Essen vs Gotha Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Oct 2014

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 76-58

25-14 21-17 17-15 13-12

Position#7

Record4-0

FormLWWWW

Points / game80.0

Allowed / game65.0

Essen 🏆

Gotha

Position#5

Record2-2

FormLLWLW

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game70.5

Pro ARound 5

Other2014-15

Meetings · Essen v Gotha

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Essen winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gotha winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Essen

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Heidelberg

70-66

A28/03

Pro A

Leverkusen

#13

101-71

101

+30

H30/03

Pro A

Gottingen

58-79

-21

A05/04

Pro A

Gottingen

92-85

H08/04

Pro A

Gottingen

60-87

-27

A11/04

Pro A

Gottingen

72-101

101

-29

H13/04

Pro A

Chemnitz

#11

96-82

+14

H27/09

Pro A

Heidelberg

82-58

+24

A03/10

Pro A

Leverkusen

#13

73-61

+12

H05/10

Pro A

Ehingen

#16

69-59

+10

A12/10

Pro A

12-11

15-21

21-21

22-13

25-14

21-11

23-22

32-24

17-20

15-22

14-15

12-22

20-22

23-21

21-23

28-19

16-20

18-19

16-22

10-26

20-25

16-24

20-25

16-27

–

17-11

24-15

18-18

23-14

22-16

11-17

22-17

18-11

–

152.2Avg total

77.3Scored

74.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	80.0	65.0	145.0	+15.0	100%
Season at home (2)	84.5	71.5	156.0	+13.0	100%
Season away (2)	75.5	58.5	134.0	+17.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	77.3	74.9	152.2	+2.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	72.2	150.6	+6.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	80.4	85.3	165.7	-4.9	60%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	83.3	78.9	162.2	+4.4	55%
vs Weaker (9)	78.1	70.2	148.3	+7.9	67%

This opponent (Gotha) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gotha

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paderborn

#12

88-80

A28/03

Pro A

Kirchheim

#11

96-82

+14

H30/03

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

62-76

-14

A05/04

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

90-80

+10

H08/04

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

56-67

-11

A11/04

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

63-82

-19

H13/04

Pro A

Paderborn

#14

70-72

-2

H27/09

Pro A

Vechta

#10

74-56

+18

H03/10

Pro A

Baunach

79-84

-5

A05/10

Pro A

Hamburg

83-70

+13

H11/10

Pro A

25-14

18-15

21-17

24-34

12-14

32-19

24-23

28-26

18-23

16-11

11-16

17-26

20-25

21-15

26-21

23-19

16-17

12-20

8-16

20-14

17-16

18-19

17-23

11-24

–

17-19

16-13

23-8

18-16

–

22-17

19-20

25-11

17-22

151.0Avg total

76.1Scored

74.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	76.5	70.5	147.0	+6.0	50%
Season at home (3)	75.7	66.0	141.7	+9.7	67%
Season away (1)	79.0	84.0	163.0	-5.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.1	74.9	151.0	+1.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.8	72.8	146.6	+1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	78.8	84.3	163.1	-5.6	33%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	83.1	80.7	163.8	+2.4	60%
vs Weaker (11)	78.3	70.5	148.7	+7.8	73%

This opponent (Essen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EssenGotha

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.1	18.4	36.5	-0.3	38%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.9	18.0	36.9	+0.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.4	18.9	40.2	+2.5	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.7	18.5	38.2	+1.2	52%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	18.6	39.9	+2.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (11)	17.4	18.4	35.7	-1.0	27%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.4	18.1	36.5	+0.2	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.0	18.3	36.3	-0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.3	16.4	36.8	+3.9	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.5	18.8	36.3	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.0	17.8	39.8	+4.2	69%	-
Last 10 (8)	17.9	18.8	36.6	-0.9	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.6	21.7	42.3	-1.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.8	16.9	37.7	+3.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.2	15.6	32.9	+1.6	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.1	17.7	37.8	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	17.6	38.3	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.2	17.9	37.1	+1.3	73%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.0	16.5	35.5	+2.5	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.4	34.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.3	20.4	41.8	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.0	14.0	33.0	+5.0	78%	-

EssenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Heidelberg

27-32

-5

A28/03

Pro A

Leverkusen

#13

46-25

+21

H30/03

Pro A

Gottingen

32-42

-10

A05/04

Pro A

Gottingen

43-43

H08/04

Pro A

Gottingen

34-39

-5

A11/04

Pro A

Gottingen

36-49

-13

H13/04

Pro A

Heidelberg

41-26

+15

A03/10

Pro A

Leverkusen

#13

33-33

H05/10

Pro A

72.6Avg total

36.5Scored

36.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	39.6	37.5	77.1	+2.1	44%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	38.8	77.9	+0.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.1	36.2	76.2	+3.9	54%	-
Last 10 (8)	36.5	36.1	72.6	+0.4	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	38.0	75.4	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.3	42.3	82.6	-2.0	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	39.7	34.9	74.6	+4.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	38.6	34.5	73.1	+4.1	50%	-

This opponent (Gotha) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GothaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paderborn

