Esgueira vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Feb 2020

Tip-off: 21:30

Final 81-62

33-7 16-12 15-16 17-27

Position#8

Record7-13

FormLLLWL

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game77.3

Esgueira 🏆

Illiabum

Position#12

Record6-14

FormLWLLL

Points / game77.0

Allowed / game80.0

LPBRound 21

Other2019-20

Meetings · Esgueira v Illiabum

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illiabum winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Esgueira

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maia

#13

84-87

-3

A14/12

LPB

Benfica

76-84

-8

H21/12

LPB

Lusitania

#10

70-73

-3

H28/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

91-88

A04/01

LPB

Vitoria

72-85

-13

A11/01

LPB

Barreirense

#11

79-82

-3

H25/01

LPB

Oliveirense

82-88

-6

A01/02

LPB

FC Porto

73-76

-3

H08/02

LPB

Terceira

#16

101-55

101

+46

H09/02

Taca de Portugal

Sporting CP

68-86

-18

A16/02

LPB

13-14

22-19

22-30

27-24

12-21

17-27

24-16

23-20

16-25

15-19

14-14

25-15

14-20

28-17

22-23

27-28

18-21

25-30

16-15

13-19

23-30

18-16

23-13

15-23

22-17

17-18

24-23

19-30

20-25

14-19

19-13

20-19

29-22

24-13

20-12

28-8

21-24

21-26

14-17

12-19

160.0Avg total

79.6Scored

80.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	77.5	77.3	154.8	+0.2	35%
Season at home (10)	74.7	76.1	150.8	-1.4	20%
Season away (10)	80.3	78.5	158.8	+1.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	79.6	80.4	160.0	-0.8	20%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	77.4	158.0	+3.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	73.7	82.6	156.3	-8.9	0%
vs Similar (12)	74.3	77.5	151.8	-3.2	42%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	82.6	74.0	156.6	+8.6	60%

This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illiabum

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

63-84

-21

H14/12

LPB

Sporting CP

55-102

102

-47

A21/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

66-73

-7

H28/12

LPB

Terceira

#14

125-74

125

+51

A04/01

LPB

Galitos

85-90 OT

-5

H11/01

LPB

Ovarense

87-91 OT

-4

A25/01

LPB

Maia

#13

93-60

+33

H01/02

LPB

Benfica

52-75

-23

A08/02

LPB

FC Porto

61-66

-5

H10/02

Taca de Portugal

Lusitania

#10

78-83

-5

H15/02

LPB

17-19

16-16

11-27

19-22

17-21

10-27

12-29

16-25

17-21

12-22

19-16

18-14

29-17

33-18

28-26

35-13

19-19

22-19

9-17

19-14

13-23

26-16

21-14

13-20

16-10

19-18

25-8

33-24

13-19

12-12

12-29

15-15

20-18

14-15

14-4

13-29

17-20

18-22

21-20

22-21

156.3Avg total

76.5Scored

79.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	77.0	80.0	157.0	-3.0	30%
Season at home (10)	75.9	76.2	152.1	-0.3	30%
Season away (10)	78.1	83.8	161.9	-5.7	30%
Last 10 (10)	76.5	79.8	156.3	-3.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	74.2	75.0	149.2	-0.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	70.8	85.8	156.5	-15.0	8%
vs Similar (12)	77.8	81.0	158.8	-3.2	50%
vs Weaker (5)	89.6	71.0	160.6	+18.6	60%

This opponent (Esgueira) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EsgueiraIlliabum

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	21.7	41.3	-2.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	21.9	40.7	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	23.6	46.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.3	21.6	39.9	-3.3	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.9	20.3	38.2	-2.4	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	21.0	38.7	-3.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	20.2	38.1	-2.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	21.9	39.2	-4.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	18.7	36.5	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	18.0	33.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.2	22.0	39.2	-4.8	8%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.7	22.1	39.8	-4.4	17%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.0	16.8	34.8	+1.2	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.8	38.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	15.6	34.7	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	20.3	42.4	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.4	40.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.6	20.7	39.3	-2.1	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.3	18.8	40.2	+2.5	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.5	15.0	35.5	+5.5	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.2	38.9	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	20.5	39.5	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.5	36.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.6	34.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.9	19.5	37.4	-1.6	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.5	21.2	39.7	-2.7	42%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	60%	-

EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maia

#13

35-33

A14/12

LPB

Benfica

29-48

-19

H21/12

LPB

Lusitania

#10

31-44

-13

H28/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

42-37

A04/01

LPB

Vitoria

43-51

-8

A11/01

LPB

Barreirense

#11

41-46

-5

H25/01

LPB

Oliveirense

39-35

A01/02

LPB

FC Porto

34-44

-10

H08/02

LPB

Terceira

#16

53-35

+18

H09/02

Taca de Portugal

Sporting CP

42-50

-8

A16/02

LPB

81.2Avg total

38.9Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	38.7	78.3	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.7	37.3	76.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.6	40.3	80.9	+0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	42.3	81.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	42.0	83.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.9	42.3	79.1	-5.4	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.2	39.2	78.4	+0.1	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	40.5	36.0	76.5	+4.5	60%	-

