Elbasani vs Apolonia Fier Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Dec 2023

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 79-98

20-23 22-30 16-23 21-22

Position#9

Record3-5

FormLLLLL

Points / game80.5

Allowed / game85.9

Elbasani

Apolonia Fier 🏆

Position#5

Record4-4

FormWLWLW

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game85.9

SuperligaRound 10· Tomorr Sinani

Other2023-24

Meetings · Elbasani v Apolonia Fier

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Elbasani winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Apolonia Fier winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Elbasani

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormElbasani

Date

Competition

Partizani Tirana

82-79 OT

no box

A07/10

Superliga

Fieri

#10

98-68

+30

102avg 72

H13/10

Superliga

Skenderbeu

#11

123-44

123

+79

133avg 72

H20/10

Superliga

Tirana

72-101

101

-29

52avg 72

A29/10

Superliga

Teuta Durres

62-75

-13

50avg 72

H03/11

Superliga

Kamza Basket

77-115

115

-38

64avg 72

A10/11

Superliga

PBC Flamurtari

79-83

-4

77avg 72

H24/11

Superliga

Beselidhja

51-122

122

-71

24avg 72

A02/12

Superliga

17-26

22-11

16-15

14-17

26-5

22-26

23-24

27-13

44-2

30-10

29-14

20-18

21-22

21-25

15-25

15-29

19-13

14-19

12-23

17-20

16-29

16-27

15-33

30-26

22-21

26-20

16-23

15-19

15-33

12-25

20-32

4-32

166.4Avg total

80.5Scored

85.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	80.5	85.9	166.4	-5.4	38%
Season at home (4)	90.5	67.5	158.0	+23.0	50%
Season away (4)	70.5	104.2	174.8	-33.8	25%
Last 10 (8)	80.5	85.9	166.4	-5.4	38%
Last 5 (5)	68.2	99.2	167.4	-31.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	70.5	95.8	166.3	-25.3	17%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (2)	110.5	56.0	166.5	+54.5	100%

This opponent (Apolonia Fier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Apolonia Fier Albania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormFier

Date

Competition

Partizani Tirana

85-78

no box

A12/04

Superliga

Partizani Tirana

85-80

no box

H15/04

Superliga

Tirana

87-81

no box

H07/10

Superliga

Teuta Durres

71-94

-23

53avg 70

H14/10

Superliga

Kamza Basket

73-93

-20

61avg 70

A20/10

Superliga

PBC Flamurtari

92-72

+20

100avg 70

A04/11

Superliga

Beselidhja

74-108

108

-34

62avg 70

H11/11

Superliga

Fieri

#10

92-79

+13

97avg 70

A18/11

Superliga

Vllaznia

61-71

-10

46avg 70

A25/11

Superliga

Partizani Tirana

93-89 OT

no box

H02/12

Superliga

20-16

27-20

11-18

27-24

15-18

20-16

22-21

28-25

–

27-23

12-28

14-21

18-22

18-31

16-24

9-24

30-14

22-16

28-16

22-22

20-18

15-27

13-26

21-20

25-35

21-21

23-20

22-22

26-16

16-19

18-28

16-8

11-16

28-20

16-20

24-23

15-20

165.8Avg total

81.3Scored

84.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	80.4	85.9	166.2	-5.5	50%
Season at home (4)	81.2	93.0	174.2	-11.8	50%
Season away (4)	79.5	78.8	158.2	+0.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	81.3	84.5	165.8	-3.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	83.8	166.2	-1.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	72.7	84.9	157.6	-12.1	14%
vs Similar (10)	77.9	81.1	159.0	-3.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	91.0	72.6	163.6	+18.4	100%

This opponent (Elbasani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ElbasaniApolonia Fier

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	22.5	18.9	41.4	+3.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	27.8	10.2	38.0	+17.5	100%	-
Last 30 away (4)	17.2	27.5	44.8	-10.2	0%	-
Last 10 (8)	22.5	18.9	41.4	+3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	23.6	42.2	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.3	24.0	42.3	-5.7	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (2)	35.0	3.5	38.5	+31.5	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.8	21.4	40.1	-2.6	25%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	21.8	40.1	-3.5	20%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	20.8	40.1	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.4	22.7	40.1	-5.3	8%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	22.2	19.5	41.8	+2.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	23.0	18.8	41.8	+4.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (4)	17.8	22.0	39.8	-4.2	25%	-
Last 10 (8)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	23.2	41.0	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.5	21.2	39.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	18.0	44.0	+8.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.0	39%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.5	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.2	22.0	41.2	-2.8	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.0	41.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.6	22.8	40.5	-5.2	8%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	28.2	15.8	44.0	+12.5	100%	-

ElbasaniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Partizani Tirana

39-37

A07/10

Superliga

Fieri

#10

48-31

+17

H13/10

Superliga

Skenderbeu

#11

74-12

+62

H20/10

Superliga

Tirana

42-47

-5

A29/10

Superliga

Teuta Durres

33-32

H03/11

Superliga

Kamza Basket

32-56

-24

A10/11

Superliga

PBC Flamurtari

48-41

H24/11

Superliga

Beselidhja

27-58

-31

A02/12

Superliga

82.1Avg total

42.9Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	42.9	39.2	82.1	+3.6	62%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	50.8	29.0	79.8	+21.8	100%	-
Last 30 away (4)	35.0	49.5	84.5	-14.5	25%	-
Last 10 (8)	42.9	39.2	82.1	+3.6	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	46.8	83.2	-10.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	36.8	45.2	82.0	-8.3	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (2)	61.0	21.5	82.5	+39.5	100%	-

This opponent (Apolonia Fier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Apolonia FierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Partizani Tirana

47-36

+11

A12/04

Superliga

Partizani Tirana

35-34

H15/04

Superliga

Teuta Durres

39-51

-12

H14/10

Superliga

Kamza Basket

34-55

-21

A20/10

Superliga

PBC Flamurtari

50-32

+18

A04/11

Superliga

Beselidhja

28-53

-25

H11/11

Superliga

Fieri

#10

44-41

A18/11

Superliga

Vllaznia

34-47

-13

A25/11

Superliga

Partizani Tirana

44-40

H02/12

Superliga

82.7Avg total

39.4Scored

43.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	38.6	42.3	80.9	-3.6	29%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.8	42.0	80.8	-3.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.5	42.6	81.1	-4.2	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.4	43.2	82.7	-3.8	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	42.6	82.6	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	35.0	45.5	80.5	-10.5	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.7	40.5	79.2	-1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	50.5	35.2	85.8	+15.2	100%	-

This opponent (Elbasani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	18.2	23.6	41.9	-5.4	25%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	25%	-
Last 30 away (4)	16.5	26.2	42.8	-9.8	25%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.2	23.6	41.9	-5.4	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	27.2	42.8	-11.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	15.7	25.2	40.8	-9.5	17%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	19.0	45.0	+7.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.7	20.4	38.1	-2.7	36%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.2	19.9	36.2	-3.7	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.9	19.9	37.8	-2.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.6	21.4	38.0	-4.8	31%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.3	19.7	38.0	-1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.5	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	17.8	21.8	39.5	-4.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	19.8	17.5	37.2	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (4)	15.8	26.0	41.8	-10.2	25%	-
Last 10 (8)	17.8	21.8	39.5	-4.0	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	25.2	41.4	-9.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	15.8	23.8	39.7	-8.0	17%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (2)	23.5	15.5	39.0	+8.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.3	18.3	37.6	+1.0	61%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.9	17.4	36.3	+1.5	69%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.2	21.1	43.3	+1.1	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	69%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	19.8	17.0	36.8	+2.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	36.0	45.4	81.4	-9.4	25%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	39.8	38.5	78.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (4)	32.2	52.2	84.5	-20.0	0%	-
Last 10 (8)	36.0	45.4	81.4	-9.4	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.8	52.4	84.2	-20.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	31.5	49.0	80.5	-17.5	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (2)	49.5	34.5	84.0	+15.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	37.0	38.7	75.7	-1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.6	39.9	78.5	-1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.2	37.3	72.5	-2.2	46%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.1	41.0	81.1	-0.9	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	40.0	80.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	36.6	39.6	76.2	-3.0	46%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.0	39.0	76.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	39.8	34.5	74.2	+5.2	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Elbasanitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Elbasani: 80.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.7 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.6 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game

56%

30%

15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.7	21.9	51.2%	52.4%	43.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.9	34.1%	31.7%	26.6
🏀 Free throws	17.4	10.1	58.2%	66.8%	10.1

