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Esch vs Walferdange Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 89-80
15-21 26-26 24-21 24-12
Position#6
Record4-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game79.0
Esch 🏆
Luxembourg
vs
Position#7
Record4-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game89.5
LuxembourgTotal LeagueRound 9· Hall Omnisports Henri Schmitz
Other2025-26
Meetings · Esch v Walferdange
16 Nov 2025
ESCH89
WALF80
08 Nov 2024
ESCH91
WALF95
11 Feb 2024
ESCH73
WALF103
02 Apr 2023
ESCH82
WALF69
25 Mar 2023
ESCH91
WALF80
22 Oct 2022
ESCH71
WALF82
28 Jan 2022
ESCH67
WALF70
14 Apr 2021
ESCH101
WALF63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esch winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Walferdange winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EschLuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsch
Date
Competition
Larochette
#5
L
69-88
69
88
-19
60avg 76
H23/03
Total League
Larochette
#5
L
73-93
73
93
-20
65avg 76
A26/03
Total League
Racing Luxembourg
#9
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
A20/09
Total League
T71 Dudelange
#5
W
87-66
87
66
+21
81avg 76
H28/09
Total League
Larochette
#2
W
77-74
77
74
+3
70avg 76
A04/10
Total League
Ettelbruck
#1
L
70-95
70
95
-25
51avg 76
H11/10
Total League
Bertrange
#3
L
62-86
62
86
-24
52avg 76
A18/10
Total League
Contern
#13
W
84-62
84
62
+22
87avg 76
H25/10
Total League
Mambra Mamer
#12
W
83-60
83
60
+23
79avg 76
A02/11
Total League
Kordall Steelers
#8
L
99-100
99
100
-1
92avg 76
A08/11
Total League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
19-23
18-19
14-25
24-21
19-19
16-31
14-22
26-32
22-25
20-15
17-17
21-9
23-23
22-20
21-14
14-20
15-19
27-16
21-19
21-23
21-23
18-26
10-23
14-22
10-16
15-18
23-30
31-13
15-17
15-22
23-10
23-12
26-18
13-14
21-16
27-27
25-18
22-36
25-19
160.2Avg total
78.9Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.979.0159.9+1.950%
Season at home (3)80.374.3154.7+6.067%
Season away (5)81.281.8163.0-0.640%
Last 10 (10)78.981.3160.2-2.440%
Last 5 (5)79.680.6160.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.984.7160.6-8.929%
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.685.1167.7-2.657%
vs Weaker (16)87.676.6164.1+11.069%
This opponent (Walferdange) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WalferdangeLuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWalferdange
Date
Competition
Ettelbruck
#1
L
78-101
78
101
-23
57avg 74
A23/03
Total League
Ettelbruck
#1
L
89-95
89
95
-6
79avg 74
H26/03
Total League
Musel Pikes
#10
L
81-100
81
100
-19
62avg 74
A20/09
Total League
Amicale Steesel
#4
W
83-70
83
70
+13
74avg 74
H27/09
Total League
Racing Luxembourg
#9
W
88-85
88
85
+3
77avg 74
A04/10
Total League
T71 Dudelange
#5
L
85-86
85
86
-1
74avg 74
H11/10
Total League
Larochette
#2
L
92-112
92
112
-20
81avg 74
A18/10
Total League
Ettelbruck
#1
W
87-77
87
77
+10
78avg 74
H26/10
Total League
Bertrange
#3
L
94-100
94
100
-6
87avg 74
A31/10
Total League
Contern
#13
W
99-86
99
86
+13
89avg 74
H08/11
Total League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
28-25
24-21
10-28
22-40
20-15
19-26
28-14
26-20
13-24
19-21
23-35
22-18
14-19
23-18
24-15
22-17
17-22
23-18
26-28
19-25
22-25
20-19
24-17
18-27
22-31
25-40
27-14
18-21
27-20
14-27
28-9
25-26
30-26
24-23
15-25
29-26
25-22
22-20
23-18
178.8Avg total
87.6Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.689.5178.1-0.950%
Season at home (4)88.579.8168.2+8.875%
Season away (4)88.899.2188.0-10.525%
Last 10 (10)87.691.2178.8-3.640%
Last 5 (5)91.492.2183.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)83.293.8176.9-10.619%
vs Similar ◀ (8)88.890.6179.4-1.950%
vs Weaker (6)97.084.7181.7+12.383%
This opponent (Esch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
EschWalferdange
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EschLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Larochette
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H23/03
Total League
Larochette
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A26/03
Total League
Racing Luxembourg
#9
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A20/09
Total League
T71 Dudelange
#5
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H28/09
Total League
Larochette
#2
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A04/10
Total League
Ettelbruck
#1
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H11/10
Total League
Bertrange
#3
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A18/10
Total League
Contern
#13
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H25/10
Total League
Mambra Mamer
#12
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A02/11
Total League
Kordall Steelers
#8
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A08/11
Total League
81.5Avg total
41.4Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.438.381.7+5.173%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.335.980.2+8.479%-
Last 30 away (16)42.640.483.0+2.269%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.181.5+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.880.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.339.674.9-4.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.139.480.6+1.771%-
