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Estudiantes W vs Valencia W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 71-89
20-27 13-20 19-25 19-17
Position#10
Record5-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game77.8
Estudiantes W
Spain
vs
Valencia W 🏆
Spain
Position#3
Record12-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game65.9
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 17
Women2025-26
Meetings · Estudiantes W v Valencia W
11 Oct 2026
ESTU70
VALE99
17 Jan 2026
ESTU71
VALE89
26 Oct 2024
ESTU61
VALE65
24 Feb 2024
ESTU59
VALE64
20 Apr 2023
ESTU56
VALE58
25 Feb 2023
ESTU65
VALE71
24 Apr 2022
ESTU59
VALE59
26 Feb 2022
ESTU52
VALE59
20 Mar 2021
ESTU68
VALE85
03 Apr 2010
ESTU58
VALE79
15 Nov 2008
ESTU55
VALE90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Leganes W
#7
L
61-68
61
68
-7
47avg 63
A06/12
Liga Femenina W
Sleza Wroclaw W
#15
L
62-65
62
65
-3
53avg 63
A11/12
EuroCup Women
Estepona W
#9
W
85-60
85
60
+25
90avg 63
H14/12
Liga Femenina W
Sleza Wroclaw W
#15
W
72-61
72
61
+11
66avg 63
H18/12
EuroCup Women
Araski W
#15
W
76-75
76
75
+1
68avg 63
A20/12
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
92-69
92
69
+23
96avg 63
H27/12
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#6
W
88-78
88
78
+10
83avg 63
H04/01
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
L
68-71
68
71
-3
59avg 63
A07/01
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
L
54-74
54
74
-20
34avg 63
A10/01
Liga Femenina W
Olympiacos W
#28
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
H14/01
EuroCup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-10
13-23
20-21
10-14
15-24
19-10
9-17
19-14
17-20
23-19
25-11
20-10
21-17
18-20
19-17
14-7
18-15
21-21
17-18
20-21
24-13
18-15
21-23
29-18
18-16
27-19
31-26
12-17
16-16
18-19
11-15
23-21
12-25
17-23
12-13
13-13
21-19
12-21
30-15
22-31
145.0Avg total
74.3Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.077.8153.8-1.831%
Season at home (7)87.780.1167.9+7.657%
Season away (9)66.976.0142.9-9.111%
Last 10 (10)74.370.7145.0+3.650%
Last 5 (5)77.475.6153.0+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)62.271.8134.0-9.611%
vs Similar (13)77.178.1155.2-1.038%
vs Weaker (8)80.469.4149.8+11.088%
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valencia WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
83-66
83
66
+17
83avg 72
H07/12
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#3
L
63-70
63
70
-7
46avg 72
H09/12
Euroleague Women
Landes W
#6
W
66-57
66
57
+9
55avg 72
A18/12
Euroleague Women
Uni Girona W
#2
L
68-96
68
96
-28
51avg 72
A21/12
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
84-71
84
71
+13
74avg 72
A28/12
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
53-73
53
73
-20
38avg 72
H30/12
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
87-53
87
53
+34
86avg 72
H04/01
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#6
W
78-75
78
75
+3
75avg 72
A07/01
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
W
81-54
81
54
+27
78avg 72
H11/01
Liga Femenina W
Venezia W
#4
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
H14/01
Euroleague Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
20-26
19-13
17-10
25-14
16-11
15-15
7-30
14-20
12-8
21-13
19-16
10-25
19-24
15-23
24-24
27-19
16-14
26-14
15-24
15-22
9-22
16-15
13-14
14-18
24-7
28-17
21-11
21-14
24-18
17-20
16-23
21-16
16-12
22-11
22-15
21-26
21-18
16-17
23-12
143.2Avg total
74.4Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.765.9140.6+8.875%
Season at home (9)76.961.7138.6+15.289%
Season away (7)71.971.4143.3+0.457%
Last 10 (10)74.468.8143.2+5.670%
Last 5 (5)76.065.6141.6+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.075.0138.0-12.00%
vs Similar (4)62.075.0137.0-13.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)79.763.5143.3+16.291%
This opponent (Estudiantes W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
Estudiantes WValencia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Estudiantes WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leganes W
#7
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A06/12
Liga Femenina W
Sleza Wroclaw W
#15
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A11/12
EuroCup Women
Estepona W
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/12
Liga Femenina W
Sleza Wroclaw W
#15
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H18/12
EuroCup Women
Araski W
#15
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A20/12
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H27/12
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#6
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H04/01
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A07/01
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A10/01
Liga Femenina W
Olympiacos W
#28
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H14/01
EuroCup Women
73.1Avg total
36.6Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.837.473.2-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.737.976.6+0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)32.936.969.8-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)36.636.573.1+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.273.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)32.937.770.6-4.833%-
