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Eastern Kentucky vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 83-95
38-53 45-42
Position#313
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Mercer 🏆
USA
Position#117
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game80.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eastern Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Eastern KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Queens Royals
#143
W
86-80 OT
86
80
+6
H15/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H19/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A20/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A25/02
NCAA
North Florida
#228
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A27/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A04/03
NCAA
Midway
#519
W
122-60
122
60
+62
H07/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H11/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
62-92
62
92
-30
A13/11
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-47
30-25
34-27
32-30
28-37
46-43
28-32
27-27
44-39
42-42
41-30
26-48
60-18
62-42
36-37
43-50
27-45
35-47
34-53
44-40
154.2Avg total
77.5Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.283.0168.2+2.225%
Season at home (2)100.573.5174.0+27.050%
Season away (2)70.092.5162.5-22.50%
Last 10 (10)77.576.7154.2+0.840%
Last 5 (5)81.682.0163.6-0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.881.2154.0-8.525%
vs Similar (9)73.479.4152.9-6.033%
vs Weaker (12)85.474.2159.6+11.275%
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#361
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A20/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
61-78
61
78
-17
H22/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H01/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H07/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A08/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A04/11
NCAA
La Grange
#604
W
101-62
101
62
+39
H06/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H09/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
69-105
69
105
-36
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-25
33-27
29-26
32-52
31-28
27-31
36-28
45-41
29-29
38-37
34-28
27-48
21-33
40-43
56-28
45-34
46-35
46-42
39-50
30-55
143.3Avg total
71.3Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.880.0160.8+0.850%
Season at home (2)96.569.5166.0+27.0100%
Season away (2)65.090.5155.5-25.50%
Last 10 (10)71.372.0143.3-0.750%
Last 5 (5)76.879.2156.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)72.981.9154.8-8.914%
vs Similar (7)71.478.0149.4-6.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)80.366.4146.8+13.989%
This opponent (Eastern Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: -4.7-4.7
Eastern KentuckyMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Eastern KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Queens Royals
#143
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H15/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A20/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A25/02
NCAA
North Florida
#228
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A27/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A04/03
NCAA
Midway
#519
W
60-18
60
18
+42
H07/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H11/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A13/11
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A19/11
NCAA
73.9Avg total
37.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.536.774.2+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.635.676.2+5.164%-
Last 30 away (16)34.737.872.4-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)37.436.573.9+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.676.2+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.841.174.9-7.425%-
vs Similar (9)37.736.173.8+1.644%-
vs Weaker (12)38.434.472.8+4.067%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#361
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A20/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H22/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A26/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H01/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H07/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A08/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A04/11
NCAA
La Grange
#604
W
56-28
56
28
+28
H06/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H09/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A15/11
NCAA
66.0Avg total
35.0Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.935.171.1+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.032.669.6+4.457%-
Last 30 away (16)35.037.472.4-2.450%-
Last 10 (10)35.031.066.0+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.234.874.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.038.773.7-3.736%-
vs Similar (7)34.735.370.0-0.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.329.467.8+8.989%-
This opponent (Eastern Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Eastern Kentucky wins
0
Mercer wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25AKent State78-93
13/11/25AVanderbilt62-92
11/11/25HWestern Kentucky79-87
07/11/25HMidway122-60
04/03/25AJacksonville Dolphins67-78
27/02/25ANorth Florida86-81
25/02/25AJacksonville Dolphins55-59
20/02/25ABellarmine74-80
19/02/25HLipscomb66-57
15/02/25HQueens Royals86-80 OT
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25AWinthrop69-105
09/11/25HLipscomb92-77
06/11/25HLa Grange101-62
04/11/25ATennessee61-76
08/03/25AChattanooga Mocs61-76
07/03/25HWestern Carolina67-66
01/03/25HWestern Carolina81-69
26/02/25AEast Tennessee St58-59
22/02/25HNC Greensboro61-78
20/02/25ACitadel62-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Eastern Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game85.2100.570.0
Allowed / game83.073.592.5
Point differential+2.2+27.0-22.5
Avg total168.2174.0162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercer
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game80.896.565.0
Allowed / game80.069.590.5
Point differential+0.8+27.0-25.5
Avg total160.8166.0155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 West Georgia64267%78.077.8+0.2
2 Florida Gulf Coast53260%85.680.6+5.0
3 Austin Peay63350%79.366.5+12.8
4 Queens Royals63350%83.082.7+0.3
5 North Alabama52340%74.882.4-7.6
6 Stetson52340%71.681.6-10.0
7 Eastern Kentucky41325%85.283.0+2.2
8 North Florida41325%82.589.0-6.5
9 Lipscomb51420%73.678.8-5.2
10 Bellarmine51420%77.887.4-9.6
11 Central Arkansas51420%70.681.6-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St54180%79.263.4+15.8
2 Wofford64267%75.876.7-0.8
3 Western Carolina53260%73.674.2-0.6
4 VMI63350%82.574.7+7.8
5 Mercer42250%80.880.0+0.8
6 Samford73443%77.180.1-3.0
7 Furman52340%70.866.8+4.0
8 Citadel52340%80.078.0+2.0
9 Chattanooga Mocs52340%75.676.8-1.2
10 NC Greensboro5050%75.093.0-18.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Eastern Kentucky384583
Mercer534295
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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