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Elbasani vs Apolonia Fier Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 80-111
26-23 15-31 17-24 22-33
Position#8
Record2-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game99.6
Elbasani
Albania
vs
Apolonia Fier 🏆
Albania
Position#4
Record6-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game73.4
AlbaniaSuperliga· Tomorr Sinani
Other2025-26
Meetings · Elbasani v Apolonia Fier
05 Dec 2025
ELBA80
APOL111
08 Dec 2023
ELBA79
APOL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Elbasani winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Apolonia Fier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ElbasaniAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormElbasani
Date
Competition
Vllaznia
#2
L
98-113
98
113
-15
no box
H12/04
Superliga
Tirana
#3
L
58-140
58
140
-82
28avg 70
A12/04
Superliga
Tirana
#3
L
55-103
55
103
-48
42avg 70
H16/04
Superliga
Pogradeci
#11
W
98-64
98
64
+34
98avg 70
H05/10
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 70
A12/10
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
74-144
74
144
-70
63avg 70
H17/10
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
93-122
93
122
-29
81avg 70
A26/10
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
74-101
74
101
-27
60avg 70
H01/11
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
85-97
85
97
-12
75avg 70
H10/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
107-78
107
78
+29
108avg 70
A15/11
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-35
20-23
24-31
32-24
11-29
9-30
22-36
16-45
11-41
16-20
14-20
14-22
28-11
17-14
25-20
28-19
22-22
26-29
22-16
12-24
14-28
14-38
17-45
29-33
20-33
19-29
29-30
25-30
21-24
20-31
11-24
22-22
21-24
22-22
18-25
24-26
22-26
29-13
33-22
23-17
187.7Avg total
82.4Scored
105.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.699.6187.1-12.029%
Season at home (4)82.8101.5184.2-18.825%
Season away (3)94.097.0191.0-3.033%
Last 10 (10)82.4105.3187.7-22.920%
Last 5 (5)86.6108.4195.0-21.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)76.2108.0184.3-31.84%
vs Similar (1)98.064.0162.0+34.0100%
vs Weaker (5)101.868.4170.2+33.4100%
This opponent (Apolonia Fier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apolonia FierAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFier
Date
Competition
Teuta Durres
#2
W
83-71
83
71
+12
86avg 84
H13/04
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#2
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
71avg 84
A17/04
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#2
L
66-69
66
69
-3
no box
H20/04
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
W
81-68
81
68
+13
no box
A05/10
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
W
90-82
90
82
+8
69avg 84
H13/10
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
W
85-61
85
61
+24
128avg 84
A18/10
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
98-57
98
57
+41
83avg 84
H25/10
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
75avg 84
A03/11
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
99-71
99
71
+28
102avg 84
A09/11
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
83-87
83
87
-4
82avg 84
H15/11
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
21-17
23-16
12-14
16-22
21-14
15-16
20-20
20-22
17-15
17-23
12-9
–
–
–
–
17-27
20-21
26-12
27-22
19-16
19-16
21-16
26-13
5-1
44-27
19-13
30-16
14-27
27-21
29-24
22-16
14-19
21-18
28-17
36-17
25-23
12-27
24-16
22-21
159.4Avg total
85.8Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.773.4163.1+16.386%
Season at home (3)90.375.3165.7+15.067%
Season away (4)89.272.0161.2+17.2100%
Last 10 (10)85.873.6159.4+12.270%
Last 5 (5)91.472.8164.2+18.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.689.0171.6-6.438%
vs Similar (14)81.083.1164.1-2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)94.677.2171.9+17.475%
This opponent (Elbasani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.1-8.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +6.6+6.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.1-8.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +6.6+6.6
ElbasaniApolonia Fier
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ElbasaniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vllaznia
#2
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H12/04
Superliga
Tirana
#3
L
20-59
20
59
-39
A12/04
Superliga
Tirana
#3
L
27-61
27
61
-34
H16/04
Superliga
Pogradeci
#11
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H05/10
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A12/10
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
28-66
28
66
-38
H17/10
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A26/10
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H01/11
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H10/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A15/11
