Essen vs Leverkusen Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 101-71

25-14 21-11 23-22 32-24

Position#9

Record15-14

FormWWWWW

Points / game78.9

Allowed / game77.9

Essen 🏆

Leverkusen

Position#13

Record9-20

FormLLWWL

Points / game74.7

Allowed / game81.6

Pro ARound 30

Other2013-14

Meetings · Essen v Leverkusen

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Essen winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Leverkusen winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Essen

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nurnberger

73-83

-10

H01/02

Pro A

Giessen

94-72

+22

A08/02

Pro A

BG Eisbaeren

#16

69-80

-11

H14/02

Pro A

Chemnitz

#10

83-64

+19

A16/02

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

85-77

H22/02

Pro A

Kirchheim

#11

109-103 OT

109

103

A01/03

Pro A

Magdeburg

#15

89-63

+26

H08/03

Pro A

Jena

88-87

A16/03

Pro A

Cuxhaven

#14

75-72

H22/03

Pro A

Heidelberg

70-66

A28/03

Pro A

16-26

20-15

21-21

16-21

26-18

23-12

22-20

23-22

23-21

16-22

17-20

13-17

17-16

24-9

16-11

26-28

21-24

20-26

21-19

23-8

11-21

24-19

34-20

21-30

27-18

17-12

27-12

18-21

24-16

23-22

25-23

16-26

19-25

19-12

24-12

13-23

12-11

15-21

21-21

22-13

160.2Avg total

83.5Scored

76.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	78.9	77.9	156.8	+1.1	52%
Season at home (14)	76.3	76.4	152.7	-0.1	50%
Season away (15)	81.4	79.2	160.6	+2.2	53%
Last 10 (10)	83.5	76.7	160.2	+6.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	78.2	164.4	+8.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	82.2	81.1	163.4	+1.1	75%
vs Similar (12)	80.5	80.9	161.4	-0.4	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	73.9	70.9	144.8	+3.0	56%

This opponent (Leverkusen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leverkusen Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jena

87-103

103

-16

A02/02

Pro A

Cuxhaven

#14

84-72

+12

A08/02

Pro A

Gottingen

64-89

-25

H14/02

Pro A

Ehingen

73-83

-10

A16/02

Pro A

Giessen

61-69

-8

H22/02

Pro A

Chemnitz

#10

84-92

-8

A01/03

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

65-87

-22

H09/03

Pro A

Gotha

72-62

+10

H15/03

Pro A

BG Eisbaeren

#16

85-73

+12

A22/03

Pro A

Nurnberger

64-90

-26

H28/03

Pro A

26-31

22-24

24-22

15-26

19-15

14-11

27-19

24-27

24-22

9-23

16-27

15-17

17-19

16-19

21-22

19-23

14-22

14-20

18-10

15-17

26-31

11-19

16-22

31-20

10-24

22-14

16-25

17-24

19-15

11-18

23-6

19-23

22-20

18-21

20-15

25-17

19-15

12-27

15-24

18-24

155.9Avg total

73.9Scored

82.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	74.7	81.6	156.3	-6.9	31%
Season at home (15)	75.1	79.6	154.7	-4.5	40%
Season away (14)	74.4	83.8	158.1	-9.4	21%
Last 10 (10)	73.9	82.0	155.9	-8.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	74.0	80.8	154.8	-6.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	71.6	83.7	155.3	-12.0	19%
vs Similar (8)	82.9	76.2	159.1	+6.6	62%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Essen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EssenLeverkusen

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.6	19.7	39.3	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	20.6	41.9	+0.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.6	19.7	39.4	-0.1	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.6	44%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.4	20.4	38.9	-2.0	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.1	20.9	39.0	-2.8	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.1	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.9	18.7	35.6	-1.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	17.4	38.8	+4.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	17.0	37.1	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.2	36.8	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.5	20.2	40.8	+0.2	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.5	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	17.4	15.9	33.3	+1.6	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.8	20.5	38.3	-2.7	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	21.2	39.7	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	19.8	36.9	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.9	19.6	34.5	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	19.8	34.6	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.8	21.4	39.1	-3.6	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

EssenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nurnberger

36-41

-5

H01/02

Pro A

Giessen

49-30

+19

A08/02

Pro A

BG Eisbaeren

#16

39-43

-4

H14/02

Pro A

Chemnitz

#10

41-25

+16

A16/02

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

41-50

-9

H22/02

Pro A

Kirchheim

#11

35-40

-5

A01/03

Pro A

Magdeburg

#15

44-30

+14

H08/03

Pro A

Jena

47-38

A16/03

Pro A

Cuxhaven

#14

38-37

H22/03

Pro A

Heidelberg

27-32

-5

A28/03

Pro A

76.3Avg total

39.7Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	38.8	37.7	76.5	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.2	39.3	77.5	-1.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	36.1	75.6	+3.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	36.6	76.3	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	35.4	73.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.5	40.9	81.4	-0.4	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.3	37.9	77.2	+1.4	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	36.8	34.7	71.4	+2.1	44%	-

This opponent (Leverkusen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeverkusenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jena

