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Estepona W vs Valencia W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 67-66
20-9 18-18 12-22 17-17
Position#9
Record6-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game74.2
Estepona W 🏆
Spain
vs
Valencia W
Spain
Position#3
Record15-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game66.0
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 20
Women2025-26
Meetings · Estepona W v Valencia W
09 Jan 2027
ESTE v VALE
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
ESTE67
VALE66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estepona W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estepona WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Araski W
#15
W
91-71
91
71
+20
94avg 61
A06/12
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
L
60-85
60
85
-25
44avg 61
A14/12
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
66-62
66
62
+4
60avg 61
H20/12
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
L
72-77
72
77
-5
62avg 61
H28/12
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
L
70-89
70
89
-19
56avg 61
A04/01
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
80-64
80
64
+16
73avg 61
H07/01
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
59-62
59
62
-3
48avg 61
A11/01
Liga Femenina W
Leganes W
#7
L
67-71
67
71
-4
no box
A17/01
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
W
65-49
65
49
+16
61avg 61
H24/01
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
62-88
62
88
-26
44avg 61
A01/02
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
27-17
19-23
22-10
20-17
19-23
11-25
10-20
10-20
17-12
23-16
16-14
17-19
22-19
15-15
18-24
21-16
16-25
8-25
25-23
15-22
22-18
23-13
20-11
12-18
17-17
14-14
16-13
23-21
11-14
17-26
16-10
13-18
15-13
31-5
6-13
12-30
16-26
14-22
20-10
141.0Avg total
69.2Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)69.174.2143.3-5.132%
Season at home (8)68.269.2137.5-1.050%
Season away (11)69.777.8147.5-8.118%
Last 10 (10)69.271.8141.0-2.640%
Last 5 (5)66.666.8133.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)63.475.3138.7-11.90%
vs Similar (9)69.873.2143.0-3.444%
vs Weaker (3)80.374.7155.0+5.767%
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valencia WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
87-53
87
53
+34
86avg 71
H04/01
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#6
W
78-75
78
75
+3
75avg 71
A07/01
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
W
81-54
81
54
+27
78avg 71
H11/01
Liga Femenina W
Venezia W
#4
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
H14/01
Euroleague Women
Estudiantes W
#10
W
89-71
89
71
+18
no box
A17/01
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#3
L
71-81
71
81
-10
61avg 71
A21/01
Euroleague Women
Araski W
#15
W
90-61
90
61
+29
92avg 71
H25/01
Liga Femenina W
Landes W
#6
L
72-76
72
76
-4
68avg 71
H28/01
Euroleague Women
Zaragoza W
#1
W
72-67
72
67
+5
62avg 71
A01/02
Liga Femenina W
Venezia W
#4
L
55-69
55
69
-14
44avg 71
A04/02
Euroleague Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
24-7
28-17
21-11
21-14
24-18
17-20
16-23
21-16
16-12
22-11
22-15
21-26
21-18
16-17
23-12
27-20
20-13
25-19
17-19
20-21
14-19
21-23
16-18
16-20
31-16
28-15
15-10
21-14
14-21
19-14
18-27
22-14
22-20
14-11
14-22
16-23
8-10
12-19
19-17
145.6Avg total
77.6Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.166.0142.1+10.179%
Season at home (10)78.261.6139.8+16.690%
Season away (9)73.870.9144.7+2.967%
Last 10 (10)77.668.0145.6+9.670%
Last 5 (5)72.070.8142.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)60.573.0133.5-12.50%
vs Similar (6)65.274.7139.8-9.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)80.664.3144.9+16.486%
This opponent (Estepona W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
Estepona WValencia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Estepona WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Araski W
#15
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A06/12
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/12
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H20/12
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H28/12
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A04/01
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#16
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H07/01
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A11/01
Liga Femenina W
Leganes W
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A17/01
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H24/01
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
28-56
28
56
-28
A01/02
Liga Femenina W
73.4Avg total
34.8Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)35.539.374.8-3.732%-
Last 30 at home (8)32.239.671.9-7.412%-
Last 30 away (11)37.939.076.9-1.145%-
Last 10 (10)34.838.673.4-3.820%-
