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ESB Villeneuve W vs Bourges W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 14:30
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game67.9
ESB Villeneuve W
France
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.6/10
Above normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Bourges W
France
Position#6
Record4-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game69.6
FranceLFB WRound 21· Le Palacium
Women2026-27
Meetings · ESB Villeneuve W v Bourges W
14 Mar 2027
ESB v BOUR
upcoming
19 Oct 2025
ESB 69
BOUR50
16 Feb 2025
ESB 63
BOUR78
21 Sep 2024
ESB 49
BOUR80
06 Oct 2023
ESB 83
BOUR70
16 Feb 2023
ESB 83
BOUR74
03 Dec 2022
ESB 71
BOUR55
13 Mar 2022
ESB 69
BOUR85
23 Oct 2021
ESB 73
BOUR78
19 Dec 2020
ESB 94
BOUR97
06 Mar 2020
ESB 61
BOUR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ESB Villeneuve W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bourges W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ESB Villeneuve WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Landes W
#3
L
44-57
44
57
-13
38avg 60
A03/10
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#8
L
59-74
59
74
-15
48avg 60
H07/10
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#1
L
61-62
61
62
-1
50avg 60
A10/10
LFB W
Brandys nad Labem W
#50
W
92-51
92
51
+41
92avg 60
H14/10
EuroCup Women
Chartres W
#10
W
80-57
80
57
+23
83avg 60
H18/10
LFB W
Lyon W
#5
W
86-77 OT
86
77
+9
86avg 60
A23/10
LFB W
Besiktas W
#14
W
76-73
76
73
+3
64avg 60
A28/10
EuroCup Women
Angers W
#9
W
78-71
78
71
+7
77avg 60
H01/11
LFB W
Brandys nad Labem W
#50
W
85-53
85
53
+32
no box
A04/11
EuroCup Women
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#4
L
73-90
73
90
-17
no box
A07/11
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
15-16
10-11
7-9
19-22
11-24
14-19
15-9
11-25
18-12
23-16
9-9
19-15
28-15
26-11
19-10
20-23
20-17
17-9
23-8
22-16
23-20
14-16
10-17
13-25
27-13
20-15
16-20
9-19
27-12
19-22
23-18
20-8
29-5
16-18
20-22
18-17
22-32
17-26
16-15
139.9Avg total
73.4Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)68.967.9136.8+1.050%
Season at home (4)71.864.2136.0+7.575%
Season away (4)66.071.5137.5-5.525%
Last 10 (10)73.466.5139.9+6.960%
Last 5 (5)79.672.8152.4+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)64.377.9142.1-13.614%
vs Similar (8)71.470.1141.5+1.262%
vs Weaker (15)75.767.2142.9+8.567%
This opponent (Bourges W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bourges WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lattes Montpellier W
#1
L
83-90
83
90
-7
66avg 67
A03/10
LFB W
Lyon W
#5
W
72-59
72
59
+13
71avg 67
A11/10
LFB W
USK Prague W
#6
L
55-76
55
76
-21
38avg 67
A14/10
Euroleague Women
Toulouse W
#12
W
87-69
87
69
+18
85avg 67
H17/10
LFB W
Emlak Konut W
#10
W
79-74
79
74
+5
70avg 67
H21/10
Euroleague Women
Landes W
#3
L
64-67
64
67
-3
50avg 67
A25/10
LFB W
Lublin W
#13
W
88-69
88
69
+19
91avg 67
A28/10
Euroleague Women
Flammes Carolo W
#2
L
55-67
55
67
-12
no box
A31/10
LFB W
USK Prague W
#6
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H03/11
Euroleague Women
Tronche Meylan W
#11
W
83-68 OT
83
68
+15
no box
H07/11
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-35
21-14
19-18
24-23
15-14
22-14
16-17
19-14
17-12
17-22
15-20
6-22
15-18
19-19
24-22
29-10
15-18
21-24
22-14
21-18
15-18
18-9
16-24
15-16
19-16
36-19
19-20
14-14
–
–
–
–
23-22
25-26
19-19
18-14
24-15
11-15
19-20
14-18
147.1Avg total
75.1Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.069.6144.6+5.457%
Season at home (3)83.768.0151.7+15.7100%
Season away (4)68.570.8139.2-2.225%
Last 10 (10)75.172.0147.1+3.160%
Last 5 (5)75.070.4145.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)66.476.6143.0-10.220%
vs Similar (10)67.966.4134.3+1.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.268.1149.3+13.187%
This opponent (ESB Villeneuve W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
ESB Villeneuve WBourges W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ESB Villeneuve WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Landes W
#3
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A03/10
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#8
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H07/10
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#1
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A10/10
LFB W
Brandys nad Labem W
#50
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H14/10
EuroCup Women
Chartres W
#10
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H18/10
LFB W
Lyon W
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A23/10
LFB W
Besiktas W
#14
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A28/10
EuroCup Women
Angers W
#9
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H01/11
LFB W
Brandys nad Labem W
#50
W
49-13
49
13
+36
A04/11
EuroCup Women
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#4
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A07/11
LFB W
74.0Avg total
38.3Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.236.072.2+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.435.872.2+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)35.936.272.1-0.336%-