48-55

-7

A02/02

Pro A

Cuxhaven

#14

33-26

A08/02

Pro A

Gottingen

33-45

-12

H14/02

Pro A

Ehingen

33-38

-5

A16/02

Pro A

Giessen

28-42

-14

H22/02

Pro A

Chemnitz

#10

37-50

-13

A01/03

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

32-38

-6

H09/03

Pro A

Gotha

30-33

-3

H15/03

Pro A

BG Eisbaeren

#16

40-41

-1

A22/03

Pro A

Nurnberger

31-42

-11

H28/03

Pro A

75.5Avg total

34.5Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.2	41.0	77.2	-4.7	21%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.9	40.9	77.9	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.5	41.0	76.5	-5.5	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.5	41.0	75.5	-6.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	40.8	74.8	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	35.9	42.2	78.1	-6.4	14%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.2	37.6	74.9	-0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Essen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.1	61%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	17.0	37.1	+3.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	19.1	39.4	+1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	17.9	40.7	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	17.6	43.8	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	75%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.5	18.7	39.3	+1.8	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	19.4	16.8	36.2	+2.7	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.1	18.9	37.0	-0.9	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	17.5	35.1	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	20.4	39.1	-1.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.4	36.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	16.9	19.6	36.5	-2.7	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.1	17.1	38.2	+4.0	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.4	21.1	40.5	-1.8	36%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	20.1	38.1	-2.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	22.1	43.0	-1.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.6	40.6	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.1	21.6	42.8	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	22.2	41.7	-2.6	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	17.7	19.4	37.1	-1.8	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	21.7	42.1	-1.3	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	22.4	42.6	-2.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.9	21.8	40.7	-3.0	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	24.5	21.5	46.0	+3.0	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	39.6	39.2	78.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	37.1	75.2	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	41.3	82.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	38.8	80.7	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	40.2	84.4	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	41.8	40.2	82.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.1	40.9	81.0	-0.8	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	37.1	36.2	73.3	+0.9	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.5	40.7	79.1	-2.2	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	38.7	76.8	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	42.8	81.6	-3.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	41.0	80.4	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	40.0	80.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	35.8	41.4	77.2	-5.7	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	45.6	38.6	84.2	+7.0	88%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Essen wins

Leverkusen wins

Date	Game	Score
19/10/13	Leverkusen v Essen	66-70

Essenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/03/14	A	Heidelberg	70-66
22/03/14	H	Cuxhaven	75-72
16/03/14	A	Jena	88-87
08/03/14	H	Magdeburg	89-63
01/03/14	A	Kirchheim	109-103 OT
22/02/14	H	Crailsheim Merlins	85-77
16/02/14	A	Chemnitz	83-64
14/02/14	H	BG Eisbaeren	69-80
08/02/14	A	Giessen	94-72
01/02/14	H	Nurnberger	73-83

Leverkusenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/03/14	H	Nurnberger	64-90
22/03/14	A	BG Eisbaeren	85-73
15/03/14	H	Gotha	72-62
09/03/14	H	Crailsheim Merlins	65-87
01/03/14	A	Chemnitz	84-92
22/02/14	H	Giessen	61-69
16/02/14	A	Ehingen	73-83
14/02/14	H	Gottingen	64-89
08/02/14	A	Cuxhaven	84-72
02/02/14	A	Jena	87-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Essen

Pro A 2013-14

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	52%
Home	LLWWW	50%
Away	WWWWW	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	52%	50%	53%
Points / game	78.9	76.3	81.4
Allowed / game	77.9	76.4	79.2
Point differential	+1.1	-0.1	+2.2
Avg total	156.8	152.7	160.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	14%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	45% (11)	50% (4)	43% (7)
Overtime %	3%	0%	7%

Leverkusen

Pro A 2013-14

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	31%
Home	LLLWL	40%
Away	LWLLW	21%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	31%	40%	21%
Points / game	74.7	75.1	74.4
Allowed / game	81.6	79.6	83.8
Point differential	-6.9	-4.5	-9.4
Avg total	156.3	154.7	158.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	27%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	25% (4)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Gottingen	29	25	4	86%	88.7	76.9	+11.7
2	Crailsheim Merlins	29	21	8	72%	86.8	77.8	+9.0
3	Jena	29	18	11	62%	96.3	89.5	+6.9
4	Ehingen	29	17	12	59%	77.4	75.5	+1.9
5	Nurnberger	29	17	12	59%	83.1	81.6	+1.5
6	Giessen	29	17	12	59%	78.1	76.9	+1.1
7	Heidelberg	29	16	13	55%	84.1	78.8	+5.3
8	Gotha	29	16	13	55%	79.5	78.9	+0.7
9	Essen	29	15	14	52%	78.9	77.9	+1.1
10	Kirchheim	29	15	14	52%	83.5	83.8	-0.3
11	Chemnitz	29	14	15	48%	77.8	78.9	-1.1
12	Paderborn	29	10	19	34%	80.3	86.0	-5.8
13	Leverkusen	29	9	20	31%	74.7	81.6	-6.9
14	Cuxhaven	29	8	21	28%	73.4	82.9	-9.5
15	Magdeburg	29	8	21	28%	76.1	85.9	-9.9
16	BG Eisbaeren	29	6	23	21%	77.2	83.1	-5.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Essen	25	21	23	32	101
Leverkusen	14	11	22	24	71

← all games of the day

Essen vs Leverkusen Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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