Enisey host Uralmash Ekaterinburg on 14 November 2026 in the VTB United League, with the model favouring Uralmash Ekaterinburg and predicting a 61% chance of a win for the visitors. Enisey have struggled all season, compiling a 1-6 record over 7 games, averaging 81.4 points and allowing 88.7, while their home form is even poorer at 1-4 with 83.6 points scored and 89.2 allowed; their last five games yielded only one win and a recent loss to Dynamo Vladivostok 97-111. Uralmash, meanwhile, sit 4-4 in 8 games, scoring 83.9 and conceding 84.6, and are 2-3 on the road with 82.2 points for and 85.4 against; they have won three of their last five and have recently defeated MBA Moscow 101-85 and Dynamo Vladivostok 88-79. Historically, Uralmash has dominated the rivalry with 8 wins to Enisey's 2, most recently beating them 90-84 on 7 February 2026. The Pythia model projects a final score of 80-83, a total of 162.5 points, a 6.5-point spread favouring Uralmash with a 59% chance of the home team covering, an over line of 163.5 with a 47% probability, and a 5% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Enisey can improve from their recent 97-111 defeat.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Enisey winLost
38.9%fair 2.57
Best odds3.04
Implied30.4%
Edge+8.5pp
Uralmash Ekaterinburg winWon
61.1%fair 1.64
Best odds1.40
Implied69.6%
Edge-8.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Enisey) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Total points distribution
Pythia expects about 163 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 160-164 (12%). The market's main line is 165.
Over/Under 160Actual: Over 160
Over 160
55.5%
@ 1.53-4.7pp
Under 160
44.5%
@ 2.27+4.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.53
Marathon Be
1.48
Under
Marathon Be
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Over/Under 165 · main lineActual: Over 165
Over 165
43.0%
@ 1.88-6.7pp
Under 165
57.0%
@ 1.91+6.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
SBO
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.91
1xBet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.86
SBO
1.83
Over/Under 170Actual: Under 170
Over 170
31.4%
Under 170
68.6%
@ 1.52
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
Marathon Be
1.52
📊 3. Team Totals
Enisey total 75.5Actual: Enisey over 75.5
Over 75.5
64.5%
Under 75.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enisey total 79.5 · main lineActual: Enisey over 79.5
Over 79.5
49.7%
@ 1.86-0.5pp
Under 79.5
50.3%
@ 1.88+0.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Under
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Enisey total 83.5Actual: Enisey under 83.5
Over 83.5
35.2%
Under 83.5
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uralmash Ekaterinburg total 82Actual: Uralmash Ekaterinburg over 82
Over 82
53.8%
Under 82
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uralmash Ekaterinburg total 86 · main lineActual: Uralmash Ekaterinburg over 86
Over 86
38.0%
@ 1.90-11.2pp
Under 86
62.0%
@ 1.84+11.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Under
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Uralmash Ekaterinburg total 90Actual: Uralmash Ekaterinburg under 90
Over 90
24.1%
Under 90
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Winning margin distribution
Margin from Enisey's side (positive = Enisey win). Pythia's expected margin is -3.4; Enisey win by 1+ in 34% of simulations.
Spread Enisey +3Actual: Uralmash Ekaterinburg -3
ENI +3
47.0%
@ 2.34+0.7pp
UEK -3
53.0%
@ 1.75-0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
ENI
Marathon Be
2.34
1xBet
2.34
Pinnacle
1.97
SBO
1.91
UEK
SBO
1.75
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathon Be
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Spread Enisey +6 · main lineActual: Uralmash Ekaterinburg -6
ENI +6
57.8%
@ 1.90+7.3pp
UEK -6
42.2%
@ 1.89-7.3pp
Best 5 market prices
ENI
Marathon Be
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.85
SBO
1.84
UEK
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.88
SBO
1.86
Spread Enisey +9Actual: Enisey +9
ENI +9
67.9%
@ 1.55+8.9pp
UEK -9
32.1%
@ 2.23-8.9pp
Best 5 market prices
ENI
Marathon Be
1.55
1xBet
1.55
UEK
Marathon Be
2.23
1xBet
2.23
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
EniseyUralmash Ekaterinburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Uralmash Ekaterinburg under 88.5
70.3%
1.57
1xBet
1.57
-
-
-
-
+12.4pp
Won
Enisey +11.5
74.5%
1.41
1xBet
1.45
Marathon Bet
1.36
-
-
-
+11.8pp
Won
Enisey +12.5
77.0%
1.34
1xBet
1.38
Marathon Bet
1.31
-
-
-
+11.4pp
Won
Enisey +10
70.9%
1.48
1xBet
1.50
Marathon Bet
1.46
-
-
-
+9.7pp
Won
Enisey +10.5
71.8%
1.44
1xBet
1.46
Marathon Bet
1.43
-
-
-
+9.3pp
Won
Enisey +14.5
81.6%
1.24
Marathon Bet
1.24
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Enisey +14
81.2%
1.25
Marathon Bet
1.25
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Enisey +13.5
79.4%
1.26
Marathon Bet
1.26
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Enisey +13
78.9%
1.28
Marathon Bet
1.28
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Uralmash Ekaterinburg +6
77.7%
1.17
Marathon Bet
1.17
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Enisey +12
76.4%
1.33
Marathon Bet
1.33
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Uralmash Ekaterinburg +5.5
75.7%
1.20
Marathon Bet
1.20
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Uralmash Ekaterinburg +5
75.0%
1.18
Marathon Bet
1.18
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Enisey +11
73.8%
1.39
Marathon Bet
1.39
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Under 172.5
73.4%
1.41
Marathon Bet
1.41
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Uralmash Ekaterinburg +4.5
72.9%
1.15
Marathon Bet
1.15
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Under 172
72.8%
1.42
Marathon Bet
1.42
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Uralmash Ekaterinburg +4
72.1%
1.16
Marathon Bet
1.16
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Under 171.5
71.4%
1.45
Marathon Bet
1.45
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Under 171
70.8%
1.47
Marathon Bet
1.47
-
-
-
-
-
Won
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They take 54.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Eniseytheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Enisey: 75.5 points a game allowed
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
31.5
18.6
59.0%
-
37.2
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
22.7
7.9
34.8%
-
23.7
🏀Free throws
18.4
14.6
79.3%
-
14.6
Their opponents take 54.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Eniseytheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Enisey: 81.7 points a game allowed
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
32.3
18.7
58.0%
-
37.4
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
23.8
8.8
37.0%
-
26.4
🏀Free throws
22.8
17.9
78.2%
-
17.9
Their opponents take 56.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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