Essen vs Nurnberger Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2014

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 73-83

16-26 20-15 21-21 16-21

Position#9

Record7-12

FormLLWLL

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game78.5

Essen

Nurnberger 🏆

Position#6

Record10-9

FormWLWLW

Points / game82.0

Allowed / game82.1

Pro ARound 20

Other2013-14

Meetings · Essen v Nurnberger

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Essen winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Nurnberger winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Essen

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chemnitz

#10

74-63

+11

H16/11

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

95-81

+14

A23/11

Pro A

BG Eisbaeren

#16

76-79

-3

A01/12

Pro A

Jena

98-96

H07/12

Pro A

Ehingen

74-91

-17

A10/12

Pro A

Magdeburg

#15

74-78

-4

A15/12

Pro A

Ehingen

72-86

-14

H21/12

Pro A

Paderborn

#12

77-69

H11/01

Pro A

Gotha

80-85

-5

H17/01

Pro A

Gottingen

86-94

-8

A25/01

Pro A

15-10

11-16

25-11

23-26

20-21

25-13

21-22

29-25

19-19

21-16

20-17

16-27

30-29

25-22

19-17

24-28

–

16-24

22-16

19-21

17-17

21-20

15-25

19-21

17-20

20-14

11-19

21-17

25-19

24-16

20-21

19-27

17-21

17-18

26-27

20-19

23-30

162.8Avg total

80.6Scored

82.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	76.5	78.5	155.0	-1.9	37%
Season at home (9)	75.2	77.2	152.4	-2.0	44%
Season away (10)	77.7	79.6	157.3	-1.9	30%
Last 10 (10)	80.6	82.2	162.8	-1.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	82.4	160.2	-4.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	83.0	83.8	166.8	-0.8	60%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	75.9	81.1	157.0	-5.2	12%
vs Weaker (6)	72.0	70.5	142.5	+1.5	50%

This opponent (Nurnberger) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Nurnberger Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leverkusen

#13

90-63

+27

H16/11

Pro A

Cuxhaven

#14

78-67

+11

A23/11

Pro A

Kirchheim

#11

95-101

101

-6

A30/11

Pro A

Ehingen

83-65

+18

H07/12

Pro A

Heidelberg

55-75

-20

A15/12

Pro A

Giessen

84-79

H23/12

Pro A

Giessen

71-79

-8

A04/01

Pro A

Cuxhaven

#14

85-74

+11

H11/01

Pro A

Ehingen

61-82

-21

A17/01

Pro A

Jena

95-87

H25/01

Pro A

22-14

22-11

27-13

19-25

23-17

9-14

24-15

22-21

18-28

24-22

22-26

31-25

22-21

20-11

26-14

15-19

17-16

17-18

4-21

17-20

24-20

20-22

21-17

19-20

16-15

9-19

23-17

23-28

19-19

19-20

28-15

19-20

15-16

13-14

6-22

27-30

28-12

25-23

16-24

26-28

156.9Avg total

79.7Scored

77.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	82.0	82.1	164.1	-0.1	53%
Season at home (10)	86.7	80.0	166.7	+6.7	80%
Season away (9)	76.8	84.4	161.2	-7.7	22%
Last 10 (10)	79.7	77.2	156.9	+2.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	80.2	159.4	-1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	77.6	83.5	161.2	-5.9	36%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	81.3	79.7	161.0	+1.6	62%
vs Weaker (6)	84.8	75.3	160.2	+9.5	83%

This opponent (Essen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EssenNurnberger

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	19.7	19.7	39.4	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	21.3	19.3	40.7	+2.0	78%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.0	20.1	38.1	-2.1	11%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.6	22.8	43.4	-2.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.4	71%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.5	17.5	35.0	+0.0	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	19.6	41.9	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.4	36.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.7	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.2	69%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.0	21.7	42.7	-0.7	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	18.7	18.6	37.3	+0.1	44%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	16.1	19.4	35.6	-3.3	22%	-
Last 30 away (9)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.4	67%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.1	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.2	18.6	39.8	+2.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	17.9	20.7	38.6	-2.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.5	16.2	33.7	+1.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.7	38.6	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	18.6	40.3	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	17.4	35.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.6	36.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.0	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.2	19.3	39.5	+0.8	46%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.7	16.8	36.5	+2.8	50%	-

EssenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chemnitz

#10

26-26

H16/11

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

45-34

+11

A23/11

Pro A

BG Eisbaeren

#16

40-35

A01/12

Pro A

Jena

55-51

H07/12

Pro A

Magdeburg

#15

38-40

-2

A15/12

Pro A

Ehingen

36-45

-9

H21/12

Pro A

Paderborn

#12

31-33

-2

H11/01

Pro A

Gotha

44-37

H17/01

Pro A

Gottingen

43-45

-2

A25/01

Pro A

78.2Avg total

39.8Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	38.3	38.3	76.7	+0.0	39%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	37.4	38.8	76.2	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (9)	39.2	37.9	77.1	+1.3	44%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.8	38.4	78.2	+1.3	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	40.0	78.4	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	41.8	41.4	83.2	+0.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	38.7	40.1	78.9	-1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	35.0	33.7	68.7	+1.3	33%	-

This opponent (Nurnberger) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NurnbergerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leverkusen