They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Apolonia Fiertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apolonia Fier: 75.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀59%

🏀🏀🏀21%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.3 pts a game · 59% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game

56%

30%

15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.4	22.1	49.8%	52.4%	44.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.9	5.3	24.2%	31.7%	15.9
🏀 Free throws	22.1	15.3	69.0%	66.8%	15.3

They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.0	24.3	55.2%	52.4%	48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	7.4	28.1%	31.7%	22.3
🏀 Free throws	24.6	16.4	66.9%	66.8%	16.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.3	22.0	53.3%	52.4%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	10.4	36.7%	31.7%	31.3
🏀 Free throws	17.9	11.7	65.6%	66.8%	11.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.0	24.3	55.2%	52.4%	48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	7.4	28.1%	31.7%	22.3
🏀 Free throws	24.6	16.4	66.9%	66.8%	16.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.3	22.0	53.3%	52.4%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	10.4	36.7%	31.7%	31.3
🏀 Free throws	17.9	11.7	65.6%	66.8%	11.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Elbasani

LLLLLWWW

Apolonia Fier

WLWLWLLWWW

League position

-8.0

Net rating

-14.0

94.3

Offensive rating

91.4

102.3

Defensive rating

105.4

51.1%

Effective FG%

45.4%

50.3%

Opp. effective FG%

54.0%

21.1%

Turnover %

22.4%

22.8%

Off. rebound %

28.5%

0.25

Free-throw rate

0.33

34.1%

3-point %

24.2%

61.4%

Assist %

59.4%

38%

Form (last 8/10)

60%

Profile

■ Elbasani ■ Apolonia Fier

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Elbasani wins

Apolonia Fier wins

No previous meetings.

Elbasanilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/12/23	A	Beselidhja	51-122
24/11/23	H	PBC Flamurtari	79-83
10/11/23	A	Kamza Basket	77-115
03/11/23	H	Teuta Durres	62-75
29/10/23	A	Tirana	72-101
20/10/23	H	Skenderbeu	123-44
13/10/23	H	Fieri	98-68
07/10/23	A	Partizani Tirana	82-79 OT

Apolonia Fierlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/12/23	H	Partizani Tirana	93-89 OT
25/11/23	A	Vllaznia	61-71
18/11/23	A	Fieri	92-79
11/11/23	H	Beselidhja	74-108
04/11/23	A	PBC Flamurtari	92-72
20/10/23	A	Kamza Basket	73-93
14/10/23	H	Teuta Durres	71-94
07/10/23	H	Tirana	87-81
15/04/23	H	Partizani Tirana	85-80
12/04/23	A	Partizani Tirana	85-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Elbasani

Superliga 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Losses (last 8)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	38%
Home	WWLL	50%
Away	WLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	38%	50%	25%
Points / game	80.5	90.5	70.5
Allowed / game	85.9	67.5	104.2
Point differential	-5.4	+23.0	-33.8
Avg total	166.4	158.0	174.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	12%	0%	25%

Apolonia Fier

Superliga 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	50%
Home	WLLW	50%
Away	LWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	80.4	81.2	79.5
Allowed / game	85.9	93.0	78.8
Point differential	-5.5	-11.8	+0.8
Avg total	166.2	174.2	158.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	12%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Beselidhja	9	9	0	100%	107.1	67.0	+40.1
2	Kamza Basket	10	8	2	80%	93.4	76.1	+17.3
3	Tirana	8	6	2	75%	89.4	71.1	+18.2
4	Teuta Durres	9	6	3	67%	90.1	78.3	+11.8
5	Vllaznia	8	5	3	62%	77.0	72.5	+4.5
6	Apolonia Fier	8	4	4	50%	80.4	85.9	-5.5
7	PBC Flamurtari	8	4	4	50%	75.0	80.6	-5.6
8	Elbasani	8	3	5	38%	80.5	85.9	-5.4
9	Partizani Tirana	8	1	7	12%	80.5	84.9	-4.4
10	Fieri	9	1	8	11%	69.6	94.0	-24.4
11	Skenderbeu	9	0	9	0%	58.3	106.7	-48.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Elbasani	20	22	16	21	79
Apolonia Fier	23	30	23	22	98

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Elbasani vs Apolonia Fier Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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