vs Weaker (16)47.937.285.2+10.794%-
This opponent (Walferdange) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WalferdangeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ettelbruck
#1
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A23/03
Total League
Ettelbruck
#1
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H26/03
Total League
Musel Pikes
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A20/09
Total League
Amicale Steesel
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H27/09
Total League
Racing Luxembourg
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A04/10
Total League
T71 Dudelange
#5
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H11/10
Total League
Larochette
#2
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A18/10
Total League
Ettelbruck
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H26/10
Total League
Bertrange
#3
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A31/10
Total League
Contern
#13
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H08/11
Total League
91.1Avg total
43.5Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.144.689.7+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.142.187.3+3.053%-
Last 30 away (15)45.047.192.1-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)43.547.691.1-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)47.049.896.8-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.848.290.1-6.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)46.042.288.2+3.850%-
vs Weaker (6)52.538.090.5+14.583%-
This opponent (Esch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Eschtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esch: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.6
52.4%
52.8%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.3
29.3%
32.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.416.1
83.0%
71.4%16.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Walferdangetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Walferdange: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.023.3
54.2%
52.8%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.2
34.9%
32.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.315.6
80.8%
71.4%15.6
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esch
LWWLLWWLLL
Walferdange
WLWLLWWLLL
#6
League position
#7
-1.0
Net rating
-4.8
102.8
Offensive rating
111.4
103.9
Defensive rating
116.2
49.1%
Effective FG%
53.5%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
17.0%
Turnover %
13.8%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
21.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.3%
3-point %
34.9%
54.8%
Assist %
35.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 111.4Defence103.9 · 116.2Shooting49.1% · 53.5%3-point %29.3% · 34.9%Ball care17.0% · 13.8%Off. rebounds23.2% · 21.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Esch   ■ Walferdange
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Esch wins
5
Walferdange wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25Walferdange v Esch92-96
08/11/24Esch v Walferdange91-95
11/02/24Esch v Walferdange73-103
30/11/23Walferdange v Esch71-72
02/04/23Esch v Walferdange82-69
30/03/23Walferdange v Esch80-76
25/03/23Esch v Walferdange91-80
21/01/23Walferdange v Esch80-95
22/10/22Esch v Walferdange71-82
28/01/22Esch v Walferdange67-70
Eschlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25AKordall Steelers99-100
02/11/25AMambra Mamer83-60
25/10/25HContern84-62
18/10/25ABertrange62-86
11/10/25HEttelbruck70-95
04/10/25ALarochette77-74
28/09/25HT71 Dudelange87-66
20/09/25ARacing Luxembourg85-89
26/03/25ALarochette73-93
23/03/25HLarochette69-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HContern99-86
31/10/25ABertrange94-100
26/10/25HEttelbruck87-77
18/10/25ALarochette92-112
11/10/25HT71 Dudelange85-86
04/10/25ARacing Luxembourg88-85
27/09/25HAmicale Steesel83-70
20/09/25AMusel Pikes81-100
26/03/25HEttelbruck89-95
23/03/25AEttelbruck78-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esch
Total League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game80.980.381.2
Allowed / game79.074.381.8
Point differential+1.9+6.0-0.6
Avg total159.9154.7163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Walferdange
Total League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game88.688.588.8
Allowed / game89.579.899.2
Point differential-0.9+8.8-10.5
Avg total178.1168.2188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bertrange990100%91.176.1+15.0
2 Larochette97278%91.682.1+9.4
3 Ettelbruck86275%96.573.6+22.9
4 T71 Dudelange96367%80.681.7-1.1
5 Esch84450%80.979.0+1.9
6 Walferdange84450%88.689.5-0.9
7 Amicale Steesel94544%83.379.4+3.9
8 Kordall Steelers83538%87.296.0-8.8
9 Musel Pikes93633%81.391.2-9.9
10 Racing Luxembourg82625%84.189.8-5.6
11 Mambra Mamer82625%78.890.2-11.5
12 Contern91811%75.090.6-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esch1526242489
Walferdange2126211280
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