Last 10 (10)38.335.774.0+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.033.475.4+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.140.672.7-8.414%-
vs Similar (8)34.635.870.4-1.138%-
vs Weaker (15)38.934.072.9+4.967%-
This opponent (Bourges W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bourges WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lattes Montpellier W
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A03/10
LFB W
Lyon W
#5
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A11/10
LFB W
USK Prague W
#6
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A14/10
Euroleague Women
Toulouse W
#12
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H17/10
LFB W
Emlak Konut W
#10
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H21/10
Euroleague Women
Landes W
#3
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A25/10
LFB W
Lublin W
#13
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A28/10
Euroleague Women
USK Prague W
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H03/11
Euroleague Women
Tronche Meylan W
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H07/11
LFB W
75.8Avg total
39.1Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.434.972.3+2.545%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.535.973.4+1.650%-
Last 30 away (17)37.434.271.5+3.241%-
Last 10 (9)39.136.775.8+2.444%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.477.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.842.879.5-6.00%-
vs Similar (10)32.134.566.6-2.430%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.133.174.2+8.167%-
This opponent (ESB Villeneuve W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
ESB Villeneuve Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ESB Villeneuve W: 64.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.7 points a game
55%
25%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.117.6
45.0%
46.1%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.84.9
29.2%
27.2%14.7
🏀 Free throws21.214.3
67.5%
73.5%14.3
They take 55.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bourges Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bourges W: 69.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.7 points a game
55%
25%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.920.1
45.8%
46.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.55.7
27.8%
27.2%17.1
🏀 Free throws15.411.8
76.6%
73.5%11.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
ESB Villeneuve W
LWWWWWWLLL
Bourges W
WWLWLWWLWL
#7
League position
#6
+4.0
Net rating
+1.3
78.1
Offensive rating
80.7
74.0
Defensive rating
79.4
44.6%
Effective FG%
44.5%
40.2%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.2%
3-point %
27.8%
82.2%
Assist %
67.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence78.1 · 80.7Defence74.0 · 79.4Shooting44.6% · 44.5%3-point %29.2% · 27.8%Ball care19.0% · 17.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ ESB Villeneuve W   ■ Bourges W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
ESB Villeneuve W wins
6
Bourges W wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26Bourges W v ESB Villeneuve W65-62
19/10/25ESB Villeneuve W v Bourges W69-50
16/02/25ESB Villeneuve W v Bourges W63-78
18/01/25Bourges W v ESB Villeneuve W58-56
02/11/24Bourges W v ESB Villeneuve W88-70
21/09/24ESB Villeneuve W v Bourges W49-80
27/01/24Bourges W v ESB Villeneuve W68-85
20/01/24Bourges W v ESB Villeneuve W74-57
06/10/23ESB Villeneuve W v Bourges W83-70
11/03/23Bourges W v ESB Villeneuve W72-82
ESB Villeneuve Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ACharnay Bourgogne Sud W73-90
04/11/26ABrandys nad Labem W85-53
01/11/26HAngers W78-71
28/10/26ABesiktas W76-73
23/10/26ALyon W86-77 OT
18/10/26HChartres W80-57
14/10/26HBrandys nad Labem W92-51
10/10/26ALattes Montpellier W61-62
07/10/26HLanderneau Bretagne W59-74
03/10/26ALandes W44-57
Bourges Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HTronche Meylan W83-68 OT
03/11/26HUSK Prague W85-81
31/10/26AFlammes Carolo W55-67
28/10/26ALublin W88-69
25/10/26ALandes W64-67
21/10/26HEmlak Konut W79-74
17/10/26HToulouse W87-69
14/10/26AUSK Prague W55-76
11/10/26ALyon W72-59
03/10/26ALattes Montpellier W83-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

ESB Villeneuve W
LFB W 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game68.971.866.0
Allowed / game67.964.271.5
Point differential+1.0+7.5-5.5
Avg total136.8136.0137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Bourges W
LFB W 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game75.083.768.5
Allowed / game69.668.070.8
Point differential+5.4+15.7-2.2
Avg total144.6151.7139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lattes Montpellier W87188%74.271.5+2.8
2 Flammes Carolo W86275%72.860.5+12.2
3 Landes W86275%67.659.4+8.2
4 Charnay Bourgogne Sud W85362%78.869.9+8.9
5 Lyon W85362%68.965.6+3.2
6 Bourges W74357%75.069.6+5.4
7 ESB Villeneuve W84450%68.967.9+1.0
8 Landerneau Bretagne W84450%66.969.8-2.9
9 Angers W72529%67.472.3-4.9
10 Chartres W61517%64.376.2-11.8
11 Tronche Meylan W81712%65.876.0-10.2
12 Toulouse W81712%58.573.4-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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