#12

43-29

+14

A28/03

Pro A

Kirchheim

#11

44-33

+11

H30/03

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

34-34

A05/04

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

41-40

H08/04

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

28-37

-9

A11/04

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

35-35

H13/04

Pro A

Vechta

#10

33-32

H03/10

Pro A

Hamburg

41-37

H11/10

Pro A

72.0Avg total

37.4Scored

34.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	39.8	36.2	76.0	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	36.2	78.2	+5.9	81%	-
Last 30 away (11)	36.5	36.3	72.8	+0.3	45%	-
Last 10 (8)	37.4	34.6	72.0	+2.8	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	36.2	71.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.8	39.4	80.2	+1.3	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	39.3	38.8	78.1	+0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (9)	39.3	30.4	69.8	+8.9	100%	-

This opponent (Essen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+2.0	56%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	18.9	40.2	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	18.9	39.4	+1.5	54%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.6	17.2	38.9	+4.4	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.9	44%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	18.6	38.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	16.9	20.5	37.5	-3.6	36%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.4	16.9	36.2	+2.5	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	15.8	35.6	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.3	22.3	39.7	-5.0	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.1	15.7	35.8	+4.4	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.7	21.7	41.3	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.1	23.1	42.2	-4.0	31%	-
Last 10 (8)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.6	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.3	22.4	42.7	-2.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.6	22.4	42.0	-2.9	22%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.0	19.9	38.9	-0.9	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.4	21.9	43.3	-0.6	48%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	21.8	42.9	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.7	22.2	43.9	-0.5	45%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.8	22.6	42.4	-2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.3	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	24.8	20.3	45.1	+4.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.4	24.2	43.7	-4.8	22%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	40.6	40.6	81.1	+0.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	39.2	80.8	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.5	42.0	81.5	-2.5	46%	-
Last 10 (8)	39.5	39.9	79.4	-0.4	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	40.4	78.8	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.1	43.0	83.1	-2.9	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	41.1	40.9	82.0	+0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.6	37.1	77.8	+3.5	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	39.9	41.3	81.3	-1.4	44%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	40.4	81.2	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (11)	38.6	42.7	81.4	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (8)	39.1	39.5	78.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	34.8	72.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	37.2	43.6	80.8	-6.3	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	43.0	40.6	83.6	+2.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	39.6	39.9	79.4	-0.3	44%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Essen wins

Gotha wins

Date	Game	Score
17/01/14	Essen v Gotha	80-85
09/11/13	Gotha v Essen	81-79

Essenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/10/14	A	Ehingen	69-59
05/10/14	H	Leverkusen	73-61
03/10/14	A	Heidelberg	82-58
27/09/14	H	Chemnitz	96-82
13/04/14	H	Gottingen	72-101
11/04/14	A	Gottingen	60-87
08/04/14	H	Gottingen	92-85
05/04/14	A	Gottingen	58-79
30/03/14	H	Leverkusen	101-71
28/03/14	A	Heidelberg	70-66

Gothalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/10/14	H	Hamburg	83-70
05/10/14	A	Baunach	79-84
03/10/14	H	Vechta	74-56
27/09/14	H	Paderborn	70-72
13/04/14	H	Crailsheim Merlins	63-82
11/04/14	A	Crailsheim Merlins	56-67
08/04/14	H	Crailsheim Merlins	90-80
05/04/14	A	Crailsheim Merlins	62-76
30/03/14	H	Kirchheim	96-82
28/03/14	A	Paderborn	88-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Essen

Pro A 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	80.0	84.5	75.5
Allowed / game	65.0	71.5	58.5
Point differential	+15.0	+13.0	+17.0
Avg total	145.0	156.0	134.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Gotha

Pro A 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLW	50%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	3	1
Win %	50%	67%	0%
Points / game	76.5	75.7	79.0
Allowed / game	70.5	66.0	84.0
Point differential	+6.0	+9.7	-5.0
Avg total	147.0	141.7	163.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	s.Oliver Wurzburg	5	5	0	100%	91.4	70.4	+21.0
2	Essen	4	4	0	100%	80.0	65.0	+15.0
3	Baunach	4	3	1	75%	79.8	71.8	+8.0
4	Paderborn	4	3	1	75%	83.0	78.5	+4.5
5	Hamburg	4	3	1	75%	74.0	74.8	-0.8
6	Heidelberg	5	3	2	60%	74.8	79.2	-4.4
7	Gotha	4	2	2	50%	76.5	70.5	+6.0
8	Giessen	4	2	2	50%	74.2	70.2	+4.0
9	Nurnberger	4	2	2	50%	77.8	75.2	+2.5
10	Jena	4	2	2	50%	79.8	78.5	+1.2
11	Vechta	5	2	3	40%	69.6	75.4	-5.8
12	Kirchheim	4	1	3	25%	85.5	85.5	+0.0
13	Leverkusen	4	1	3	25%	68.8	74.2	-5.5
14	Chemnitz	5	1	4	20%	78.4	85.6	-7.2
15	Ehingen	4	0	4	0%	65.5	78.0	-12.5
16	Cuxhaven	4	0	4	0%	65.8	92.8	-27.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Essen	25	21	17	13	76
Gotha	14	17	15	12	58

← all games of the day

Essen vs Gotha Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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