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Estudiantes vs Estela Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 81-74
20-24 23-25 16-11 22-14
Position#4
Record11-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#12
Record6-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game85.4
SpainPrimera FEBRound 17
Other2025-26
Meetings · Estudiantes v Estela
28 Mar 2027
EST v ESTE
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
EST81
ESTE74
22 Apr 2025
EST101
ESTE76
03 Dec 2023
EST101
ESTE61
16 Apr 2023
EST80
ESTE54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Cartagena
#16
W
95-68
95
68
+27
90avg 80
A01/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
87-92
87
92
-5
74avg 80
H09/11
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
99-76
99
76
+23
95avg 80
H16/11
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
52-83
52
83
-31
no box
A22/11
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
68-64
68
64
+4
64avg 80
A07/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
102-85
102
85
+17
99avg 80
H14/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
96-86
96
86
+10
94avg 80
A17/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
86-77
86
77
+9
75avg 80
H28/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
92-75
92
75
+17
87avg 80
H04/01
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
76-80
76
80
-4
78avg 80
A11/01
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-10
20-20
23-13
28-25
27-16
20-22
19-17
21-37
24-28
30-15
22-17
23-16
18-22
11-20
12-19
11-22
17-12
21-15
18-15
12-22
22-15
32-26
12-28
36-16
22-16
15-18
28-27
31-25
27-13
16-24
26-21
17-19
24-18
18-25
32-14
18-18
18-19
17-24
20-14
21-23
163.9Avg total
85.3Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.379.5165.8+6.973%
Season at home (8)90.681.8172.4+8.975%
Season away (7)81.476.9158.3+4.671%
Last 10 (10)85.378.6163.9+6.770%
Last 5 (5)90.480.6171.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.288.5164.8-12.20%
vs Similar (7)89.988.7178.6+1.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.675.4163.0+12.389%
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
W
76-72
76
72
+4
61avg 69
H01/11
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
L
84-91
84
91
-7
72avg 69
H15/11
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
90-101
90
101
-11
93avg 69
A23/11
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
79-97
79
97
-18
64avg 69
A06/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
83-80
83
80
+3
83avg 69
H13/12
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
74-68
74
68
+6
68avg 69
A17/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
77-65
77
65
+12
74avg 69
H21/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
77-88
77
88
-11
67avg 69
A28/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
67-102
67
102
-35
57avg 69
A04/01
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
73-76
73
76
-3
64avg 69
H10/01
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
13-21
17-18
22-13
28-23
12-23
22-27
22-18
19-21
22-25
24-28
25-27
21-32
14-19
27-23
17-23
24-12
19-21
17-29
23-18
16-10
18-20
12-17
28-21
27-21
23-13
13-15
14-16
14-29
25-17
17-19
21-23
17-30
17-20
13-20
20-32
17-15
18-20
20-21
18-20
162.0Avg total
78.0Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.385.4162.7-8.140%
Season at home (8)76.281.6157.9-5.450%
Season away (7)78.489.7168.1-11.329%
Last 10 (10)78.084.0162.0-6.040%
Last 5 (5)73.679.8153.4-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)77.988.9166.8-11.032%
vs Similar (10)79.675.3154.9+4.370%
vs Weaker (1)87.068.0155.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
EstudiantesEstela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cartagena
#16
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A01/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H09/11
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H16/11
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A22/11
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A07/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H14/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A17/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H28/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H04/01
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A11/01
Primera FEB
80.1Avg total
42.3Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.040.385.3+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.241.090.2+8.287%-
Last 30 away (15)40.739.780.4+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)42.337.880.1+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.681.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.243.581.8-5.225%-
vs Similar (7)46.743.189.9+3.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.738.684.4+7.179%-
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H01/11
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H15/11
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A23/11
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A06/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H13/12
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A17/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H21/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A28/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A04/01
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H10/01
Primera FEB
80.0Avg total
38.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.579.5-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.738.579.2+2.262%-
Last 30 away (14)37.142.779.9-5.629%-
Last 10 (10)38.841.280.0-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.077.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.543.581.9-5.037%-
vs Similar (10)39.835.174.9+4.760%-
vs Weaker (1)42.037.079.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.1
55.1%
51.5%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.0
34.0%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.814.7
70.7%
73.4%14.7
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estela: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.5
55.7%
51.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.5
29.4%
33.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws12.58.5
68.0%
73.4%8.5
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estudiantes
LWWWWWLWLW
Estela
LLLWWWLLLW
#4
League position
#12
-6.8
Net rating
-28.2
113.0
Offensive rating
104.0
119.9
Defensive rating
132.2
53.5%
Effective FG%
50.8%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
61.9%
13.5%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.0%
3-point %
29.4%
55.6%
Assist %
50.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 104.0Defence119.9 · 132.2Shooting53.5% · 50.8%3-point %34.0% · 29.4%Ball care13.5% · 0.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Estudiantes   ■ Estela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Estudiantes wins
0
Estela wins
DateGameScore
22/04/25Estudiantes v Estela101-76
04/01/25Estela v Estudiantes75-92
20/04/24Estela v Estudiantes67-81
03/12/23Estudiantes v Estela101-61
16/04/23Estudiantes v Estela80-54
17/12/22Estela v Estudiantes76-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26AFibwi Palma76-80
04/01/26HOurense92-75
28/12/25HZamora86-77
17/12/25AHestia Menorca96-86
14/12/25HTizona Burgos102-85
07/12/25APalmer Basket68-64
22/11/25APalencia52-83
16/11/25HFuenlabrada99-76
09/11/25HLeyma Coruna87-92
01/11/25ACartagena95-68
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HPalmer Basket73-76
04/01/26ALeyma Coruna67-102
28/12/25AGipuzkoa77-88
21/12/25HFibwi Palma77-65
17/12/25ACartagena74-68
13/12/25HHestia Menorca83-80
06/12/25AOviedo79-97
23/11/25AAlicante90-101
15/11/25HTizona Burgos84-91
01/11/25HMelilla76-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWLWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%75%71%
Points / game86.390.681.4
Allowed / game79.581.876.9
Point differential+6.9+8.9+4.6
Avg total165.8172.4158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%38%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estela
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%50%29%
Points / game77.376.278.4
Allowed / game85.481.689.7
Point differential-8.1-5.4-11.3
Avg total162.7157.9168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna1615194%92.978.4+14.5
2 Obradoiro CAB1613381%91.679.1+12.6
3 Estudiantes1511473%86.379.5+6.9
4 Palencia1610662%83.174.3+8.8
5 Alicante1610662%86.580.6+5.9
6 Hestia Menorca169756%82.877.4+5.3
7 Gipuzkoa169756%78.274.9+3.3
8 Oviedo168850%83.679.5+4.1
9 Fuenlabrada147750%80.183.4-3.4
10 Fibwi Palma168850%77.681.6-4.0
11 Ourense157847%82.782.2+0.5
12 Zamora167944%85.287.6-2.4
13 Estela156940%77.385.4-8.1
14 Tizona Burgos1641225%84.789.9-5.2
15 Cartagena1641225%73.685.9-12.3
16 Palmer Basket1531220%69.585.3-15.8
17 Melilla1621412%76.288.2-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes2023162281
Estela2425111474
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