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Pagrati vs Ermis Lagkada Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Mar 2014
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 69-79 (OT)
22-32 17-9 14-11 14-15 2-12
Position#5
Record10-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#11
Record5-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game72.2
GreeceA2Round 20
Other2013-14
Meetings · Pagrati v Ermis Lagkada
15 Nov 2014
PAGR75
ERMI68
22 Mar 2014
PAGR69
ERMI79
08 Dec 2012
PAGR76
ERMI54
22 Oct 2011
PAGR73
ERMI77
05 Mar 2011
PAGR82
ERMI66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pagrati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ermis Lagkada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PagratiGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H04/01
A2
Koroivos
#2
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A11/01
A2
Filathlitikos
#12
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H18/01
A2
Iraklis
#7
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A25/01
A2
Filippos Veroi
#8
W
86-69
86
69
+17
A01/02
A2
AEK Athens
#1
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H15/02
A2
OFI Crete
#9
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A22/02
A2
Psychikou
#4
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A01/03
A2
Kavala
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H08/03
A2
Agia Paraskevis
#14
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A15/03
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
21-15
22-20
23-17
22-17
26-22
9-19
12-20
16-18
22-19
22-21
8-6
27-19
21-25
17-22
14-15
22-23
26-2
23-25
15-19
19-23
12-18
15-21
23-13
26-28
21-16
24-26
18-18
25-19
18-21
15-16
24-24
12-18
18-19
22-24
20-15
24-23
30-17
16-24
18-20
155.4Avg total
78.5Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.377.5153.8-1.253%
Season at home (9)72.172.8144.9-0.744%
Season away (10)80.181.8161.9-1.760%
Last 10 (10)78.576.9155.4+1.660%
Last 5 (5)80.080.6160.6-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.284.5157.7-11.215%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.077.4154.4-0.450%
vs Weaker (3)84.076.7160.7+7.3100%
This opponent (Ermis Lagkada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ermis LagkadaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Psychikou
#4
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H04/01
A2
Arkadikos
#6
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A11/01
A2
Ikaros Serres
#13
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H18/01
A2
Lavrio
#10
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A25/01
A2
Koroivos
#2
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A01/02
A2
Filathlitikos
#12
W
73-47
73
47
+26
H15/02
A2
Iraklis
#7
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A22/02
A2
Filippos Veroi
#8
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
H01/03
A2
AEK Athens
#1
L
56-81
56
81
-25
A08/03
A2
OFI Crete
#9
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H15/03
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
23-20
10-13
12-18
10-20
21-26
21-18
21-12
24-16
16-15
24-23
30-10
20-16
21-18
20-21
15-27
14-19
16-21
13-14
23-20
20-11
11-14
22-16
20-6
17-16
20-12
11-11
8-23
26-18
18-13
17-23
9-16
17-21
4-20
12-23
23-17
18-16
20-21
26-15
19-26
144.4Avg total
72.6Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)69.072.2141.2-3.226%
Season at home (10)73.766.9140.6+6.850%
Season away (9)63.878.0141.8-14.20%
Last 10 (10)72.671.8144.4+0.830%
Last 5 (5)70.070.8140.8-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)64.676.7141.2-12.117%
vs Similar ◀ (14)69.973.8143.7-3.929%
vs Weaker (4)78.057.5135.5+20.575%
This opponent (Pagrati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.5+0.5
PagratiErmis Lagkada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PagratiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#10
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H04/01
A2
Koroivos
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A11/01
A2
Filathlitikos
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H18/01
A2
Iraklis
#7
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A25/01
A2
Filippos Veroi
#8
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A01/02
A2
AEK Athens
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H15/02
A2
OFI Crete
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A22/02
A2
Psychikou
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A01/03
A2
Kavala
#3
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H08/03
A2
Agia Paraskevis
#14
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A15/03
A2
80.9Avg total
42.5Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)38.241.179.2-2.946%-
Last 30 at home (11)36.037.273.2-1.236%-
Last 30 away (15)39.743.983.7-4.253%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.480.9+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.481.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.144.679.7-9.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.738.877.5-0.250%-
vs Weaker (3)47.337.084.3+10.3100%-
This opponent (Ermis Lagkada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ermis LagkadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Psychikou
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H04/01
A2
Arkadikos
#6
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A11/01
A2
Ikaros Serres
#13
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H18/01
A2
Lavrio
#10
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A25/01
A2
Koroivos
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A01/02
A2
Filathlitikos
#12
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H15/02
A2
Iraklis
#7
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A22/02
A2
Filippos Veroi
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H01/03
A2
AEK Athens
#1
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A08/03
A2
OFI Crete
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H15/03
A2
70.8Avg total
35.8Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)36.237.273.4-1.052%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.634.574.2+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)33.139.672.7-6.636%-
Last 10 (10)35.835.070.8+0.870%-
Last 5 (5)34.232.466.6+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.141.376.4-6.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.535.872.2+0.762%-
vs Weaker (4)38.231.569.8+6.875%-
This opponent (Pagrati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pagrati wins
4
Ermis Lagkada wins
Pagratilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/14AAgia Paraskevis88-84
08/03/14HKavala72-76
01/03/14APsychikou82-80
22/02/14AOFI Crete89-88
15/02/14HAEK Athens69-75
01/02/14AFilippos Veroi86-69
25/01/14AIraklis79-81
18/01/14HFilathlitikos68-64
11/01/14AKoroivos69-78
04/01/14HLavrio83-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/14HOFI Crete83-78
08/03/14AAEK Athens56-81
01/03/14HFilippos Veroi82-86 OT
22/02/14AIraklis56-62
15/02/14HFilathlitikos73-47
01/02/14AKoroivos66-74
25/01/14ALavrio76-82
18/01/14HIkaros Serres94-64
11/01/14AArkadikos73-76
04/01/14HPsychikou67-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pagrati
A2 2013-14
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW53%
HomeLWWLL44%
AwayLWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %53%44%60%
Points / game76.372.180.1
Allowed / game77.572.881.8
Point differential-1.2-0.7-1.7
Avg total153.8144.9161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)40% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ermis Lagkada
A2 2013-14
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW26%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %26%50%0%
Points / game69.073.763.8
Allowed / game72.266.978.0
Point differential-3.2+6.8-14.2
Avg total141.2140.6141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Athens1917289%77.264.5+12.7
2 Koroivos1915479%74.767.6+7.1
3 Kavala1914574%75.565.8+9.7
4 Psychikou1912763%77.572.7+4.8
5 Iraklis1910953%70.371.4-1.2
6 Pagrati1910953%76.377.5-1.2
7 Arkadikos1991047%70.169.3+0.8
8 Lavrio1991047%73.275.0-1.8
9 Filippos Veroi1991047%71.174.0-2.9
10 OFI Crete1981142%75.773.5+2.2
11 Filathlitikos1971237%68.375.4-7.2
12 Ikaros Serres1961332%65.873.2-7.4
13 Ermis Lagkada1951426%69.072.2-3.2
14 Agia Paraskevis1921711%70.783.2-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Pagrati22171414269
Ermis Lagkada32911151279
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