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Estela vs Oviedo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 79-87
18-26 23-23 23-7 15-31
Position#12
Record7-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#5
Record8-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game80.4
SpainPrimera FEBRound 20
Other2025-26
Meetings · Estela v Oviedo
27 Dec 2026
ESTE v OVIE
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
ESTE79
OVIE87
06 Apr 2025
ESTE80
OVIE73
29 Mar 2024
ESTE84
OVIE83
19 May 2023
ESTE76
OVIE90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oviedo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#5
L
79-97
79
97
-18
64avg 70
A06/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
83-80
83
80
+3
83avg 70
H13/12
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
74-68
74
68
+6
68avg 70
A17/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
77-65
77
65
+12
74avg 70
H21/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
77-88
77
88
-11
67avg 70
A28/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
67-102
67
102
-35
57avg 70
A04/01
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
73-76
73
76
-3
64avg 70
H10/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
no box
A18/01
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
78-72
78
72
+6
73avg 70
H31/01
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
81-89
81
89
-8
74avg 70
A07/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-32
14-19
27-23
17-23
24-12
19-21
17-29
23-18
16-10
18-20
12-17
28-21
27-21
23-13
13-15
14-16
14-29
25-17
17-19
21-23
17-30
17-20
13-20
20-32
17-15
18-20
20-21
18-20
24-20
25-23
11-16
14-22
24-16
15-25
24-12
15-19
16-34
22-17
22-21
21-17
158.1Avg total
76.3Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.384.6161.9-7.339%
Season at home (9)76.480.6157.0-4.156%
Season away (9)78.288.7166.9-10.422%
Last 10 (10)76.381.8158.1-5.540%
Last 5 (5)74.684.0158.6-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)77.689.3166.9-11.825%
vs Similar (10)77.874.9152.7+2.970%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OviedoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOviedo
Date
Competition
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
67-75
67
75
-8
no box
H22/11
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
97-79
97
79
+18
92avg 73
H06/12
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
89-88
89
88
+1
84avg 73
A12/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
102-104 OT
102
104
-2
94avg 73
A21/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
75-73
75
73
+2
73avg 73
H28/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
83-64
83
64
+19
80avg 73
H04/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
69-74
69
74
-5
55avg 73
A11/01
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
101-70
101
70
+31
no box
H17/01
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
68-86
68
86
-18
50avg 73
A31/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
84-89
84
89
-5
74avg 73
H07/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
19-13
18-21
15-16
32-21
19-14
23-27
23-17
21-21
21-22
22-20
25-25
24-14
28-22
16-33
23-22
24-23
13-16
22-16
16-18
29-14
12-18
18-6
24-26
24-22
19-19
17-17
9-16
16-25
27-17
28-12
30-16
11-19
21-22
22-23
14-22
26-24
17-18
18-19
23-28
163.7Avg total
83.5Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.880.4163.2+2.444%
Season at home (9)84.778.9163.6+5.856%
Season away (9)80.981.9162.8-1.033%
Last 10 (10)83.580.2163.7+3.350%
Last 5 (5)81.076.6157.6+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.084.2161.2-7.212%
vs Similar (7)77.381.0158.3-3.729%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.575.1161.6+11.573%
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
EstelaOviedo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#5
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A06/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H13/12
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A17/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H21/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A28/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A04/01
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H10/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A18/01
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H31/01
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A07/02
Primera FEB
81.0Avg total
39.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.580.5-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.339.379.6+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)37.743.781.3-6.027%-
Last 10 (10)39.641.481.0-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.044.083.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.944.483.3-5.535%-
vs Similar (10)39.235.674.8+3.650%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OviedoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H22/11
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H06/12
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A12/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A21/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H28/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H04/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A11/01
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H17/01
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A31/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H07/02
Primera FEB
80.7Avg total
41.8Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.082.1+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.938.680.5+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)42.341.683.9+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)41.838.980.7+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.680.0+0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.941.880.6-2.925%-
vs Similar (7)41.942.384.1-0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.938.181.9+5.873%-
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estela: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.0
57.7%
51.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.7
30.3%
33.9%23.0
🏀 Free throws14.39.7
67.4%
73.4%9.7
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oviedotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oviedo: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.713.7
40.6%
51.5%27.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.011.0
29.7%
33.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws16.713.0
78.0%
73.4%13.0
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estela
LWLLLLWWWL
Oviedo
LLWLWWLWWL
#12
League position
#5
-15.5
Net rating
-1.8
105.9
Offensive rating
98.0
121.4
Defensive rating
99.8
52.5%
Effective FG%
42.7%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.3%
3-point %
29.7%
50.6%
Assist %
56.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 98.0Defence121.4 · 99.8Shooting52.5% · 42.7%3-point %30.3% · 29.7%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Estela   ■ Oviedo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Estela wins
4
Oviedo wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Oviedo v Estela97-79
06/04/25Estela v Oviedo80-73
10/12/24Oviedo v Estela95-70
29/03/24Estela v Oviedo84-83 OT
14/01/24Oviedo v Estela86-81
19/05/23Estela v Oviedo76-90
21/01/23Oviedo v Estela62-69
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26AHestia Menorca81-89
31/01/26HCartagena78-72
18/01/26AEstudiantes74-81
10/01/26HPalmer Basket73-76
04/01/26ALeyma Coruna67-102
28/12/25AGipuzkoa77-88
21/12/25HFibwi Palma77-65
17/12/25ACartagena74-68
13/12/25HHestia Menorca83-80
06/12/25AOviedo79-97
Oviedolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HLeyma Coruna84-89
31/01/26AObradoiro CAB68-86
17/01/26HMelilla101-70
11/01/26AGipuzkoa69-74
04/01/26HFibwi Palma83-64
28/12/25HOurense75-73
21/12/25AZamora102-104 OT
12/12/25AAlicante89-88
06/12/25HEstela97-79
22/11/25HHestia Menorca67-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL39%
HomeLWWLW56%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%56%22%
Points / game77.376.478.2
Allowed / game84.680.688.7
Point differential-7.3-4.1-10.4
Avg total161.9157.0166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oviedo
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeWWWWL56%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%56%33%
Points / game82.884.780.9
Allowed / game80.478.981.9
Point differential+2.4+5.8-1.0
Avg total163.2163.6162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna1817194%93.478.4+15.0
2 Obradoiro CAB1916384%91.878.7+13.1
3 Palencia1812667%83.673.6+10.1
4 Estudiantes1812667%84.179.6+4.5
5 Gipuzkoa1912763%79.073.3+5.7
6 Fuenlabrada1912763%79.780.8-1.1
7 Hestia Menorca1810856%83.378.9+4.4
8 Alicante1810856%84.680.7+3.8
9 Fibwi Palma1991047%77.981.3-3.3
10 Oviedo1881044%82.880.4+2.4
11 Ourense1881044%81.281.0+0.2
12 Zamora1881044%85.388.1-2.8
13 Estela1871139%77.384.6-7.3
14 Tizona Burgos1951426%82.688.6-6.1
15 Cartagena1841422%72.985.3-12.4
16 Palmer Basket1731418%71.486.0-14.6
17 Melilla1821611%76.188.9-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estela1823231579
Oviedo262373187
← all games of the day
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