bet
2.38
1xBet
2.38		--+34.8pp
Eastern Illinois +176.9%2.26
Pinnacle
2.26		----+34.5pp
Eastern Illinois win75.3%2.25
Betano
2.32
Pinnacle
2.27
Bet365
2.27
Marathon Bet
2.25
WilliamHill
2.25		+32.9pp
IPFW under 7572.8%1.86
Marathon Bet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85		--+23.1pp
Eastern Illinois over 70.573.5%1.74
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.70		---+20.7pp
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■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Eastern Illinois wins
1
IPFW wins
DateGameScore
05/12/19IPFW v Eastern Illinois74-69
Eastern Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HBlackburn102-44
10/11/26ANotre Dame70-94
07/11/26AIowa47-91
03/11/26AIndiana57-91
06/03/26AUT Martin63-66
05/03/26ASiu Edwardsville77-71 OT
28/02/26ASiu Edwardsville50-77
27/02/26ALindenwood71-67
21/02/26HSouthern Indiana68-70
20/02/26HMorehead State70-73
IPFWlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HWestern Michigan59-81
08/11/26HAlbion103-65
04/11/26ADuquesne71-78
04/03/26AWisc. Green Bay56-64
28/02/26AIU Indy87-81
26/02/26HWright State70-74
22/02/26ACleveland State92-86
19/02/26ANorthern Kentucky71-87
15/02/26HIU Indy83-78
13/02/26AWisc. Green Bay59-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Eastern Illinois
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game69.0102.058.0
Allowed / game80.044.092.0
Point differential-11.0+58.0-34.0
Avg total149.0146.0150.0
Over 14650%0%67%
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
IPFW
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game77.781.071.0
Allowed / game74.773.078.0
Point differential+3.0+8.0-7.0
Avg total152.3154.0149.0
Over 14667%50%100%
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State42250%98.077.8+20.2
2 UT Martin42250%85.074.2+10.8
3 Southeast Missouri State42250%79.877.5+2.2
4 Tennessee Tech42250%92.090.0+2.0
5 Morehead State42250%77.081.2-4.2
6 Lindenwood52340%82.069.8+12.2
7 Siu Edwardsville52340%71.672.8-1.2
8 Southern Indiana41325%78.066.5+11.5
9 Western Illinois41325%74.573.2+1.2
10 UALR41325%76.085.5-9.5
11 Eastern Illinois41325%69.080.0-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wright State440100%91.269.0+22.2
2 Wisc. Green Bay53260%75.266.8+8.4
3 Youngstown State42250%74.080.5-6.5
4 Cleveland State42250%75.288.0-12.8
5 Wisc. Milwaukee52340%76.077.4-1.4
6 Northern Kentucky52340%74.693.4-18.8
7 IPFW31233%77.774.7+3.0
8 Oakland61517%70.891.8-21.0
9 Robert Morris3030%52.780.3-27.7
10 Detroit3030%53.092.7-39.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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