This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

33-35

-2

H14/12

LPB

Sporting CP

27-48

-21

A21/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

29-43

-14

H28/12

LPB

Terceira

#14

62-35

+27

A04/01

LPB

Galitos

41-38

H11/01

LPB

Ovarense

39-39

A25/01

LPB

Maia

#13

35-28

H01/02

LPB

Benfica

25-31

-6

A08/02

LPB

FC Porto

34-33

H10/02

Taca de Portugal

Lusitania

#10

35-42

-7

H15/02

LPB

73.2Avg total

36.0Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	41.3	77.6	-5.0	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.3	40.2	76.5	-3.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.3	42.3	78.7	-6.0	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	37.2	73.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	34.6	68.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	35.2	41.5	76.7	-6.3	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	36.2	43.2	79.4	-7.1	8%	-
vs Weaker (5)	39.8	37.6	77.4	+2.2	60%	-

This opponent (Esgueira) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.2	37.9	-0.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.8	18.6	36.4	-0.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	15.6	35.6	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	57%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.6	20.0	37.6	-2.4	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	18.9	19.8	38.7	-0.9	20%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	17.3	35.0	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	15.0	33.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	14.9	21.6	36.5	-6.7	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.3	17.2	37.6	+3.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+3.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	17.8	37.6	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	19.5	38.4	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.5	41.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.7	22.3	39.0	-5.6	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.1	17.6	34.7	-0.5	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.2	18.2	41.4	+5.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	19.3	40.7	+2.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	19.5	39.9	+0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.3	20.9	40.2	-1.6	42%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	28.0	14.6	42.6	+13.4	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	37.8	75.9	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.7	36.3	74.0	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	39.4	78.0	-0.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	38.1	78.8	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	35.4	74.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.9	40.3	77.1	-3.4	43%	-
vs Similar (12)	34.7	37.6	72.2	-2.9	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	42.1	38.0	80.1	+4.1	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	38.2	77.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	36.6	75.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	39.7	78.9	-0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	38.7	76.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	36.8	74.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	34.2	42.5	76.8	-8.2	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.5	36.2	76.8	+4.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	49.8	33.4	83.2	+16.4	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Esgueira wins

Illiabum wins

Date	Game	Score
23/11/19	Illiabum v Esgueira	77-88
28/04/19	Esgueira v Illiabum	87-66
02/04/19	Illiabum v Esgueira	90-86 OT
29/12/18	Esgueira v Illiabum	79-64
07/10/18	Illiabum v Esgueira	80-83

Esgueiralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/20	A	Sporting CP	68-86
09/02/20	H	Terceira	101-55
08/02/20	H	FC Porto	73-76
01/02/20	A	Oliveirense	82-88
25/01/20	H	Barreirense	79-82
11/01/20	A	Vitoria	72-85
04/01/20	A	CAB Madeira	91-88
28/12/19	H	Lusitania	70-73
21/12/19	H	Benfica	76-84
14/12/19	A	Maia	84-87

Illiabumlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/02/20	H	Lusitania	78-83
10/02/20	H	FC Porto	61-66
08/02/20	A	Benfica	52-75
01/02/20	H	Maia	93-60
25/01/20	A	Ovarense	87-91 OT
11/01/20	H	Galitos	85-90 OT
04/01/20	A	Terceira	125-74
28/12/19	H	CAB Madeira	66-73
21/12/19	A	Sporting CP	55-102
14/12/19	H	FC Porto	63-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira

LPB 2019-20

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	35%
Home	WLLLL	20%
Away	LWLLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	35%	20%	50%
Points / game	77.5	74.7	80.3
Allowed / game	77.3	76.1	78.5
Point differential	+0.2	-1.4	+1.8
Avg total	154.8	150.8	158.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	10%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	0% (4)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Illiabum

LPB 2019-20

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	30%
Home	LLLWL	30%
Away	WLWLL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	30%	30%	30%
Points / game	77.0	75.9	78.1
Allowed / game	80.0	76.2	83.8
Point differential	-3.0	-0.3	-5.7
Avg total	157.0	152.1	161.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	20%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	0% (2)	40% (5)
Overtime %	10%	10%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sporting CP	21	20	1	95%	93.2	70.4	+22.9
2	Benfica	21	19	2	90%	89.8	70.5	+19.3
3	FC Porto	21	18	3	86%	87.0	74.2	+12.8
4	Oliveirense	21	13	8	62%	83.6	75.5	+8.1
5	Vitoria	21	13	8	62%	81.9	79.1	+2.7
6	Galitos	21	10	11	48%	82.4	82.1	+0.3
7	Ovarense	21	9	12	43%	77.0	80.8	-3.7
8	CAB Madeira	21	9	12	43%	79.2	83.5	-4.3
9	Lusitania	21	9	12	43%	78.5	83.7	-5.1
10	Esgueira	20	7	13	35%	77.5	77.3	+0.2
11	Barreirense	21	7	14	33%	76.0	85.0	-9.0
12	Illiabum	20	6	14	30%	77.0	80.0	-3.0
13	Maia	21	6	15	29%	77.5	87.5	-10.0
14	Terceira	21	0	21	0%	71.0	102.2	-31.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Esgueira	33	16	15	17	81
Illiabum	7	12	16	27	62

← all games of the day

Esgueira vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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