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Egypt vs Mali Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 70-78
19-21 16-22 11-15 24-20
Position#53
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Mali 🏆
Position#25
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game76.3
EuropeWorld CupRound 4· Pavilhao Multiusos de Luanda
Other2027
Meetings · Egypt v Mali
02 Jul 2026
EGYP70
MALI78
07 Aug 2009
EGYP47
MALI67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Egypt winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mali winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EgyptLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cameroon
#54
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H25/02
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
L
77-97
77
97
-20
A26/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
67-93
67
93
-26
H25/08
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A27/08
World Cup
Mexico
#26
W
100-72
100
72
+28
H29/08
World Cup
Jordan
#37
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H31/08
World Cup
New Zealand
#11
L
86-88
86
88
-2
A02/09
World Cup
Mali
#25
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A26/02
World Cup
Angola
#23
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H28/02
World Cup
Uganda
#86
W
91-52
91
52
+39
A01/03
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
11-20
21-12
17-15
19-27
30-15
19-30
9-25
12-26
22-20
19-24
14-23
17-27
20-24
19-19
18-19
30-16
29-19
18-21
23-16
22-14
18-22
19-20
26-13
25-22
10-25
26-21
25-20
22-26
12-20
16-23
27-17
16-25
22-21
20-16
14-21
27-14
16-9
22-16
26-13
159.2Avg total
79.2Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.073.7153.7+6.333%
Season at home (1)72.083.0155.0-11.00%
Season away (2)84.069.0153.0+15.050%
Last 10 (10)79.280.0159.2-0.830%
Last 5 (5)82.275.6157.8+6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.279.0148.2-9.822%
vs Similar ◀ (6)68.876.0144.8-7.217%
vs Weaker (15)81.162.8143.9+18.387%
This opponent (Mali) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ivory Coast
#3
L
67-90
67
90
-23
H27/08
AfroBasket
Kenya
#14
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A29/08
AfroBasket
Uganda
#71
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H26/11
World Cup
Nigeria
#30
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A27/11
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A28/11
World Cup
Uganda
#71
L
0-20
0
20
-20
A01/07
World Cup
Nigeria
#30
L
0-20
0
20
-20
H02/07
World Cup
Egypt
#53
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H26/02
World Cup
Uganda
#86
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A28/02
World Cup
Angola
#23
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H01/03
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
14-22
14-19
25-22
18-22
11-11
16-22
21-17
17-9
19-21
25-19
15-17
15-16
24-14
16-23
15-19
17-12
16-18
14-19
17-9
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
26-22
20-12
23-16
17-27
23-17
22-31
24-13
15-12
19-20
27-24
19-18
15-17
122.0Avg total
59.3Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.376.3159.7+7.0100%
Season at home (2)83.078.0161.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)84.073.0157.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)59.362.7122.0-3.450%
Last 5 (5)50.053.8103.8-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)56.970.9127.8-14.111%
vs Similar ◀ (4)81.072.8153.8+8.2100%
vs Weaker (8)68.863.5132.2+5.262%
This opponent (Egypt) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
EgyptMali
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EgyptLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cameroon
#54
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H25/02
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A26/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H25/08
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A27/08
World Cup
Mexico
#26
W
59-35
59
35
+24
H29/08
World Cup
Jordan
#37
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H31/08
World Cup
New Zealand
#11
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A02/09
World Cup
Mali
#25
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A26/02
World Cup
Angola
#23
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H28/02
World Cup
Uganda
#86
W
43-23
43
23
+20
A01/03
World Cup
81.0Avg total
39.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.836.274.1+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.637.975.4-0.338%-
Last 30 away (14)38.134.472.5+3.857%-
Last 10 (10)39.441.681.0-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.677.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.440.677.0-4.122%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)32.339.772.0-7.317%-
vs Weaker (15)40.932.373.1+8.673%-
This opponent (Mali) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ivory Coast
#3
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H27/08
AfroBasket
Kenya
#14
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A29/08
AfroBasket
Uganda
#71
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H26/11
World Cup
Nigeria
#30
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A27/11
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A28/11
World Cup
Egypt
#53
