PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Estepona W vs Ferrol W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 65-49
13-18 15-13 31-5 6-13
Position#9
Record5-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game74.9
Estepona W 🏆
Spain
vs
Ferrol W
Spain
Position#8
Record8-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game73.8
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 18
Women2025-26
Meetings · Estepona W v Ferrol W
23 Jan 2027
ESTE v FERR
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
ESTE65
FERR49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estepona W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ferrol W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estepona WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Valencia W
#3
L
74-82
74
82
-8
72avg 62
A30/11
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
L
70-86
70
86
-16
59avg 62
H03/12
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
W
91-71
91
71
+20
94avg 62
A06/12
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
L
60-85
60
85
-25
44avg 62
A14/12
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
66-62
66
62
+4
60avg 62
H20/12
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
L
72-77
72
77
-5
62avg 62
H28/12
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
L
70-89
70
89
-19
56avg 62
A04/01
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
80-64
80
64
+16
73avg 62
H07/01
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
59-62
59
62
-3
48avg 62
A11/01
Liga Femenina W
Leganes W
#7
L
67-71
67
71
-4
no box
A17/01
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
23-21
16-10
14-29
16-22
18-21
18-18
18-25
23-21
27-17
19-23
22-10
20-17
19-23
11-25
10-20
10-20
17-12
23-16
16-14
17-19
22-19
15-15
18-24
21-16
16-25
8-25
25-23
15-22
22-18
23-13
20-11
12-18
17-17
14-14
16-13
23-21
11-14
17-26
16-10
145.8Avg total
70.9Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)69.874.9144.6-5.129%
Season at home (7)68.772.1140.9-3.443%
Season away (10)70.576.8147.3-6.320%
Last 10 (10)70.974.9145.8-4.030%
Last 5 (5)69.672.6142.2-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)63.773.2136.8-9.50%
vs Similar ◀ (8)70.476.2146.6-5.938%
vs Weaker (3)80.374.7155.0+5.767%
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ferrol WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Jairis W
#5
L
62-81
62
81
-19
52avg 67
A14/12
Liga Femenina W
San Giovanni W
#33
W
66-60
66
60
+6
64avg 67
H18/12
EuroCup Women
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
72avg 67
A21/12
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#6
W
71-67
71
67
+4
68avg 67
H28/12
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
66-62
66
62
+4
55avg 67
H04/01
Liga Femenina W
Leganes W
#7
L
73-78
73
78
-5
70avg 67
A07/01
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
W
74-54
74
54
+20
68avg 67
H10/01
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
L
58-86
58
86
-28
no box
A15/01
EuroCup Women
Jairis W
#5
L
50-64
50
64
-14
no box
H17/01
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
L
57-79
57
79
-22
51avg 67
H21/01
EuroCup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
8-14
16-20
17-22
14-15
20-17
16-16
16-12
23-11
16-26
18-24
18-20
23-19
13-26
18-9
17-13
15-17
16-19
19-14
16-12
20-20
20-20
16-20
17-18
25-12
23-17
13-12
13-13
16-23
13-22
11-16
18-25
9-18
8-15
15-12
18-19
16-21
15-21
13-24
13-13
136.4Avg total
65.2Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)70.573.8144.2-3.347%
Season at home (9)68.166.3134.4+1.867%
Season away (8)73.182.1155.2-9.025%
Last 10 (10)65.271.2136.4-6.040%
Last 5 (5)62.472.2134.6-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)62.476.8139.1-14.412%
vs Similar ◀ (11)68.873.8142.6-5.045%
vs Weaker (11)85.464.6150.0+20.791%
This opponent (Estepona W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
Estepona WFerrol W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Estepona WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia W
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/11
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H03/12
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A06/12
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/12
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H20/12
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H28/12
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A04/01
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#16
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H07/01
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A11/01
Liga Femenina W
Leganes W
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A17/01
Liga Femenina W
75.5Avg total
37.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)36.438.875.2-2.435%-
Last 30 at home (7)32.940.973.7-8.014%-
Last 30 away (10)38.937.376.2+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.575.5-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.237.873.0-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.540.872.3-9.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.236.975.1+1.438%-