vs Similar (13)36.038.974.9-2.931%-
vs Weaker (8)38.834.673.4+4.175%-
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valencia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H07/12
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#3
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H09/12
Euroleague Women
Landes W
#6
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A18/12
Euroleague Women
Uni Girona W
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A21/12
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A28/12
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H30/12
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H04/01
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A07/01
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H11/01
Liga Femenina W
Venezia W
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H14/01
Euroleague Women
72.3Avg total
37.2Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.533.771.2+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.833.472.2+5.471%-
Last 30 away (13)35.834.169.9+1.862%-
Last 10 (10)37.235.172.3+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.234.671.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.035.366.3-4.333%-
vs Similar (4)30.538.268.8-7.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)39.332.872.1+6.577%-
This opponent (Estudiantes W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantes Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes W: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.320.7
46.7%
46.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.86.1
29.3%
32.1%18.3
🏀 Free throws14.811.9
80.4%
74.2%11.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valencia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia W: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.718.9
46.4%
46.8%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
32.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.013.9
77.2%
74.2%13.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estudiantes W
LLLWWWWWLL
Valencia W
WWWWLWLWLW
#10
League position
#3
+6.6
Net rating
+18.9
97.1
Offensive rating
101.4
90.4
Defensive rating
82.5
45.9%
Effective FG%
48.2%
43.2%
Opp. effective FG%
42.4%
14.6%
Turnover %
12.2%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.3%
3-point %
34.1%
61.2%
Assist %
68.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 101.4Defence90.4 · 82.5Shooting45.9% · 48.2%3-point %29.3% · 34.1%Ball care14.6% · 12.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Estudiantes W   ■ Valencia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Estudiantes W wins
9
Valencia W wins
DateGameScore
02/11/25Valencia W v Estudiantes W84-61
15/03/25Valencia W v Estudiantes W77-81
26/10/24Estudiantes W v Valencia W61-65
23/03/24Valencia W v Estudiantes W77-50
24/02/24Estudiantes W v Valencia W59-64
02/12/23Valencia W v Estudiantes W55-33
23/04/23Valencia W v Estudiantes W77-35
20/04/23Estudiantes W v Valencia W56-58
30/03/23Valencia W v Estudiantes W69-56
25/02/23Estudiantes W v Valencia W65-71
Estudiantes Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HOlympiacos W85-86
10/01/26AFerrol W54-74
07/01/26APerfumerias Avenida W68-71
04/01/26HEnsino W88-78
27/12/25HGran Canaria W92-69
20/12/25AAraski W76-75
18/12/25HSleza Wroclaw W72-61
14/12/25HEstepona W85-60
11/12/25ASleza Wroclaw W62-65
06/12/25ALeganes W61-68
Valencia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HVenezia W81-73
11/01/26HPerfumerias Avenida W81-54
07/01/26AEnsino W78-75
04/01/26HGernika Bizkaia W87-53
30/12/25HZaragoza W53-73
28/12/25AJoventut Badalona W84-71
21/12/25AUni Girona W68-96
18/12/25ALandes W66-57
09/12/25HZaragoza W63-70
07/12/25HGran Canaria W83-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL31%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayLLWLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %31%57%11%
Points / game76.087.766.9
Allowed / game77.880.176.0
Point differential-1.8+7.6-9.1
Avg total153.8167.9142.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Valencia W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %75%89%57%
Points / game74.776.971.9
Allowed / game65.961.771.4
Point differential+8.8+15.2+0.4
Avg total140.6138.6143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zaragoza W1615194%77.165.8+11.4
2 Uni Girona W1715288%80.665.9+14.6
3 Valencia W1612475%74.765.9+8.8
4 Jairis W1711665%72.867.1+5.7
5 Perfumerias Avenida W169756%67.167.7-0.6
6 Leganes W179853%69.467.7+1.6
7 Ensino W168850%72.172.9-0.8
8 IDK Gipuzkoa W178947%65.265.8-0.5
9 Ferrol W178947%70.573.8-3.3
10 Joventut Badalona W1771041%72.173.3-1.2
11 Gernika Bizkaia W1661038%72.477.2-4.8
12 Cadi La Seu W1661038%70.175.6-5.5
13 Estudiantes W1651131%76.077.8-1.8
14 Estepona W1751229%69.874.9-5.1
15 Araski W1751229%64.571.8-7.2
16 Gran Canaria W1631319%70.682.1-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes W2013191971
Valencia W2720251789
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