#13

44-25

+19

H16/11

Pro A

Cuxhaven

#14

32-31

A23/11

Pro A

Kirchheim

#11

42-50

-8

A30/11

Pro A

Ehingen

42-32

+10

H07/12

Pro A

Heidelberg

34-34

A15/12

Pro A

Giessen

44-42

H23/12

Pro A

Giessen

25-34

-9

A04/01

Pro A

Cuxhaven

#14

38-39

-1

H11/01

Pro A

Ehingen

28-30

-2

A17/01

Pro A

Jena

53-35

+18

H25/01

Pro A

73.4Avg total

38.2Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	38.4	78.7	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.9	38.2	82.2	+5.7	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.2	38.5	74.7	-2.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	35.2	73.4	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	36.0	73.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	40.3	38.5	78.8	+1.7	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	40.2	38.2	78.4	+2.1	46%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.7	38.5	79.2	+2.2	67%	-

This opponent (Essen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	18.8	18.2	36.9	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.1	17.1	36.2	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.4	19.2	37.7	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.3	19.1	39.4	+1.2	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	17.2	36.8	+2.4	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.8	17.8	35.7	+0.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.9	37.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	18.0	35.1	-0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.4	38.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.0	18.5	34.5	-2.5	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.5	14.3	36.8	+8.2	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	19.6	21.3	40.8	-1.7	39%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	18.7	21.3	40.0	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (9)	20.4	21.2	41.7	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.2	23.7	44.9	-2.4	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.6	25.2	46.8	-3.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.4	20.4	38.9	-2.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	23.5	44.0	-3.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	22.8	41.4	-4.2	12%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	24.4	47.0	-1.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	23.6	45.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	25.2	48.0	-2.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.8	25.5	46.4	-4.7	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.5	22.5	43.0	-1.9	31%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.7	22.2	41.8	-2.5	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	38.3	39.4	77.8	-1.1	39%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	37.8	38.4	76.2	-0.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (9)	38.9	40.4	79.3	-1.6	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	41.6	42.8	84.3	-1.2	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	42.4	81.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	41.2	42.4	83.6	-1.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	37.4	39.6	77.0	-2.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	37.0	36.8	73.8	+0.2	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	41.4	81.2	-1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.8	40.6	80.4	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.7	42.4	82.1	-2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	42.0	83.5	-0.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	44.2	85.8	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.8	44.0	80.8	-7.2	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	41.1	41.5	82.6	-0.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.2	36.5	78.7	+5.7	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Essen wins

Nurnberger wins

Date	Game	Score
28/09/13	Nurnberger v Essen	95-88

Essenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/01/14	A	Gottingen	86-94
17/01/14	H	Gotha	80-85
11/01/14	H	Paderborn	77-69
21/12/13	H	Ehingen	72-86
15/12/13	A	Magdeburg	74-78
10/12/13	A	Ehingen	74-91
07/12/13	H	Jena	98-96
01/12/13	A	BG Eisbaeren	76-79
23/11/13	A	Crailsheim Merlins	95-81
16/11/13	H	Chemnitz	74-63

Nurnbergerlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/01/14	H	Jena	95-87
17/01/14	A	Ehingen	61-82
11/01/14	H	Cuxhaven	85-74
04/01/14	A	Giessen	71-79
23/12/13	H	Giessen	84-79
15/12/13	A	Heidelberg	55-75
07/12/13	H	Ehingen	83-65
30/11/13	A	Kirchheim	95-101
23/11/13	A	Cuxhaven	78-67
16/11/13	H	Leverkusen	90-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Essen

Pro A 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	37%
Home	WWLWL	44%
Away	WLLLL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	37%	44%	30%
Points / game	76.5	75.2	77.7
Allowed / game	78.5	77.2	79.6
Point differential	-1.9	-2.0	-1.9
Avg total	155.0	152.4	157.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	11%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (8)	33% (3)	20% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Nurnberger

Pro A 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	53%
Home	WWWWW	80%
Away	WLLLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	53%	80%	22%
Points / game	82.0	86.7	76.8
Allowed / game	82.1	80.0	84.4
Point differential	-0.1	+6.7	-7.7
Avg total	164.1	166.7	161.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	50%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	100% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	5%	10%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Gottingen	20	17	3	85%	88.0	74.8	+13.2
2	Crailsheim Merlins	19	14	5	74%	88.3	79.2	+9.2
3	Jena	19	13	6	68%	96.5	88.1	+8.5
4	Giessen	20	13	7	65%	78.2	74.9	+3.3
5	Heidelberg	19	11	8	58%	86.3	79.3	+7.0
6	Ehingen	19	11	8	58%	78.5	76.3	+2.2
7	Chemnitz	19	11	8	58%	76.3	76.7	-0.5
8	Kirchheim	19	10	9	53%	81.9	81.9	+0.0
9	Nurnberger	19	10	9	53%	82.0	82.1	-0.1
10	Gotha	20	10	10	50%	77.3	78.0	-0.6
11	Essen	19	7	12	37%	76.5	78.5	-1.9
12	Paderborn	19	7	12	37%	76.8	82.9	-6.2
13	Leverkusen	19	6	13	32%	75.2	81.4	-6.3
14	Cuxhaven	19	5	14	26%	72.5	82.7	-10.2
15	Magdeburg	20	5	15	25%	75.1	86.2	-11.1
16	BG Eisbaeren	19	4	15	21%	76.4	83.1	-6.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Essen	16	20	21	16	73
Nurnberger	26	15	21	21	83

← all games of the day

Essen vs Nurnberger Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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