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Eastern Michigan vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 85-79
42-32 43-47
Position#246
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game58.7
Allowed / game58.7
vs
Position#173
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game77.5
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eastern Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Eastern MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#24
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H18/03
CIT
Columbia
#5
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A22/03
CIT
Louisiana Monroe
#4
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A19/03
CBI
Niagara
#19
W
83-65
83
65
+18
H14/03
CIT
Sam Houston St.
#6
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A19/03
CIT
UMBC Retrievers
#244
W
62-45
62
45
+17
A22/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#118
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H24/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#64
L
56-77
56
77
-21
A01/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-30
0-0
27-24
0-0
28-28
0-0
28-41
0-0
31-38
0-0
36-33
0-0
42-27
0-0
41-38
0-0
23-35
0-0
39-34
0-0
26-22
0-0
36-23
0-0
32-26
0-0
26-28
0-0
27-33
0-0
29-44
125.8Avg total
62.8Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)58.758.7117.3+0.067%
Season at home (1)58.054.0112.0+4.0100%
Season away (2)59.061.0120.0-2.050%
Last 10 (8)62.863.0125.8-0.250%
Last 5 (5)64.262.0126.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)56.766.7123.3-10.033%
vs Similar (1)62.045.0107.0+17.0100%
vs Weaker (1)62.069.0131.0-7.00%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Southern
#26
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H16/03
NIT
Florida State
#12
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H17/03
NIT
St. Marys (CA)
#8
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H22/03
NIT
Brigham Young
#4
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H29/03
NIT
George Washington
#1
L
60-76
60
76
-16
H31/03
NIT
Illinois
#5
L
57-82
57
82
-25
A14/03
NIT
Grand Canyon
#239
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Nevada
#80
L
59-84
59
84
-25
A24/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#69
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
A25/11
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#450
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H28/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-35
0-0
43-38
0-0
39-29
0-0
42-40
0-0
29-31
0-0
31-13
0-0
44-30
0-0
28-40
0-0
31-32
0-0
29-44
0-0
24-41
0-0
33-41
0-0
40-40
0-0
38-34
0-0
31-49
0-0
28-35
0-0
34-30
0-0
36-40
0-0
48-34
0-0
50-37
145.0Avg total
72.6Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.077.5155.5+0.550%
Season at home (1)98.071.0169.0+27.0100%
Season away (3)71.379.7151.0-8.333%
Last 10 (10)72.672.4145.0+0.260%
Last 5 (5)73.878.4152.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)59.580.0139.5-20.50%
vs Similar (3)75.775.0150.7+0.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)79.761.3141.0+18.3100%
This opponent (Eastern Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: -0.4-0.4
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: -0.4-0.4
Eastern MichiganValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Eastern MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#24
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H18/03
CIT
Columbia
#5
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A22/03
CIT
Louisiana Monroe
#4
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A19/03
CBI
Niagara
#19
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H14/03
CIT
Sam Houston St.
#6
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A19/03
CIT
UMBC Retrievers
#244
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A22/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#118
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H24/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#64
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A01/12
NCAA
59.9Avg total
30.0Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)30.029.959.9+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (3)35.027.762.7+7.3100%-
Last 30 away (5)27.031.258.2-4.220%-
Last 10 (8)30.029.959.9+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)30.028.658.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)29.029.058.0+0.033%-
vs Similar (1)26.022.048.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)23.035.058.0-12.00%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Southern
#26
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H16/03
NIT
Florida State
#12
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H17/03
NIT
St. Marys (CA)
#8
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H22/03
NIT
Brigham Young
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H29/03
NIT
George Washington
#1
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H31/03
NIT
Illinois
#5
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A14/03
NIT
Grand Canyon
#239
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A22/11
NCAA
Nevada
#80
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A24/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#69
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A25/11
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#450
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H28/11
NCAA
71.2Avg total
36.1Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)34.334.268.5+0.146%-
Last 30 at home (8)36.832.669.4+4.162%-
Last 30 away (5)30.436.867.2-6.420%-
Last 10 (10)36.135.171.2+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.438.874.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.040.571.5-9.50%-
vs Similar (3)39.333.372.7+6.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)38.731.370.0+7.367%-
This opponent (Eastern Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Eastern Michigan wins
0
Valparaiso wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/19AUC Irvine56-77
24/11/19HN. Carolina A&T58-54
22/11/19AUMBC Retrievers62-45
19/03/18ASam Houston St.62-69
14/03/18HNiagara83-65
19/03/15ALouisiana Monroe67-71
22/03/14AColumbia56-69
18/03/14HNorfolk State58-54
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/19HTrinity (IL)98-71
25/11/19ACincinnati77-81 OT
24/11/19ANevada59-84
22/11/19AGrand Canyon78-74
14/03/17AIllinois57-82
31/03/16HGeorge Washington60-76
29/03/16HBrigham Young72-70
22/03/16HSt. Marys (CA)60-44
17/03/16HFlorida State81-69
16/03/16HTexas Southern84-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Eastern Michigan
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game58.758.059.0
Allowed / game58.754.061.0
Point differential+0.0+4.0-2.0
Avg total117.3112.0120.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game78.098.071.3
Allowed / game77.571.079.7
Point differential+0.5+27.0-8.3
Avg total155.5169.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %25%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Illinois220100%71.057.0+14.0
2 Buffalo43175%76.875.8+1.0
3 Bowling Green43175%76.576.2+0.2
4 Toledo32167%75.756.0+19.7
5 Akron32167%74.063.0+11.0
6 Ohio32167%77.374.7+2.7
7 Eastern Michigan32167%58.758.7+0.0
8 Ball State21150%81.069.0+12.0
9 Central Michigan42250%81.575.5+6.0
10 Kent State21150%64.562.0+2.5
11 Miami (Ohio)31233%68.070.7-2.7
12 Western Michigan3030%56.367.3-11.0
13 UMass3030%55.372.7-17.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State440100%72.262.2+10.0
2 Drake43175%63.858.5+5.2
3 Northern Iowa32167%81.061.0+20.0
4 Bradley32167%64.766.3-1.7
5 Southern Illinois21150%62.058.5+3.5
6 Valparaiso42250%78.077.5+0.5
7 Evansville42250%80.884.8-4.0
8 Illinois (Chi.)52340%72.676.4-3.8
9 Belmont31233%69.368.7+0.7
10 Murray State31233%62.068.7-6.7
11 Illinois State41325%68.268.5-0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Eastern Michigan424385
Valparaiso324779
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