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Eastern Kentucky vs Bellarmine Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 87-74
Projected total 160.7
Scheduled
Position#87
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game66.5
Vs
88%
12%
■ EAST 88%■ BELL 12%
Pythia win probability
Position#341
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game83.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Eastern Kentucky v Bellarmine
20 Nov 2026
EAST v BELL
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
EAST89
BELL69
18 Jan 2025
EAST72
BELL69
20 Jan 2024
EAST82
BELL70
28 Jan 2023
EAST73
BELL63
26 Feb 2022
EAST72
BELL58
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Eastern Kentucky host Bellarmine in the NCAA. Pythia makes Eastern Kentucky the favourite at 88% and projects 87-74, about 161 points in all. Overtime chance: 3%. Eastern Kentucky are 3-1 this season (97.0 scored, 66.5 allowed a game), form LWWLW; Bellarmine are 1-4 this season (70.4 scored, 83.8 allowed a game), form LLLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eastern Kentucky win
87.7%fair 1.14
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bellarmine win
12.3%fair 8.15
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Eastern KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Alabama
#341
L
78-84 OT
78
84
-6
A15/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
81-80 OT
81
80
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
95-92
95
92
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
L
79-96
79
96
-17
H26/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Stetson
#304
L
76-92
76
92
-16
H04/03
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#489
W
105-54
105
54
+51
H03/11
NCAA
Midway
#483
W
106-68
106
68
+38
H07/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#65
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A11/11
NCAA
Kentucky State
#478
W
106-59
106
59
+47
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-32
40-39
34-28
35-41
53-42
42-50
50-45
29-51
41-42
36-38
41-54
35-38
55-22
50-32
48-25
58-43
42-41
29-44
39-23
67-36
166.4Avg total
87.4Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)97.066.5163.5+30.575%
Season at home (3)105.760.3166.0+45.3100%
Season away (1)71.085.0156.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)87.479.0166.4+8.450%
Last 5 (5)92.871.6164.4+21.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.879.9151.7-8.120%
vs Similar (10)80.681.3161.9-0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.881.4172.1+9.450%
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#313
L
92-95
92
95
-3
H22/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A26/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
W
111-97
111
97
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H04/03
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A06/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#14
L
47-93
47
93
-46
A03/11
NCAA
Indiana
#47
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A05/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#74
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A07/11
NCAA
Franklin
#374
W
99-82
99
82
+17
H12/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#178
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-53
50-42
29-34
39-39
48-46
63-51
47-32
35-47
34-48
39-38
17-44
30-49
26-50
43-42
31-36
42-44
55-25
44-57
31-27
33-45
162.7Avg total
77.8Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.483.8154.2-13.420%
Season at home (2)81.577.0158.5+4.550%
Season away (3)63.088.3151.3-25.30%
Last 10 (10)77.884.9162.7-7.130%
Last 5 (5)70.483.8154.2-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.284.9159.1-10.614%
vs Similar (10)79.679.6159.2+0.060%
vs Weaker (5)89.280.6169.8+8.640%
This opponent (Eastern Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 147
Over 147
80.3%
Under 147
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152
Over 152
70.4%
Under 152
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157
Over 157
58.7%
Under 157
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Eastern Kentucky total 82
Over 82
70.0%
Under 82
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eastern Kentucky total 86
Over 86
54.2%
Under 86
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eastern Kentucky total 90
Over 90
37.6%
Under 90
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bellarmine total 62
Over 62
88.3%
Under 62
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bellarmine total 66
Over 66
78.2%
Under 66
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bellarmine total 70
Over 70
64.3%
Under 70
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Eastern Kentucky -3
EAST -3
83.3%
BELL +3
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
EAST
No market prices yet.
BELL
No market prices yet.
Spread Eastern Kentucky 0
EAST 0
87.7%
BELL 0
12.3%
Best 5 market prices
EAST
No market prices yet.
BELL
No market prices yet.
Spread Eastern Kentucky +3
EAST +3
91.7%
BELL -3
8.3%
Best 5 market prices
EAST
No market prices yet.
BELL
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -3.6-3.6
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -3.6-3.6
Eastern KentuckyBellarmine
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Eastern KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Alabama
#341
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A15/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H19/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A22/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H26/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Stetson
#304
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H04/03
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#489
W
55-22
55
22
+33
H03/11
NCAA
Midway
#483
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H07/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#65
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A11/11
NCAA
Kentucky State
#478
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H14/11
NCAA
78.8Avg total
43.4Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.737.275.9+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.335.976.2+4.450%-
Last 30 away (14)36.938.775.6-1.857%-
Last 10 (10)43.435.478.8+8.070%-
Last 5 (5)45.033.078.0+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.539.873.3-6.330%-
vs Similar (10)38.535.974.4+2.670%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.539.282.8+4.250%-
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#313
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H22/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A26/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H04/03
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A06/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#14
L
17-44
17
44
-27
A03/11
NCAA
Indiana
#47
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A05/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#74
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/11
NCAA
Franklin
#374
W
55-25
55
25
+30
H12/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#178
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H14/11
NCAA
75.5Avg total
36.0Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.940.176.0-4.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.135.674.7+3.573%-
Last 30 away (15)32.644.677.2-12.013%-
Last 10 (10)36.039.575.5-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)32.036.468.4-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)32.742.675.4-9.929%-
vs Similar (10)36.240.076.2-3.850%-
vs Weaker (5)40.236.276.4+4.060%-
This opponent (Eastern Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Eastern Kentucky wins
3
Bellarmine wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HKentucky State106-59
11/11/26AGeorgia Tech71-85
07/11/26HMidway106-68
03/11/26HKentucky Christian105-54
04/03/26HStetson76-92
28/02/26HLipscomb77-80
26/02/26HQueens Royals79-96
22/02/26ABellarmine95-92
19/02/26HWest Georgia81-80 OT
15/02/26ANorth Alabama78-84 OT
Bellarminelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HNorthern Illinois64-72
12/11/26HFranklin99-82
07/11/26AMiami (Ohio)73-80
05/11/26AIndiana69-92
03/11/26AVanderbilt47-93
06/03/26ACentral Arkansas73-86
04/03/26HJacksonville Dolphins82-79
28/02/26HAustin Peay111-97
26/02/26ANorth Alabama68-73
22/02/26HEastern Kentucky92-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Eastern Kentucky
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game97.0105.771.0
Allowed / game66.560.385.0
Point differential+30.5+45.3-14.0
Avg total163.5166.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bellarmine
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game70.481.563.0
Allowed / game83.877.088.3
Point differential-13.4+4.5-25.3
Avg total154.2158.5151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Eastern Kentucky43175%97.066.5+30.5
2 Lipscomb53260%74.876.4-1.6
3 Queens Royals53260%89.2100.2-11.0
4 Central Arkansas42250%84.570.0+14.5
5 Austin Peay42250%80.068.2+11.8
6 North Alabama42250%69.879.0-9.2
7 Florida Gulf Coast52340%87.072.6+14.4
8 North Florida41325%64.885.8-21.0
9 Bellarmine51420%70.483.8-13.4
10 West Georgia4040%62.279.0-16.8
11 Stetson4040%60.583.0-22.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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