PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Essen vs Gotha Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 99-103 (OT)
15-25 26-22 23-12 16-21 19-23
Position#14
Record7-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Gotha 🏆
Germany
Position#4
Record18-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game69.4
GermanyPro ARound 26
Other2015-16
Meetings · Essen v Gotha
01 Apr 2017
ESSE81
GOH85
05 Mar 2016
ESSE99
GOH103
18 Oct 2014
ESSE76
GOH58
17 Jan 2014
ESSE80
GOH85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Essen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gotha winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EssenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#1
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A02/01
Pro A
Hamburg
#5
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H10/01
Pro A
Kirchheim
#3
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A16/01
Pro A
Jena
#2
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A23/01
Pro A
Baunach
#7
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A30/01
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H06/02
Pro A
Paderborn
#13
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H13/02
Pro A
Hanau
#9
L
76-98
76
98
-22
A19/02
Pro A
Trier
#6
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H21/02
Pro A
Heidelberg
#8
L
62-63
62
63
-1
A28/02
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
14-21
22-30
16-25
15-11
16-10
22-18
19-20
17-12
11-18
19-20
14-18
–
–
–
–
17-17
13-19
9-18
24-20
18-18
27-22
22-19
15-27
24-17
10-21
14-12
16-17
23-27
9-28
27-27
17-16
17-16
25-18
15-22
12-23
17-14
13-15
12-18
20-16
146.5Avg total
69.5Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)69.074.2143.1-5.228%
Season at home (12)69.172.8141.8-3.742%
Season away (13)68.875.5144.3-6.615%
Last 10 (10)69.577.0146.5-7.510%
Last 5 (5)70.678.6149.2-8.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)64.774.1138.8-9.429%
vs Similar (11)71.275.5146.7-4.418%
vs Weaker (2)85.572.0157.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Gotha) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GothaGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kirchheim
#3
W
92-89 OT
92
89
+3
H02/01
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
63-88
63
88
-25
A10/01
Pro A
Paderborn
#13
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H16/01
Pro A
Leverkusen
#15
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A24/01
Pro A
Chemnitz
#11
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H30/01
Pro A
Trier
#6
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A06/02
Pro A
Hanau
#9
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A13/02
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
81-48
81
48
+33
H19/02
Pro A
Koln
#10
W
70-53
70
53
+17
A21/02
Pro A
Rhondorf
#16
W
93-47
93
47
+46
H27/02
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
15-14
28-20
20-17
17-20
10-25
25-25
11-18
15-11
19-17
20-26
30-21
22-11
16-21
8-22
20-9
–
–
–
–
20-22
28-20
13-14
15-21
19-18
15-20
10-11
17-8
18-15
20-8
21-11
22-14
20-14
17-13
19-14
14-12
23-10
18-8
29-14
23-15
143.1Avg total
76.2Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.269.4145.7+6.872%
Season at home (13)81.469.2150.5+12.285%
Season away (12)70.769.8140.4+0.958%
Last 10 (10)76.266.9143.1+9.380%
Last 5 (5)76.256.4132.6+19.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)62.969.0131.9-6.129%
vs Similar (8)72.168.5140.6+3.675%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)78.967.8146.7+11.180%
This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +4.1+4.1
EssenGotha
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EssenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A02/01
Pro A
Hamburg
#5
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H10/01
Pro A
Kirchheim
#3
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A16/01
Pro A
Baunach
#7
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A30/01
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H06/02
Pro A
Paderborn
#13
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H13/02
Pro A
Hanau
#9
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A19/02
Pro A
Trier
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H21/02
Pro A
Heidelberg
#8
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A28/02
Pro A
70.3Avg total
34.7Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)34.436.570.9-2.044%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.834.872.6+2.962%-
Last 30 away (12)30.838.269.1-7.425%-
Last 10 (9)34.735.770.3-1.056%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.275.8-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)32.635.067.6-2.440%-
vs Similar (9)36.138.774.8-2.644%-
vs Weaker (1)47.039.086.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Gotha) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GothaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kirchheim
#3
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H02/01
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A10/01
Pro A
Paderborn
#13
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H16/01
Pro A
Leverkusen
#15
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A24/01
Pro A
Trier
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A06/02
Pro A
Hanau
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A13/02
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H19/02
Pro A
Koln
#10
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A21/02
Pro A
Rhondorf
#16
W
41-18
41
18
+23
H27/02
Pro A
69.0Avg total
36.3Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)35.932.768.6+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.130.566.6+5.569%-
Last 30 away (12)35.735.170.8+0.650%-
Last 10 (9)36.332.769.0+3.767%-
Last 5 (5)39.629.669.2+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.835.566.3-4.717%-
vs Similar (4)32.233.866.0-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)38.931.370.2+7.580%-
This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Essen wins
4
Gotha wins
DateGameScore
14/11/15Gotha v Essen91-81
24/01/15Gotha v Essen63-52
18/10/14Essen v Gotha76-58
17/01/14Essen v Gotha80-85
09/11/13Gotha v Essen81-79
Essenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/16AHeidelberg62-63
21/02/16HTrier69-79
19/02/16AHanau76-98
13/02/16HPaderborn64-67
06/02/16HNurnberger82-86
30/01/16ABaunach63-74
23/01/16AJena68-83
16/01/16AKirchheim61-68
10/01/16HHamburg72-59
02/01/16AVechta78-93
Gothalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/16HRhondorf93-47
21/02/16AKoln70-53
19/02/16HNurnberger81-48
13/02/16AHanau61-57
06/02/16ATrier76-77
30/01/16HChemnitz76-72
24/01/16ALeverkusen66-63
16/01/16HPaderborn84-75
10/01/16AVechta63-88
02/01/16HKirchheim92-89 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Essen
Pro A 2015-16
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL28%
HomeLWLLL42%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %28%42%15%
Points / game69.069.168.8
Allowed / game74.272.875.5
Point differential-5.2-3.7-6.6
Avg total143.1141.8144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%17%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)40% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gotha
Pro A 2015-16
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW72%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLWLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %72%85%58%
Points / game76.281.470.7
Allowed / game69.469.269.8
Point differential+6.8+12.2+0.9
Avg total145.7150.5140.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%62%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vechta2522388%83.265.1+18.1
2 Jena2522388%77.666.0+11.6
3 Kirchheim2518772%75.667.8+7.8
4 Gotha2518772%76.269.4+6.8
5 Hamburg26161062%71.869.2+2.7
6 Trier25141156%72.070.8+1.2
7 Nurnberger26131350%74.374.7-0.4
8 Baunach25121348%70.471.9-1.5
9 Heidelberg25121348%69.671.3-1.8
10 Chemnitz25111444%73.471.6+1.9
11 Hanau25101540%70.373.0-2.7
12 Koln25101540%68.873.5-4.8
13 Paderborn2591636%70.275.9-5.7
14 Essen2571828%69.074.2-5.2
15 Leverkusen2552020%67.777.4-9.7
16 Rhondorf252238%68.687.0-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Essen152623161999
Gotha2522122123103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.