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Ermis Lagkada vs Pagrati Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2015
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 84-89
Position#13
Record4-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game60.4
Allowed / game65.3
vs
Position#8
Record9-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game78.8
GreeceA2Round 19
Other2014-15
Meetings · Ermis Lagkada v Pagrati
14 Mar 2015
ERMI84
PAGR89
30 Nov 2013
ERMI68
PAGR76
30 Mar 2013
ERMI78
PAGR67
18 Feb 2012
ERMI81
PAGR79
03 Nov 2010
ERMI81
PAGR75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ermis Lagkada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pagrati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ermis LagkadaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lefkadas
#7
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H06/12
A2
Lavrio
#3
L
65-69 OT
65
69
-4
A13/12
A2
Aetos
#10
L
84-86 OT
84
86
-2
H10/01
A2
Filippos Veroi
#12
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H17/01
A2
OFI Crete
#9
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A26/01
A2
Ilisiakos
#14
W
20-0
20
0
+20
A31/01
A2
Kavala
#1
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H07/02
A2
Ethnikos Piraeus
#4
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A14/02
A2
Arkadikos
#2
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H28/02
A2
Iraklis
#11
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A07/03
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
23-16
16-20
17-18
18-22
11-10
15-12
9-9
–
–
–
–
18-25
13-17
21-17
17-15
20-18
12-15
19-20
18-17
–
–
–
–
10-16
13-17
20-22
13-8
19-31
17-20
17-13
10-19
18-22
17-15
9-14
15-17
19-17
12-19
23-15
14-22
129.4Avg total
63.2Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)60.465.3125.8-4.922%
Season at home (9)61.362.4123.8-1.133%
Season away (9)59.668.2127.8-8.711%
Last 10 (10)63.266.2129.4-3.020%
Last 5 (5)53.257.4110.6-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)65.675.1140.7-9.512%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.072.2146.2+1.850%
vs Weaker (5)53.637.290.8+16.4100%
This opponent (Pagrati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PagratiGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kavala
#1
L
53-83
53
83
-30
A06/12
A2
Ethnikos Piraeus
#4
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H13/12
A2
Arkadikos
#2
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A10/01
A2
Iraklis
#11
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H17/01
A2
Filippos Veroi
#12
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A24/01
A2
Psychikou
#5
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H31/01
A2
Livadia
#6
L
91-93 OT
91
93
-2
A07/02
A2
Lefkadas
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H14/02
A2
Lavrio
#3
L
82-94
82
94
-12
A28/02
A2
Aetos
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H07/03
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
11-21
15-19
12-23
26-21
28-22
15-20
20-20
19-16
10-24
22-20
20-25
21-23
23-18
29-21
18-21
–
–
–
–
25-20
15-16
19-17
12-31
9-20
28-20
18-22
26-19
22-23
13-25
21-18
24-21
21-26
23-20
25-27
13-21
17-20
25-24
22-16
18-12
161.9Avg total
78.9Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.078.8154.8-2.850%
Season at home (9)74.870.4145.2+4.378%
Season away (9)77.287.2164.4-10.022%
Last 10 (10)78.983.0161.9-4.140%
Last 5 (5)81.286.0167.2-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.784.6162.2-6.931%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.778.1155.8-0.467%
vs Weaker (2)54.042.096.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Ermis Lagkada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -3.3-3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -3.3-3.3
Ermis LagkadaPagrati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ermis LagkadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lefkadas
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H06/12
A2
Lavrio
#3
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A13/12
A2
Filippos Veroi
#12
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H17/01
A2
OFI Crete
#9
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A26/01
A2
Kavala
#1
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H07/02
A2
Ethnikos Piraeus
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A14/02
A2
Arkadikos
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/02
A2
Iraklis
#11
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/03
A2
70.6Avg total
32.9Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)35.134.869.9+0.356%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.233.570.7+3.775%-
Last 30 away (13)33.236.069.2-2.838%-
Last 10 (8)32.937.870.6-4.912%-
Last 5 (5)31.438.069.4-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.836.968.6-5.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.834.275.0+6.588%-
vs Weaker (3)35.326.762.0+8.7100%-
This opponent (Pagrati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PagratiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kavala
#1
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A06/12
A2
Ethnikos Piraeus
#4
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H13/12
A2
Arkadikos
#2
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A10/01
A2
Iraklis
#11
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H17/01
A2
Psychikou
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H31/01
A2
Livadia
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A07/02
A2
Lefkadas
#7
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H14/02
A2
Lavrio
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A28/02
A2
Aetos
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H07/03
A2
81.1Avg total
39.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)40.042.682.6-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.241.481.6-1.243%-
Last 30 away (13)39.843.883.5-4.023%-
Last 10 (9)39.042.181.1-3.133%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.882.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.742.180.8-3.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.743.584.2-2.820%-
vs Weaker (1)54.040.094.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Ermis Lagkada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ermis Lagkada wins
4
Pagrati wins
Ermis Lagkadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/15AIraklis68-73
28/02/15HArkadikos59-68
14/02/15AEthnikos Piraeus63-83
07/02/15HKavala56-63
31/01/15AIlisiakos20-0
26/01/15AOFI Crete69-70
17/01/15HFilippos Veroi69-74
10/01/15HAetos84-86 OT
13/12/14ALavrio65-69 OT
06/12/14HLefkadas79-76
Pagratilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/15HAetos82-72
28/02/15ALavrio82-94
14/02/15HLefkadas80-87
07/02/15ALivadia91-93 OT
31/01/15HPsychikou71-84
24/01/15AFilippos Veroi79-66
17/01/15HIraklis91-83
10/01/15AArkadikos71-85
13/12/14HEthnikos Piraeus89-83
06/12/14AKavala53-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ermis Lagkada
A2 2014-15
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL22%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLWLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %22%33%11%
Points / game60.461.359.6
Allowed / game65.362.468.2
Point differential-4.9-1.1-8.7
Avg total125.8123.8127.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %11%11%11%
Pagrati
A2 2014-15
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeWWLLW78%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%78%22%
Points / game76.074.877.2
Allowed / game78.870.487.2
Point differential-2.8+4.3-10.0
Avg total154.8145.2164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kavala1816289%66.453.9+12.5
2 Arkadikos1813572%70.966.0+4.9
3 Lavrio1813572%69.264.5+4.7
4 Ethnikos Piraeus1811761%66.462.1+4.4
5 Psychikou1811761%70.266.4+3.8
6 Lefkadas1811761%73.470.5+2.9
7 Livadia1810856%72.171.7+0.4
8 Pagrati189950%76.078.8-2.8
9 OFI Crete1881044%64.863.8+1.1
10 Aetos1871139%72.471.9+0.6
11 Filippos Veroi1871139%60.164.6-4.6
12 Iraklis1861233%71.274.1-2.8
13 Ermis Lagkada1841422%60.465.3-4.9
14 Ilisiakos180180%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

No period scores for this game.
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