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Esgueira vs Galitos Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 21:30
Postponed
Position#8
Record9-13
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Position#6
Record11-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game82.0
PortugalLPBRound 23
Other2019-20
Meetings · Esgueira v Galitos
09 Jan 2021
ESGU80
GALI61
14 Mar 2020
ESGU v GALI
upcoming
05 May 2019
ESGU73
GALI76
22 Dec 2018
ESGU84
GALI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Galitos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#7
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A04/01
LPB
Vitoria
#5
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A11/01
LPB
Barreirense
#11
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H25/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A01/02
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H08/02
LPB
Terceira
#16
W
101-55
101
55
+46
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
Sporting CP
#1
L
68-86
68
86
-18
A16/02
LPB
Illiabum
#12
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H29/02
LPB
Vitoria
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A04/03
Taca de Portugal
Terceira
#14
W
112-80
112
80
+32
A07/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
28-17
22-23
27-28
18-21
25-30
16-15
13-19
23-30
18-16
23-13
15-23
22-17
17-18
24-23
19-30
20-25
14-19
19-13
20-19
29-22
24-13
20-12
28-8
21-24
21-26
14-17
12-19
33-7
16-12
15-16
17-27
23-15
18-20
24-26
16-28
29-20
23-13
27-24
33-23
163.1Avg total
84.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.276.7156.0+2.541%
Season at home (11)75.374.8150.1+0.527%
Season away (11)83.278.6161.8+4.555%
Last 10 (10)84.079.1163.1+4.940%
Last 5 (5)88.674.4163.0+14.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.782.6156.3-8.90%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.077.9152.9-2.944%
vs Weaker (13)84.674.7159.3+9.962%
This opponent (Galitos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalitosPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A21/12
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A28/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H04/01
LPB
Illiabum
#12
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
A11/01
LPB
Terceira
#14
W
96-94
96
94
+2
H25/01
LPB
CAB Madeira
#7
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A01/02
LPB
Ovarense
#9
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A08/02
LPB
Maia
#13
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H15/02
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A28/02
LPB
Lusitania
#10
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A07/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
17-20
21-21
20-22
23-21
11-15
17-27
18-22
14-19
21-26
13-18
24-18
19-19
19-22
17-9
14-19
18-26
22-22
24-23
32-23
10-19
23-27
18-22
21-14
10-13
15-13
14-18
34-30
25-17
19-27
16-13
32-30
17-13
28-19
21-21
16-32
15-23
26-17
27-18
22-22
165.2Avg total
81.4Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.882.0164.8+0.850%
Season at home (11)85.582.2167.7+3.464%
Season away (11)80.081.8161.8-1.836%
Last 10 (10)81.483.8165.2-2.440%
Last 5 (5)81.881.6163.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.187.7162.9-12.60%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.380.2160.6+0.144%
vs Weaker (14)87.778.8166.5+8.986%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
EsgueiraGalitos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A04/01
LPB
Vitoria
#5
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A11/01
LPB
Barreirense
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H25/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A01/02
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H08/02
LPB
Terceira
#16
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
Sporting CP
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A16/02
LPB
Illiabum
#12
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H29/02
LPB
Vitoria
#4
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A04/03
Taca de Portugal
Terceira
#14
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A07/03
LPB
82.1Avg total
43.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.278.8+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.137.277.3+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)41.039.380.3+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.582.1+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.434.481.8+13.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.942.379.1-5.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.841.080.8-1.256%-
vs Weaker (13)42.134.476.5+7.769%-
This opponent (Galitos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalitosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A21/12
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A28/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H04/01
LPB
Illiabum
#12
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A11/01
LPB
Terceira
#14
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H25/01
LPB
CAB Madeira
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A01/02
LPB
Ovarense
#9
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A08/02
LPB
Maia
#13
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H15/02
LPB
Benfica
#2
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A28/02
LPB
Lusitania
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A07/03
LPB
77.2Avg total
37.2Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.281.2+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.741.983.7-0.240%-
Last 30 away (15)40.338.578.7+1.847%-
Last 10 (10)37.240.077.2-2.820%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.675.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.442.380.7-3.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.940.782.6+1.256%-
vs Weaker (14)41.738.980.6+2.950%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Esgueira wins
3
Galitos wins
DateGameScore
01/12/19Galitos v Esgueira78-79
05/05/19Esgueira v Galitos73-76
07/04/19Galitos v Esgueira87-71
10/03/19Galitos v Esgueira83-69
22/12/18Esgueira v Galitos84-74
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20ATerceira112-80
04/03/20AVitoria81-89
29/02/20HIlliabum81-62
16/02/20ASporting CP68-86
09/02/20HTerceira101-55
08/02/20HFC Porto73-76
01/02/20AOliveirense82-88
25/01/20HBarreirense79-82
11/01/20AVitoria72-85
04/01/20ACAB Madeira91-88
Galitoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20ALusitania90-80
28/02/20ABenfica82-85
15/02/20HMaia92-87
08/02/20AOvarense73-74
01/02/20ACAB Madeira72-82
25/01/20HTerceira96-94
11/01/20AIlliabum90-85 OT
04/01/20HSporting CP72-81
28/12/19AFC Porto69-85
21/12/19AOliveirense78-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW41%
HomeLLLLW27%
AwayWLLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%27%55%
Points / game79.275.383.2
Allowed / game76.774.878.6
Point differential+2.5+0.5+4.5
Avg total156.0150.1161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%18%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Galitos
LPB 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeLWLWW64%
AwayWLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%64%36%
Points / game82.885.580.0
Allowed / game82.082.281.8
Point differential+0.8+3.4-1.8
Avg total164.8167.7161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%27%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sporting CP2221195%93.470.2+23.2
2 Benfica2220291%89.871.0+18.8
3 FC Porto2218482%86.675.0+11.7
4 Oliveirense2214864%83.975.6+8.3
5 Vitoria2214864%81.678.5+3.2
6 Galitos22111150%82.882.0+0.8
7 CAB Madeira22101245%79.283.1-4.0
8 Esgueira2291341%79.276.7+2.5
9 Ovarense2291341%77.281.2-4.0
10 Lusitania2291341%78.684.0-5.4
11 Barreirense2271532%75.585.5-10.0
12 Illiabum2261627%75.779.9-4.2
13 Maia2261627%77.487.1-9.7
14 Terceira220220%71.4102.7-31.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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