Esgueira vs Maia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2020

Tip-off: 17:30

Postponed

Position#8

Record9-13

FormWLWLW

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game76.7

Esgueira

Maia

Position#13

Record6-16

FormWLLLL

Points / game77.4

Allowed / game87.1

LPBRound 25

Other2019-20

Meetings · Esgueira v Maia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Maia win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Esgueira

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

91-88

A04/01

LPB

Vitoria

72-85

-13

A11/01

LPB

Barreirense

#11

79-82

-3

H25/01

LPB

Oliveirense

82-88

-6

A01/02

LPB

FC Porto

73-76

-3

H08/02

LPB

Terceira

#16

101-55

101

+46

H09/02

Taca de Portugal

Sporting CP

68-86

-18

A16/02

LPB

Illiabum

#12

81-62

+19

H29/02

LPB

Vitoria

81-89

-8

A04/03

Taca de Portugal

Terceira

#14

112-80

112

+32

A07/03

LPB

14-20

28-17

22-23

27-28

18-21

25-30

16-15

13-19

23-30

18-16

23-13

15-23

22-17

17-18

24-23

19-30

20-25

14-19

19-13

20-19

29-22

24-13

20-12

28-8

21-24

21-26

14-17

12-19

33-7

16-12

15-16

17-27

23-15

18-20

24-26

16-28

29-20

23-13

27-24

33-23

163.1Avg total

84.0Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	79.2	76.7	156.0	+2.5	41%
Season at home (11)	75.3	74.8	150.1	+0.5	27%
Season away (11)	83.2	78.6	161.8	+4.5	55%
Last 10 (10)	84.0	79.1	163.1	+4.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	88.6	74.4	163.0	+14.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	73.7	82.6	156.3	-8.9	0%
vs Similar (9)	75.0	77.9	152.9	-2.9	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	84.6	74.7	159.3	+9.9	62%

This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Maia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barreirense

#11

79-107

107

-28

A29/12

LPB

Oliveirense

73-95

-22

H04/01

LPB

FC Porto

80-102

102

-22

A11/01

LPB

Sporting CP

85-97

-12

H25/01

LPB

Illiabum

#12

60-93

-33

A01/02

LPB

Terceira

#14

114-68

114

+46

H08/02

LPB

Vitoria

69-100

100

-31

H09/02

Taca de Portugal

Galitos

87-92

-5

A15/02

LPB

Ovarense

69-90

-21

H29/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

75-79

-4

H07/03

LPB

25-25

24-29

13-25

17-28

21-23

22-16

16-32

14-24

13-19

21-25

25-31

21-27

14-30

25-27

17-20

29-20

10-16

18-19

8-25

24-33

28-16

25-8

33-24

28-20

22-16

15-31

11-21

21-32

17-25

27-19

13-16

30-32

18-22

17-24

18-13

16-31

13-18

21-16

21-18

20-27

171.4Avg total

79.1Scored

92.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	77.4	87.1	164.5	-9.7	27%
Season at home (11)	79.5	85.9	165.5	-6.4	36%
Season away (11)	75.3	88.3	163.5	-13.0	18%
Last 10 (10)	79.1	92.3	171.4	-13.2	10%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	85.8	168.6	-3.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	74.4	89.4	163.8	-15.0	14%
vs Similar (6)	82.5	85.7	168.2	-3.2	33%
vs Weaker (2)	106.0	77.0	183.0	+29.0	100%

This opponent (Esgueira) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EsgueiraMaia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.5	40.6	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.4	42.5	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.5	38.7	-0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	20.1	43.3	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	17.6	44.6	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.3	21.6	39.9	-3.3	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.9	21.0	38.9	-3.1	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.9	19.4	41.3	+2.5	54%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.7	39.0	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.9	20.3	38.2	-2.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	21.1	39.9	-2.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.0	39.1	-2.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	16.1	21.5	37.6	-5.4	19%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.3	19.5	42.8	+3.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.0	18.0	43.0	+7.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	15.8	34.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	19.7	41.6	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.8	37.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.6	20.7	39.3	-2.1	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.9	20.0	41.9	+1.9	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.2	15.0	35.2	+5.2	77%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	22.5	41.6	-3.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	22.5	42.0	-3.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	22.5	41.2	-3.8	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.4	42.9	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.1	22.1	40.3	-4.0	19%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.3	25.0	48.3	-1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	14.5	33.5	+4.5	50%	-

EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

42-37

A04/01

LPB

Vitoria

43-51

-8

A11/01

LPB

Barreirense

#11

41-46

-5

H25/01

LPB

Oliveirense

39-35

A01/02

LPB

FC Porto

34-44

-10

H08/02

LPB

Terceira

#16

53-35

+18

H09/02

Taca de Portugal

Sporting CP

42-50

-8

A16/02

LPB

Illiabum

#12

49-19

+30

H29/02

LPB

Vitoria

41-35

A04/03

Taca de Portugal

Terceira

#14

52-33

+19

A07/03

LPB

82.1Avg total

43.6Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	38.2	78.8	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	37.2	77.3	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.0	39.3	80.3	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	38.5	82.1	+5.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	34.4	81.8	+13.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.9	42.3	79.1	-5.4	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.8	41.0	80.8	-1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	42.1	34.4	76.5	+7.7	69%	-

