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Ermis Lagkada vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Nov 2013
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 57-69
16-24 17-21 14-7 10-17
Position#11
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game65.2
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game61.5
GreeceA2Round 5
Other2013-14
Meetings · Ermis Lagkada v AEK Athens
09 Nov 2013
ERMI57
AAT69
31 Mar 2012
ERMI57
AAT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ermis Lagkada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ermis LagkadaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trikala
#3
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A23/03
A2
Pagrati
#9
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H30/03
A2
Lavrio
#5
L
45-77
45
77
-32
A06/04
A2
Filathlitikos
#2
L
49-69
49
69
-20
H13/04
A2
Agia Paraskevis
#7
L
68-70 OT
68
70
-2
A20/04
A2
OFI Crete
#10
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H27/04
A2
Koroivos
#2
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H12/10
A2
Filathlitikos
#12
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A19/10
A2
Iraklis
#7
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H26/10
A2
Filippos Veroi
#8
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A02/11
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
23-22
19-21
16-27
24-16
25-14
6-14
23-23
–
–
–
–
20-18
12-18
10-16
7-17
22-24
18-13
9-20
16-8
20-13
13-20
23-12
11-25
24-19
17-15
8-20
15-14
21-23
17-25
17-20
14-8
–
–
–
–
18-23
8-12
13-15
16-16
137.3Avg total
64.7Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)65.270.0135.2-4.825%
Season at home (2)68.569.0137.5-0.550%
Season away (2)62.071.0133.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)64.772.6137.3-7.920%
Last 5 (5)65.670.0135.6-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)69.682.2151.8-12.515%
vs Similar (16)70.370.0140.3+0.350%
vs Weaker (1)69.076.0145.0-7.00%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ermis Lagkada
#12
W
73-57
73
57
+16
A31/03
A2
Argous
#16
W
99-71
99
71
+28
H07/04
A2
Lavrio
#8
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A21/04
A2
Lefkadas
#9
W
73-54
73
54
+19
H28/04
A2
Dafni
#10
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A12/05
A2
Kifisia
#5
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H19/05
A2
OFI Crete
#9
W
78-56
78
56
+22
A12/10
A2
Pagrati
#5
W
88-59
88
59
+29
H19/10
A2
Kavala
#3
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A26/10
A2
Agia Paraskevis
#14
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H02/11
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
25-14
24-7
19-17
20-21
–
–
–
–
22-17
19-19
31-11
14-18
145.1Avg total
80.1Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.061.5142.5+19.5100%
Season at home (2)87.062.0149.0+25.0100%
Season away (2)75.061.0136.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.165.0145.1+15.1100%
Last 5 (5)80.864.8145.6+16.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)74.072.3146.3+1.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)79.168.2147.3+10.884%
This opponent (Ermis Lagkada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +8.0+8.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +8.5+8.5Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +11.0+11.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -2.5-2.5
Ermis LagkadaAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ermis LagkadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trikala
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A23/03
A2
Pagrati
#9
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H30/03
A2
Filathlitikos
#2
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H13/04
A2
Agia Paraskevis
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A20/04
A2
OFI Crete
#10
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H27/04
A2
Koroivos
#2
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H12/10
A2
Filathlitikos
#12
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A19/10
A2
Filippos Veroi
#8
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A02/11
A2
75.1Avg total
37.9Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)37.339.076.3-1.845%-
Last 30 at home (10)39.836.676.4+3.260%-
Last 30 away (12)35.241.176.2-5.933%-
Last 10 (8)37.937.275.1+0.638%-
Last 5 (5)35.637.473.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.242.780.9-4.530%-
vs Similar (11)36.434.971.3+1.564%-
vs Weaker (1)38.048.086.0-10.00%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pagrati
#5
W
49-21
49
21
+28
H19/10
A2
Agia Paraskevis
#14
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H02/11
A2
73.5Avg total
45.0Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)45.028.573.5+16.5100%-
Last 30 at home (2)45.028.573.5+16.5100%-
Last 30 awayno games
Last 10 (2)45.028.573.5+16.5100%-
Last 5 (2)45.028.573.5+16.5100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)45.028.573.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (Ermis Lagkada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ermis Lagkada wins
2
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
31/03/12Ermis Lagkada v AEK Athens57-73
03/12/11AEK Athens v Ermis Lagkada84-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/13AFilippos Veroi55-66
26/10/13HIraklis73-70
19/10/13AFilathlitikos69-76
12/10/13HKoroivos64-68
27/04/13HOFI Crete67-70
20/04/13AAgia Paraskevis68-70 OT
13/04/13HFilathlitikos49-69
06/04/13ALavrio45-77
30/03/13HPagrati78-67
23/03/13ATrikala79-93
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/13HAgia Paraskevis86-65
26/10/13AKavala72-66
19/10/13HPagrati88-59
12/10/13AOFI Crete78-56
19/05/12HKifisia80-78
12/05/12ADafni75-74
28/04/12HLefkadas73-54
21/04/12ALavrio77-70
07/04/12HArgous99-71
31/03/12AErmis Lagkada73-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ermis Lagkada
A2 2013-14
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game65.268.562.0
Allowed / game70.069.071.0
Point differential-4.8-0.5-9.0
Avg total135.2137.5133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
A2 2013-14
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.087.075.0
Allowed / game61.562.061.0
Point differential+19.5+25.0+14.0
Avg total142.5149.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Athens440100%81.061.5+19.5
2 Koroivos440100%70.259.5+10.8
3 Psychikou440100%85.076.5+8.5
4 Filippos Veroi43175%64.261.5+2.8
5 Iraklis42250%65.563.2+2.2
6 OFI Crete42250%76.276.2+0.0
7 Lavrio42250%70.274.0-3.8
8 Arkadikos41325%64.866.5-1.8
9 Kavala41325%62.065.0-3.0
10 Filathlitikos41325%70.074.2-4.2
11 Ermis Lagkada41325%65.270.0-4.8
12 Ikaros Serres41325%69.577.5-8.0
13 Pagrati41325%68.277.2-9.0
14 Agia Paraskevis41325%66.075.2-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ermis Lagkada1617141057
AEK Athens242171769
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