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Estepona W vs Ferrol W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game64.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.9/10
Above normal
3.2/10
Below normal
Position#6
Record5-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game75.7
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 19
Women2026-27
Meetings · Estepona W v Ferrol W
23 Jan 2027
ESTE v FERR
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
ESTE65
FERR49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estepona W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ferrol W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estepona WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Zaragoza W
#1
L
49-90
49
90
-41
28avg 63
A03/05
Liga Femenina W
San Giovanni W
#22
L
65-76
65
76
-11
47avg 63
H24/09
EuroCup Women
San Giovanni W
#22
L
71-76
71
76
-5
61avg 63
A30/09
EuroCup Women
Zaragoza W
#1
L
41-68
41
68
-27
24avg 63
A04/10
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#15
W
82-55
82
55
+27
84avg 63
H08/10
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#6
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 63
A11/10
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#10
W
81-67
81
67
+14
74avg 63
H17/10
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#12
W
70-52
70
52
+18
70avg 63
A24/10
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#13
W
70-55
70
55
+15
no box
H31/10
Liga Femenina W
Mallorca Palma W
#3
L
53-69
53
69
-16
no box
A06/11
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-30
4-19
24-19
9-22
25-25
13-16
16-13
11-22
16-25
14-17
24-14
17-20
8-22
11-16
9-11
13-19
14-17
20-11
25-10
23-17
23-19
17-19
18-20
14-26
21-28
22-16
21-15
17-8
17-16
14-15
15-9
24-12
14-17
20-16
19-7
17-15
12-20
16-17
18-19
7-13
134.6Avg total
65.4Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)67.064.3131.3+2.757%
Season at home (3)77.759.0136.7+18.7100%
Season away (4)59.068.2127.2-9.225%
Last 10 (10)65.469.2134.6-3.840%
Last 5 (5)69.265.4134.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)62.676.9139.5-14.317%
vs Similar (8)72.468.0140.4+4.475%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)79.568.7148.2+10.870%
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ferrol WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Jairis W
#4
L
61-74
61
74
-13
53avg 64
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
Estepona W
#7
W
84-72
84
72
+12
72avg 64
H11/10
Liga Femenina W
Olympiacos W
#18
L
68-96
68
96
-28
59avg 64
A14/10
EuroCup Women
Valencia W
#2
L
50-87
50
87
-37
36avg 64
A18/10
Liga Femenina W
CBK Mersin W
#3
L
45-87
45
87
-42
27avg 64
H21/10
EuroCup Women
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
76-71
76
71
+5
69avg 64
H24/10
Liga Femenina W
Sleza Wroclaw W
#44
W
87-65
87
65
+22
86avg 64
A28/10
EuroCup Women
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#5
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
no box
A31/10
Liga Femenina W
Olympiacos W
#18
L
58-77
58
77
-19
no box
H03/11
EuroCup Women
Leganes W
#11
W
66-64
66
64
+2
no box
A06/11
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
10-14
11-20
21-17
19-23
19-17
20-18
26-14
17-27
11-18
18-29
22-22
12-20
13-17
11-25
14-25
17-19
11-22
11-22
6-24
23-23
21-14
15-8
17-26
31-15
16-17
17-20
23-13
26-17
15-21
16-24
22-17
22-14
13-17
10-22
13-24
18-15
19-16
14-20
15-13
146.4Avg total
68.6Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.975.7148.6-2.971%
Season at home (3)80.773.3154.0+7.3100%
Season away (4)67.077.5144.5-10.550%
Last 10 (10)68.677.8146.4-9.250%
Last 5 (5)75.672.4148.0+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)65.277.8143.1-12.625%
vs Similar (10)67.971.8139.7-3.950%
vs Weaker (8)80.570.2150.8+10.288%
This opponent (Estepona W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -6.5-6.5Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -6.5-6.5Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
Estepona WFerrol W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Estepona WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zaragoza W
#1
L
16-49
16
49
-33
A03/05
Liga Femenina W
San Giovanni W
#22
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H24/09
EuroCup Women
San Giovanni W
#22
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A30/09
EuroCup Women
Zaragoza W
#1
L
19-38
19
38
-19
A04/10
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#15
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H08/10
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A11/10
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#10
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H17/10
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#12
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A24/10
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#13
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H31/10
Liga Femenina W
Mallorca Palma W
#3
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A06/11
Liga Femenina W
69.4Avg total
