Palencia vs Real Valladolid Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jun 2023

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 90-60

19-8 17-24 31-12 23-16

Position#2

Record30-7

FormLWWWW

Points / game82.2

Allowed / game72.2

Palencia 🏆

Real Valladolid

Position#4

Record25-13

FormWWWLW

Points / game77.3

Allowed / game74.0

Primera FEBLEB Oro - Semi-finals

Other2022-23

Meetings · Palencia v Real Valladolid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Real Valladolid winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ourense

#13

86-80

H09/04

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

65-89

-24

A15/04

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

103-63

103

+40

H21/04

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

81-88

-7

A28/04

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

74-66

H05/05

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

69-81

-12

A14/05

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

115-86

115

+29

H19/05

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

88-57

+31

H26/05

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

75-68

H28/05

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

63-60

A02/06

Primera FEB

19-18

22-9

14-24

31-29

12-21

14-24

21-21

18-23

27-22

15-16

39-15

22-10

23-29

23-19

17-13

18-27

15-15

20-20

23-14

16-17

23-16

11-27

14-17

21-21

31-11

29-24

26-35

29-16

20-14

27-10

19-22

22-11

21-20

23-12

16-20

15-16

9-10

16-12

16-19

22-19

155.7Avg total

81.9Scored

73.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	82.2	72.2	154.5	+10.0	81%
Season at home (19)	86.2	69.6	155.8	+16.6	100%
Season away (18)	78.1	75.0	153.1	+3.1	61%
Last 10 (10)	81.9	73.8	155.7	+8.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	70.4	152.4	+11.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	79.3	85.0	164.3	-5.7	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	83.6	72.6	156.2	+10.9	85%

This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Valladolid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

74-81

-7

H15/04

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

94-82

+12

A23/04

Primera FEB

Castello

92-82

+10

H29/04

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

71-72

-1

A06/05

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

83-70

+13

H12/05

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

87-81

A19/05

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

73-66

H25/05

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

86-83 OT

H27/05

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

71-77

-6

A01/06

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

90-83

A03/06

Primera FEB

23-24

15-20

25-20

11-17

18-17

18-16

32-30

26-19

24-21

14-14

25-20

29-27

11-20

16-17

18-14

26-21

24-22

23-16

20-16

16-16

20-21

24-20

18-20

25-20

10-18

25-24

16-11

22-13

21-19

21-12

17-27

21-22

13-20

16-24

11-14

31-19

25-22

22-22

20-21

23-18

159.8Avg total

82.1Scored

77.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (38)	77.3	74.0	151.3	+3.3	66%
Season at home (19)	80.6	69.5	150.1	+11.1	95%
Season away (19)	74.0	78.4	152.4	-4.4	37%
Last 10 (10)	82.1	77.7	159.8	+4.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	78.0	159.4	+3.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	69.5	80.5	150.0	-11.0	25%
vs Similar (11)	78.3	76.3	154.5	+2.0	73%
vs Weaker (15)	78.6	72.5	151.1	+6.1	73%

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PalenciaReal Valladolid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.5	38.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	17.1	38.4	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.6	37.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	14.2	35.0	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	18.7	21.7	40.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.5	18.1	38.7	+2.4	63%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.5	37.8	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.2	38.3	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	19.7	37.3	-2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.4	39.3	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.0	18.5	35.5	-1.5	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.4	19.5	36.8	-2.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.3	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	18.7	40.4	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	16.6	36.1	+2.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.3	37.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.0	38.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	18.7	21.0	39.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.8	17.3	38.1	+3.6	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	17.2	36.5	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.5	37.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	14.8	19.5	34.2	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	20.2	39.6	-0.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.1	16.0	35.1	+3.1	60%	-

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ourense

#13

41-27

+14

H09/04

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

26-45

-19

A15/04

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

42-38

H21/04

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

46-48

-2

A28/04

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

35-35

H05/05

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

34-43

-9

A14/05

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

60-35

+25

H19/05

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

47-24

+23

H26/05

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

44-32

+12

H28/05

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

25-22

A02/06

Primera FEB

74.9Avg total

40.0Scored

34.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	36.1	77.1	+4.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.0	35.8	78.8	+7.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	36.5	75.3	+2.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	34.9	74.9	+5.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	31.2	73.2	+10.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	37.3	42.7	80.0	-5.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	41.3	35.4	76.7	+5.9	70%	-