This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barreirense

#11

49-54

-5

A29/12

LPB

Oliveirense

43-39

H04/01

LPB

FC Porto

34-44

-10

A11/01

LPB

Sporting CP

39-57

-18

H25/01

LPB

Illiabum

#12

28-35

-7

A01/02

LPB

Terceira

#14

53-24

+29

H08/02

LPB

Vitoria

37-47

-10

H09/02

Taca de Portugal

Galitos

44-44

A15/02

LPB

Ovarense

35-46

-11

H29/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

34-34

H07/03

LPB

82.0Avg total

39.6Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	43.2	80.6	-5.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.4	42.8	80.2	-5.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.5	43.6	81.1	-6.1	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	42.4	82.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	39.0	79.6	+1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	34.2	43.6	77.9	-9.4	14%	-
vs Similar (6)	46.7	44.5	91.2	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.0	32.5	76.5	+11.5	50%	-

This opponent (Esgueira) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.2	38.7	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	17.9	36.4	+0.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	57%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.6	20.3	39.9	-0.7	23%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.2	40.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	21.9	42.2	-1.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	20.3	38.9	-1.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	22.5	40.0	-5.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	20.0	21.1	41.0	-1.1	48%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.2	21.3	38.5	-4.2	17%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	21.5	47.5	+4.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.4	39.1	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	18.3	37.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	22.4	42.4	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.7	22.3	39.0	-5.6	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.2	17.7	33.9	-1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.9	20.0	42.9	+2.9	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	23.7	44.1	-3.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	23.2	44.6	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	24.2	43.5	-4.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	27.4	49.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	28.4	51.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	20.2	24.7	44.9	-4.4	24%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	27.5	20.5	48.0	+7.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	38.6	77.8	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	36.2	74.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	41.0	81.3	-0.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	40.6	81.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	40.0	81.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.9	40.3	77.1	-3.4	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	35.2	36.9	72.1	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	42.5	40.3	82.8	+2.2	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	44.8	84.8	-4.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.8	45.1	86.9	-3.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	44.5	82.4	-6.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	49.9	89.4	-10.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	46.8	89.0	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	40.2	45.8	86.0	-5.6	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.8	41.2	77.0	-5.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	53.5	42.0	95.5	+11.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Esgueira wins

Maia wins

Date	Game	Score
14/12/19	Maia v Esgueira	87-84

Esgueiralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/20	A	Terceira	112-80
04/03/20	A	Vitoria	81-89
29/02/20	H	Illiabum	81-62
16/02/20	A	Sporting CP	68-86
09/02/20	H	Terceira	101-55
08/02/20	H	FC Porto	73-76
01/02/20	A	Oliveirense	82-88
25/01/20	H	Barreirense	79-82
11/01/20	A	Vitoria	72-85
04/01/20	A	CAB Madeira	91-88

Maialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/20	H	CAB Madeira	75-79
29/02/20	H	Ovarense	69-90
15/02/20	A	Galitos	87-92
09/02/20	H	Vitoria	69-100
08/02/20	H	Terceira	114-68
01/02/20	A	Illiabum	60-93
25/01/20	H	Sporting CP	85-97
11/01/20	A	FC Porto	80-102
04/01/20	H	Oliveirense	73-95
29/12/19	A	Barreirense	79-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira

LPB 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	41%
Home	LLLLW	27%
Away	WLLLW	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	41%	27%	55%
Points / game	79.2	75.3	83.2
Allowed / game	76.7	74.8	78.6
Point differential	+2.5	+0.5	+4.5
Avg total	156.0	150.1	161.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	18%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	0% (4)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Maia

LPB 2019-20

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	27%
Home	LLWLL	36%
Away	LLLLL	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	27%	36%	18%
Points / game	77.4	79.5	75.3
Allowed / game	87.1	85.9	88.3
Point differential	-9.7	-6.4	-13.0
Avg total	164.5	165.5	163.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	18%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	67% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sporting CP	22	21	1	95%	93.4	70.2	+23.2
2	Benfica	22	20	2	91%	89.8	71.0	+18.8
3	FC Porto	22	18	4	82%	86.6	75.0	+11.7
4	Oliveirense	22	14	8	64%	83.9	75.6	+8.3
5	Vitoria	22	14	8	64%	81.6	78.5	+3.2
6	Galitos	22	11	11	50%	82.8	82.0	+0.8
7	CAB Madeira	22	10	12	45%	79.2	83.1	-4.0
8	Esgueira	22	9	13	41%	79.2	76.7	+2.5
9	Ovarense	22	9	13	41%	77.2	81.2	-4.0
10	Lusitania	22	9	13	41%	78.6	84.0	-5.4
11	Barreirense	22	7	15	32%	75.5	85.5	-10.0
12	Illiabum	22	6	16	27%	75.7	79.9	-4.2
13	Maia	22	6	16	27%	77.4	87.1	-9.7
14	Terceira	22	0	22	0%	71.4	102.7	-31.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Esgueira vs Maia Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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