vs Weaker (3)41.339.781.0+1.733%-
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ferrol WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jairis W
#5
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A14/12
Liga Femenina W
San Giovanni W
#33
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H18/12
EuroCup Women
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A21/12
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H28/12
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H04/01
Liga Femenina W
Leganes W
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A07/01
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H10/01
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A15/01
EuroCup Women
Jairis W
#5
L
17-33
17
33
-16
H17/01
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H21/01
EuroCup Women
71.2Avg total
33.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.336.673.8+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.033.569.5+2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)38.539.778.2-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)33.437.871.2-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)33.037.870.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.137.971.0-4.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.539.674.1-5.29%-
vs Weaker (11)43.132.575.6+10.591%-
This opponent (Estepona W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estepona Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estepona W: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.7 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.716.3
45.8%
46.8%32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.7
34.3%
32.1%23.0
🏀 Free throws18.714.0
75.0%
74.2%14.0
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ferrol Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferrol W: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.0
50.5%
46.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.9
36.1%
32.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws15.412.5
81.2%
74.2%12.5
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estepona W
LLWLLWLWLL
Ferrol W
LLLWLWWLWL
#9
League position
#8
-2.9
Net rating
+21.2
101.4
Offensive rating
106.9
104.3
Defensive rating
85.7
48.0%
Effective FG%
52.1%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
43.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
13.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.3%
3-point %
36.1%
55.6%
Assist %
67.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 106.9Defence104.3 · 85.7Shooting48.0% · 52.1%3-point %34.3% · 36.1%Ball care0.0% · 13.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Estepona W   ■ Ferrol W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Estepona W wins
0
Ferrol W wins
DateGameScore
01/11/25Ferrol W v Estepona W75-95
Estepona Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26ALeganes W67-71
11/01/26AZaragoza W59-62
07/01/26HGran Canaria W80-64
04/01/26ACadi La Seu W70-89
28/12/25HJairis W72-77
20/12/25HJoventut Badalona W66-62
14/12/25AEstudiantes W60-85
06/12/25AAraski W91-71
03/12/25HGernika Bizkaia W70-86
30/11/25AValencia W74-82
Ferrol Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26HPerfumerias Avenida W57-79
17/01/26HJairis W50-64
15/01/26APerfumerias Avenida W58-86
10/01/26HEstudiantes W74-54
07/01/26ALeganes W73-78
04/01/26HJoventut Badalona W66-62
28/12/25HEnsino W71-67
21/12/25APerfumerias Avenida W75-81
18/12/25HSan Giovanni W66-60
14/12/25AJairis W62-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estepona W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeLLWLW43%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %29%43%20%
Points / game69.868.770.5
Allowed / game74.972.176.8
Point differential-5.1-3.4-6.3
Avg total144.6140.9147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%14%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ferrol W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL47%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%67%25%
Points / game70.568.173.1
Allowed / game73.866.382.1
Point differential-3.3+1.8-9.0
Avg total144.2134.4155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zaragoza W1716194%77.165.6+11.5
2 Uni Girona W1715288%80.665.9+14.6
3 Valencia W1713476%75.566.2+9.3
4 Jairis W1711665%72.867.1+5.7
5 Leganes W1810856%69.667.6+2.0
6 Perfumerias Avenida W179853%66.868.2-1.4
7 IDK Gipuzkoa W178947%65.265.8-0.5
8 Ensino W178947%71.973.5-1.6
9 Ferrol W178947%70.573.8-3.3
10 Joventut Badalona W1771041%72.173.3-1.2
11 Cadi La Seu W1771041%70.675.4-4.8
12 Gernika Bizkaia W1871139%72.776.6-3.9
13 Estudiantes W1751229%75.778.5-2.8
14 Estepona W1751229%69.874.9-5.1
15 Araski W1751229%64.571.8-7.2
16 Gran Canaria W1731418%70.781.9-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estepona W131531665
Ferrol W181351349
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.