This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

38-44

-6

H15/04

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

36-33

A23/04

Primera FEB

Castello

38-35

H29/04

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

27-37

-10

A06/05

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

47-38

H12/05

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

44-41

A19/05

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

35-42

-7

H25/05

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

42-31

+11

H27/05

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

29-44

-15

A01/06

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

47-44

A03/06

Primera FEB

77.2Avg total

38.3Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	37.5	74.4	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.4	36.4	74.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.5	38.5	74.1	-3.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	38.9	77.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	40.4	79.8	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	31.8	38.0	69.8	-6.2	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	36.8	39.6	76.5	-2.8	55%	-
vs Weaker (15)	38.5	35.7	74.2	+2.7	67%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.2	38.8	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	19.0	41.5	+3.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	17.5	36.0	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.6	40.8	-4.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	21.7	19.7	41.3	+2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.4	18.1	38.5	+2.3	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.1	35.8	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	16.4	33.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	19.9	37.7	-2.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.3	39.5	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.6	35.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	18.2	22.8	41.0	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	36%	-
vs Weaker (15)	17.3	16.4	33.7	+0.9	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.5	41.2	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	16.5	39.3	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	22.5	43.0	-2.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.9	40.3	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	16.6	38.4	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	20.3	22.7	43.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.8	19.1	41.0	+2.7	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	18.5	39.9	+3.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	16.3	38.0	+5.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	19.2	42.2	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	18.4	42.8	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.5	19.8	39.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.9	17.5	40.5	+5.4	82%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.9	18.8	39.7	+2.1	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	37.7	79.9	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.4	35.5	80.9	+9.9	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.0	40.0	79.0	-1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	38.9	80.8	+3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	39.2	79.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	42.0	42.3	84.3	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	42.2	37.2	79.4	+5.0	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	36.6	75.7	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.2	32.7	71.9	+6.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.0	40.5	79.5	-1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	38.5	81.7	+4.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	37.0	77.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	37.8	42.5	80.2	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.9	36.4	77.3	+4.5	73%	-
vs Weaker (15)	38.1	35.2	73.3	+2.9	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Palencia wins

Real Valladolid wins

Date	Game	Score
28/01/23	Real Valladolid v Palencia	76-70
07/10/22	Palencia v Real Valladolid	75-65
06/03/22	Palencia v Real Valladolid	68-64
30/10/21	Real Valladolid v Palencia	69-78
08/01/21	Palencia v Real Valladolid	72-67
01/11/20	Real Valladolid v Palencia	73-66

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/06/23	A	Alicante	63-60
28/05/23	H	Alicante	75-68
26/05/23	H	Alicante	88-57
19/05/23	H	Melilla	115-86
14/05/23	A	Leyma Coruna	69-81
05/05/23	H	Estudiantes	74-66
28/04/23	A	Forca Lleida	81-88
21/04/23	H	Iraurgi SB	103-63
15/04/23	A	San Pablo Burgos	65-89
09/04/23	H	Ourense	86-80

Real Valladolidlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/06/23	A	Forca Lleida	90-83
01/06/23	A	Forca Lleida	71-77
27/05/23	H	Forca Lleida	86-83 OT
25/05/23	H	Forca Lleida	73-66
19/05/23	A	Caceres	87-81
12/05/23	H	Albacete	83-70
06/05/23	A	Estela	71-72
29/04/23	H	Castello	92-82
23/04/23	A	Gipuzkoa	94-82
15/04/23	H	MoraBanc Andorra	74-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	81%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLLLW	61%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	19	18
Win %	81%	100%	61%
Points / game	82.2	86.2	78.1
Allowed / game	72.2	69.6	75.0
Point differential	+10.0	+16.6	+3.1
Avg total	154.5	155.8	153.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	68%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	-	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Real Valladolid

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	66%
Home	LWWWW	95%
Away	WLWLW	37%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	38	19	19
Win %	66%	95%	37%
Points / game	77.3	80.6	74.0
Allowed / game	74.0	69.5	78.4
Point differential	+3.3	+11.1	-4.4
Avg total	151.3	150.1	152.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	34%	53%	16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	100% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	8%	16%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	MoraBanc Andorra	34	30	4	88%	82.8	69.2	+13.6
2	Palencia	37	30	7	81%	82.2	72.2	+10.0
3	San Pablo Burgos	37	25	12	68%	84.6	76.2	+8.4
4	Real Valladolid	38	25	13	66%	77.3	74.0	+3.3
5	Leyma Coruna	38	24	14	63%	83.1	76.7	+6.4
6	Forca Lleida	38	23	15	61%	79.8	77.0	+2.8
7	Estudiantes	37	22	15	59%	79.8	75.4	+4.4
8	Gipuzkoa	38	22	16	58%	77.1	74.5	+2.6
9	Castello	34	17	17	50%	76.5	78.3	-1.8
10	Alicante	37	18	19	49%	74.7	76.1	-1.4
11	Estela	34	15	19	44%	74.3	79.1	-4.9
12	Almansa	34	13	21	38%	75.5	80.0	-4.4
13	Ourense	34	12	22	35%	72.6	79.6	-7.0
14	Oviedo	34	11	23	32%	70.1	76.9	-6.8
15	Caceres	34	10	24	29%	76.1	81.6	-5.4
16	Melilla	34	8	26	24%	76.8	84.2	-7.4
17	Iraurgi SB	34	8	26	24%	73.2	82.4	-9.2
18	Albacete	34	7	27	21%	73.3	80.0	-6.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Palencia	19	17	31	23	90
Real Valladolid	8	24	12	16	60

← all games of the day

Palencia vs Real Valladolid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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