Last 5 (5)31.239.470.6-8.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.043.074.0-12.029%-
vs Similar (9)37.136.273.3+0.933%-
vs Weaker (3)41.339.781.0+1.733%-
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valencia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H04/01
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A07/01
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H11/01
Liga Femenina W
Venezia W
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H14/01
Euroleague Women
Estudiantes W
#10
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A17/01
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A21/01
Euroleague Women
Araski W
#15
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H25/01
Liga Femenina W
Landes W
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H28/01
Euroleague Women
Zaragoza W
#1
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A01/02
Liga Femenina W
Venezia W
#4
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A04/02
Euroleague Women
73.3Avg total
39.3Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.933.771.5+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.233.372.5+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)36.434.170.4+2.357%-
Last 10 (10)39.334.073.3+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.672.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.531.559.0-4.050%-
vs Similar (6)33.337.871.2-4.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)40.032.772.8+7.373%-
This opponent (Estepona W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estepona Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estepona W: 67.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.2
46.5%
46.8%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.6
30.3%
32.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.013.0
72.2%
74.2%13.0
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valencia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia W: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.117.9
45.8%
46.8%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.5
35.0%
32.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.012.0
75.0%
74.2%12.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estepona W
LWLLWLLWLW
Valencia W
LWLWLWWWWW
#9
League position
#3
-4.7
Net rating
+9.4
97.9
Offensive rating
95.9
102.6
Defensive rating
86.5
46.1%
Effective FG%
48.3%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
43.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
9.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.3%
3-point %
35.0%
55.5%
Assist %
59.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 95.9Defence102.6 · 86.5Shooting46.1% · 48.3%3-point %30.3% · 35.0%Ball care0.0% · 9.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Estepona W   ■ Valencia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estepona W wins
1
Valencia W wins
DateGameScore
30/11/25Valencia W v Estepona W82-74
Estepona Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26AUni Girona W62-88
24/01/26HFerrol W65-49
17/01/26ALeganes W67-71
11/01/26AZaragoza W59-62
07/01/26HGran Canaria W80-64
04/01/26ACadi La Seu W70-89
28/12/25HJairis W72-77
20/12/25HJoventut Badalona W66-62
14/12/25AEstudiantes W60-85
06/12/25AAraski W91-71
Valencia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/26AVenezia W55-69
01/02/26AZaragoza W72-67
28/01/26HLandes W72-76
25/01/26HAraski W90-61
21/01/26AZaragoza W71-81
17/01/26AEstudiantes W89-71
14/01/26HVenezia W81-73
11/01/26HPerfumerias Avenida W81-54
07/01/26AEnsino W78-75
04/01/26HGernika Bizkaia W87-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estepona W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL32%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %32%50%18%
Points / game69.168.269.7
Allowed / game74.269.277.8
Point differential-5.1-1.0-8.1
Avg total143.3137.5147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %79%90%67%
Points / game76.178.273.8
Allowed / game66.061.670.9
Point differential+10.1+16.6+2.9
Avg total142.1139.8144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%70%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uni Girona W2018290%81.865.5+16.3
2 Zaragoza W1917289%76.966.2+10.7
3 Valencia W1915479%76.166.0+10.1
4 Jairis W1912763%75.267.8+7.4
5 Perfumerias Avenida W1911858%67.767.8-0.1
6 Ensino W1910953%71.971.7+0.2
7 Leganes W20101050%69.068.1+0.9
8 Ferrol W1991047%69.573.1-3.6
9 Joventut Badalona W1981142%71.572.7-1.2
10 IDK Gipuzkoa W1981142%65.167.9-2.8
11 Cadi La Seu W1981142%70.974.9-3.9
12 Gernika Bizkaia W1971237%72.276.5-4.4
13 Estudiantes W1961332%76.277.9-1.7
14 Estepona W1961332%69.174.2-5.1
15 Araski W1951426%63.872.7-8.8
16 Gran Canaria W1931616%70.085.1-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estepona W2018121767
Valencia W918221766
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