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Estela vs Real Valladolid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 81-82
20-15 27-25 18-24 16-18
Position#14
Record2-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game84.7
vs
Position#9
Record3-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game80.5
SpainPrimera FEBRound 7
Other2023-24
Meetings · Estela v Real Valladolid
02 Nov 2024
ESTE68
REAL73
12 Nov 2023
ESTE81
REAL82
06 May 2023
ESTE72
REAL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Valladolid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Melilla
#16
W
95-89
95
89
+6
no box
A30/04
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
72-71
72
71
+1
no box
H06/05
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
L
90-91
90
91
-1
no box
A13/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#14
L
76-90
76
90
-14
no box
H19/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
78-73
78
73
+5
64avg 68
A07/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
no box
H14/10
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
90-119
90
119
-29
75avg 68
A22/10
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
W
75-63
75
63
+12
66avg 68
H28/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
79-89
79
89
-10
73avg 68
A01/11
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 68
H05/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
15-25
26-18
26-26
20-11
17-16
14-18
21-26
28-22
22-24
20-20
20-25
17-21
16-24
25-18
18-27
30-17
14-19
14-16
20-21
12-16
15-21
18-4
18-22
13-33
23-30
23-31
31-25
20-12
25-10
14-25
16-16
22-27
14-18
21-21
22-23
16-24
17-18
24-23
15-19
165.2Avg total
80.3Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.384.7163.0-6.333%
Season at home (3)74.375.7150.0-1.333%
Season away (3)82.393.7176.0-11.333%
Last 10 (10)80.384.9165.2-4.640%
Last 5 (5)78.487.0165.4-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)73.485.5158.8-12.124%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.878.4159.2+2.358%
vs Weaker (1)74.085.0159.0-11.00%
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real ValladolidSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValladolid
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#6
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
no box
H27/05
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#6
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
A01/06
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#6
W
90-83
90
83
+7
no box
A03/06
Primera FEB
Palencia
#2
L
60-90
60
90
-30
no box
A17/06
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
86-92
86
92
-6
82avg 71
A06/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
W
70-66
70
66
+4
60avg 71
H14/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
75-54
75
54
+21
70avg 71
A20/10
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
94-111
94
111
-17
85avg 71
H28/10
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
69-94
69
94
-25
59avg 71
A31/10
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
W
72-66
72
66
+6
70avg 71
H04/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
21-12
17-27
21-22
13-20
16-24
11-14
31-19
25-22
22-22
20-21
23-18
8-19
24-17
12-31
16-23
33-20
16-20
21-26
16-26
22-14
12-21
25-15
11-16
21-13
9-6
18-20
27-15
30-32
23-26
19-20
22-33
25-29
7-18
18-23
19-24
23-14
16-19
12-17
21-16
158.9Avg total
77.3Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.780.5158.2-2.850%
Season at home (3)78.781.0159.7-2.367%
Season away (3)76.780.0156.7-3.333%
Last 10 (10)77.381.6158.9-4.350%
Last 5 (5)76.078.2154.2-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.881.7155.4-7.933%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.478.9157.3-0.570%
vs Weaker (11)79.773.5153.3+6.273%
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
EstelaReal Valladolid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#16
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A30/04
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H06/05
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A13/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#14
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H19/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A07/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H14/10
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
36-63
36
63
-27
A22/10
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H28/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A01/11
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H05/11
Primera FEB
79.2Avg total
38.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.440.477.8-2.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.937.474.3-0.533%-
Last 30 away (15)37.943.381.3-5.427%-
Last 10 (10)38.440.879.2-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.441.877.2-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.841.878.6-5.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.238.276.4+0.133%-
vs Weaker (1)38.042.080.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#6
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H27/05
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#6
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A01/06
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#6
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A03/06
Primera FEB
Palencia
#2
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A17/06
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A06/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H14/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
30-19
30
19
+11
A20/10
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H28/10
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A31/10
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H04/11
Primera FEB
77.4Avg total
38.7Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.637.775.3-0.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.737.678.4+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)34.937.872.7-2.850%-
Last 10 (10)38.738.777.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.476.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.438.274.7-1.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.839.676.4-2.850%-
vs Weaker (11)39.435.574.9+3.882%-
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Estela wins
1
Real Valladolid wins
DateGameScore
06/05/23Estela v Real Valladolid72-71
07/01/23Real Valladolid v Estela67-60
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HSan Pablo Burgos72-84
01/11/23AAlicante79-89
28/10/23HForca Lleida75-63
22/10/23ALeyma Coruna90-119
14/10/23HOurense76-80 OT
07/10/23AFuenlabrada78-73
19/05/23HOviedo76-90
13/05/23AAlmansa90-91
06/05/23HReal Valladolid72-71
30/04/23AMelilla95-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HReal Betis72-66
31/10/23ASan Pablo Burgos69-94
28/10/23HLeyma Coruna94-111
20/10/23AAlicante75-54
14/10/23HHestia Menorca70-66
06/10/23ATizona Burgos86-92
17/06/23APalencia60-90
03/06/23AForca Lleida90-83
01/06/23AForca Lleida71-77
27/05/23HForca Lleida86-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game78.374.382.3
Allowed / game84.775.793.7
Point differential-6.3-1.3-11.3
Avg total163.0150.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Real Valladolid
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game77.778.776.7
Allowed / game80.581.080.0
Point differential-2.8-2.3-3.3
Avg total158.2159.7156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Estudiantes76186%85.473.1+12.3
2 San Pablo Burgos76186%82.470.4+12.0
3 Leyma Coruna75271%88.479.4+9.0
4 Ourense75271%76.369.3+7.0
5 Tizona Burgos75271%89.085.0+4.0
6 Gipuzkoa75271%78.775.9+2.9
7 Alicante74357%75.474.4+1.0
8 Castello63350%82.884.0-1.2
9 Real Valladolid63350%77.780.5-2.8
10 Caceres73443%79.081.9-2.9
11 Oviedo73443%79.383.1-3.9
12 Forca Lleida62433%74.577.8-3.3
13 Estela62433%78.384.7-6.3
14 Fuenlabrada72529%73.477.4-4.0
15 Hestia Menorca72529%65.370.6-5.3
16 Melilla72529%73.981.4-7.6
17 Clavijo72529%64.373.7-9.4
18 Real Betis71614%75.478.9-3.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estela2027181681
Real Valladolid1525241882
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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