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H26/02
World Cup
Uganda
#86
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A28/02
World Cup
Angola
#23
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H01/03
World Cup
75.0Avg total
37.8Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)32.535.768.2-3.232%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.136.068.1-3.936%-
Last 30 away (14)32.935.468.3-2.629%-
Last 10 (8)37.837.275.0+0.562%-
Last 5 (5)41.837.279.0+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)28.536.665.1-8.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)34.832.066.8+2.850%-
vs Weaker (7)41.035.676.6+5.457%-
This opponent (Egypt) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Egypt wins
2
Mali wins
DateGameScore
26/02/26Mali v Egypt86-77
28/08/15Mali v Egypt51-74
23/08/15Mali v Egypt49-55
07/08/09Egypt v Mali47-67
Egyptlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26AUganda91-52
28/02/26HAngola72-83
26/02/26AMali77-86
02/09/23ANew Zealand86-88
31/08/23HJordan85-69
29/08/23HMexico100-72
27/08/23AMontenegro74-89
25/08/23HLithuania67-93
26/02/23ASouth Sudan77-97
25/02/23HCameroon63-71
Malilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HAngola80-79
28/02/26AUganda84-73
26/02/26HEgypt86-77
02/07/22HNigeria0-20
01/07/22AUganda0-20
28/11/21ACape Verde64-58
27/11/21ANigeria70-72
26/11/21HUganda76-66
29/08/21AKenya66-72
27/08/21HIvory Coast67-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Egypt
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game80.072.084.0
Allowed / game73.783.069.0
Point differential+6.3-11.0+15.0
Avg total153.7155.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mali
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.383.084.0
Allowed / game76.378.073.0
Point differential+7.0+5.0+11.0
Avg total159.7161.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jordan440100%88.856.5+32.2
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Ivory Coast330100%95.071.0+24.0
4 Uruguay440100%81.562.0+19.5
5 Spain440100%82.063.8+18.2
6 Brazil440100%88.871.0+17.8
7 Canada440100%99.582.2+17.2
8 Guinea440100%76.561.2+15.2
9 Turkey440100%88.573.8+14.8
10 Australia440100%87.275.5+11.8
11 Poland440100%87.878.8+9.0
12 Mali330100%83.376.3+7.0
13 Croatia87188%93.672.2+21.4
14 South Sudan43175%84.862.8+22.0
15 Argentina43175%82.563.2+19.2
16 Lebanon43175%87.870.0+17.8
17 Slovenia43175%93.080.0+13.0
18 Greece43175%77.866.0+11.8
19 Italy43175%83.873.5+10.2
20 Germany43175%87.878.8+9.0
21 Iran43175%78.070.0+8.0
22 Japan43175%82.074.0+8.0
23 France43175%81.874.0+7.8
24 Saudi Arabia43175%76.570.5+6.0
25 Finland43175%78.576.5+2.0
26 Senegal32167%84.770.7+14.0
27 Angola32167%84.073.3+10.7
28 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
29 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
30 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
31 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
32 Colombia32167%79.385.7-6.3
33 Netherlands85362%81.276.1+5.1
34 Ukraine85362%78.175.1+3.0
35 Qatar53260%80.874.6+6.2
36 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
37 Romania127558%78.278.4-0.2
38 Switzerland148657%73.269.5+3.7
39 Israel42250%79.270.5+8.8
40 Philippines42250%78.569.8+8.8
41 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%79.571.8+7.8
42 New Zealand42250%81.074.0+7.0
43 Portugal42250%86.580.2+6.2
44 Austria126650%84.979.5+5.4
45 Lithuania42250%88.584.5+4.0
46 Hungary84450%80.977.6+3.2
47 Tunisia42250%76.273.5+2.8
48 Georgia42250%79.578.2+1.2
49 South Korea42250%76.876.8+0.0
50 Estonia42250%85.886.5-0.8
51 China42250%84.885.8-1.0
52 Serbia42250%82.083.5-1.5
53 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
54 Jamaica42250%91.594.5-3.0
55 Nigeria42250%73.076.8-3.8
56 Iceland42250%83.287.5-4.2
57 Czech Republic42250%84.289.2-5.0
58 Montenegro42250%68.575.5-7.0
59 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
60 Syria52340%68.879.4-10.6
61 Egypt31233%80.073.7+6.3
62 Venezuela31233%78.080.7-2.7
63 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
64 D.R. Congo31233%67.383.3-16.0
65 Latvia41325%79.582.5-3.0
66 Puerto Rico41325%84.587.8-3.2
67 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
68 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
69 Chinese Taipei41325%76.883.8-7.0
70 Sweden41325%79.887.0-7.2
71 Denmark82625%72.682.5-9.9
72 Great Britain41325%77.587.5-10.0
73 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
74 Bahamas41325%82.093.0-11.0
75 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
76 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
77 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
78 Panama41325%75.289.8-14.5
79 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
80 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
81 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
82 Belgium4040%72.278.8-6.5
83 Chile4040%68.579.5-11.0
84 Rwanda4040%67.081.2-14.2
85 Libya4040%64.284.0-19.8
86 Iraq5050%69.891.4-21.6
87 Madagascar3030%73.095.0-22.0
88 Uganda3030%64.388.3-24.0
89 Cuba4040%65.089.2-24.2
90 India5050%58.683.8-25.2
91 Nicaragua2020%66.592.5-26.0
92 Guam4040%66.093.5-27.5
93 Cyprus4040%58.090.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Egypt1916112470
Mali2122152078
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