31.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.237.972.1-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.337.172.4-1.838%-
Last 30 away (14)33.038.771.7-5.729%-
Last 10 (10)31.338.169.4-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.671.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)29.340.870.1-11.417%-
vs Similar (8)36.435.071.4+1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)38.436.775.1+1.740%-
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ferrol WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jairis W
#4
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
Estepona W
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H11/10
Liga Femenina W
Olympiacos W
#18
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A14/10
EuroCup Women
Valencia W
#2
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A18/10
Liga Femenina W
CBK Mersin W
#3
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H21/10
EuroCup Women
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H24/10
Liga Femenina W
Sleza Wroclaw W
#44
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A28/10
EuroCup Women
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A31/10
Liga Femenina W
Olympiacos W
#18
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H03/11
EuroCup Women
Leganes W
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A06/11
Liga Femenina W
72.1Avg total
35.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.936.372.1-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.334.572.8+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)33.538.071.5-4.547%-
Last 10 (10)35.236.972.1-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.833.874.6+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)31.538.269.7-6.725%-
vs Similar (10)36.535.772.2+0.860%-
vs Weaker (8)41.634.175.8+7.588%-
This opponent (Estepona W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estepona Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estepona W: 66.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.215.8
44.9%
46.9%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.3
31.2%
30.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws13.710.3
75.2%
74.7%10.3
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ferrol Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferrol W: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.716.7
48.1%
46.9%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.8
32.0%
30.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws10.98.3
76.1%
74.7%8.3
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estepona W
LWWWLWLLLL
Ferrol W
WLWWWLLLWL
#7
League position
#6
-8.6
Net rating
-4.4
94.0
Offensive rating
90.1
102.5
Defensive rating
94.5
45.7%
Effective FG%
48.1%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
3.7%
Turnover %
10.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.17
31.2%
3-point %
32.0%
59.3%
Assist %
66.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 90.1Defence102.5 · 94.5Shooting45.7% · 48.1%3-point %31.2% · 32.0%Ball care3.7% · 10.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Estepona W   ■ Ferrol W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Estepona W wins
1
Ferrol W wins
DateGameScore
11/10/26Ferrol W v Estepona W84-72
24/01/26Estepona W v Ferrol W65-49
01/11/25Ferrol W v Estepona W75-95
Estepona Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26AMallorca Palma W53-69
31/10/26HUni Girona W70-55
24/10/26AEstudiantes W70-52
17/10/26HPerfumerias Avenida W81-67
11/10/26AFerrol W72-84
08/10/26HEnsino W82-55
04/10/26AZaragoza W41-68
30/09/26ASan Giovanni W71-76
24/09/26HSan Giovanni W65-76
03/05/26AZaragoza W49-90
Ferrol Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26ALeganes W66-64
03/11/26HOlympiacos W58-77
31/10/26AIDK Gipuzkoa W91-85 OT
28/10/26ASleza Wroclaw W87-65
24/10/26HGernika Bizkaia W76-71
21/10/26HCBK Mersin W45-87
18/10/26AValencia W50-87
14/10/26AOlympiacos W68-96
11/10/26HEstepona W84-72
08/10/26AJairis W61-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estepona W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game67.077.759.0
Allowed / game64.359.068.2
Point differential+2.7+18.7-9.2
Avg total131.3136.7127.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ferrol W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game72.980.767.0
Allowed / game75.773.377.5
Point differential-2.9+7.3-10.5
Avg total148.6154.0144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zaragoza W770100%83.059.7+23.3
2 Valencia W76186%82.164.9+17.3
3 Mallorca Palma W76186%78.164.9+13.3
4 Jairis W76186%72.661.4+11.1
5 IDK Gipuzkoa W75271%70.164.6+5.6
6 Ferrol W75271%72.975.7-2.9
7 Estepona W74357%67.064.3+2.7
8 Cadi La Seu W74357%64.165.4-1.3
9 Gernika Bizkaia W74357%77.380.3-3.0
10 Perfumerias Avenida W72529%71.475.6-4.1
11 Leganes W72529%61.769.4-7.7
12 Estudiantes W72529%66.775.1-8.4
13 Uni Girona W71614%66.171.1-5.0
14 Celta W71614%65.977.4-11.6
15 Ensino W71614%60.975.1-14.3
16 Araski W7070%60.775.7-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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