Superliga
90.6Avg total
38.4Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.748.689.2-7.934%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.046.788.7-4.733%-
Last 30 away (14)39.250.589.7-11.336%-
Last 10 (10)38.452.290.6-13.820%-
Last 5 (5)40.453.694.0-13.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.753.691.3-15.817%-
vs Similar (1)45.025.070.0+20.0100%-
vs Weaker (5)53.230.283.4+23.0100%-
This opponent (Apolonia Fier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apolonia FierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Teuta Durres
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H13/04
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A17/04
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H20/04
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H13/10
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A18/10
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H25/10
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A03/11
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A09/11
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H15/11
Superliga
79.6Avg total
39.9Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.642.881.4-4.234%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.942.580.4-4.636%-
Last 30 away (15)39.343.182.5-3.833%-
Last 10 (9)39.939.779.6+0.244%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.079.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.143.279.4-7.125%-
vs Similar (14)38.144.582.6-6.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.439.081.4+3.457%-
This opponent (Elbasani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Elbasanitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Elbasani: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.623.5
52.7%
56.4%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.2
32.0%
34.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.610.2
61.4%
67.8%10.2
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Apolonia Fiertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apolonia Fier: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.521.3
56.8%
56.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.2
38.3%
34.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.813.5
64.9%
67.8%13.5
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Elbasani
WLLLLLWLLL
Apolonia Fier
LWWWWWWLLW
#8
League position
#4
-26.5
Net rating
+11.0
96.2
Offensive rating
110.0
122.7
Defensive rating
99.0
51.0%
Effective FG%
57.1%
59.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
16.7%
Turnover %
19.8%
18.2%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.0%
3-point %
38.3%
50.8%
Assist %
47.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 110.0Defence122.7 · 99.0Shooting51.0% · 57.1%3-point %32.0% · 38.3%Ball care16.7% · 19.8%Off. rebounds18.2% · 29.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Elbasani   ■ Apolonia Fier
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Elbasani wins
2
Apolonia Fier wins
DateGameScore
07/04/24Apolonia Fier v Elbasani144-93
08/12/23Elbasani v Apolonia Fier79-98
Elbasanilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25APBC Flamurtari107-78
10/11/25HTeuta Durres85-97
01/11/25HVllaznia74-101
26/10/25ASkenderbeu93-122
17/10/25HBeselidhja74-144
12/10/25AFieri82-91
05/10/25HPogradeci98-64
16/04/25HTirana55-103
12/04/25ATirana58-140
12/04/24HVllaznia98-113
Apolonia Fierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HTirana83-87
09/11/25APartizani Tirana99-71
03/11/25AKamza Basket92-88
25/10/25HPBC Flamurtari98-57
18/10/25ATeuta Durres85-61
13/10/25HVllaznia90-82
05/10/25ASkenderbeu81-68
20/04/25HTeuta Durres66-69
17/04/25ATeuta Durres81-82 OT
13/04/25HTeuta Durres83-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Elbasani
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game87.682.894.0
Allowed / game99.6101.597.0
Point differential-12.0-18.8-3.0
Avg total187.1184.2191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Apolonia Fier
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%67%100%
Points / game89.790.389.2
Allowed / game73.475.372.0
Point differential+16.3+15.0+17.2
Avg total163.1165.7161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%33%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja770100%117.967.4+50.4
2 Apolonia Fier76186%89.773.4+16.3
3 Tirana76186%90.979.9+11.0
4 Vllaznia75271%89.472.7+16.7
5 Teuta Durres75271%80.777.7+3.0
6 Kamza Basket74357%89.177.3+11.9
7 Skenderbeu74357%89.386.9+2.4
8 Elbasani72529%87.699.6-12.0
9 Fieri72529%75.492.7-17.3
10 Partizani Tirana71614%75.688.6-13.0
11 Pogradeci7070%71.0100.3-29.3
12 PBC Flamurtari7070%60.7100.9-40.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Elbasani2615172280
Apolonia Fier23312433111
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