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Estepona W vs Zaragoza W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 68-84
17-21 14-22 20-18 17-23
Position#9
Record14-16
FormWWWWL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Position#1
Record27-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game65.9
SpainLiga Femenina WLiga Femenina Women - Quarter-finals
Women2025-26
Meetings · Estepona W v Zaragoza W
13 Mar 2027
ESTE v ZARA
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
ESTE68
ZARA84
23 Nov 2025
ESTE70
ZARA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estepona W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zaragoza W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estepona WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ensino W
#6
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H14/02
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
A22/02
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
L
65-91
65
91
-26
H28/02
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H06/03
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A22/03
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H04/04
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
106-78
106
78
+28
A08/04
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H11/04
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A19/04
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H25/04
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
22-29
21-15
20-21
22-16
8-24
22-15
13-10
17-22
9-21
22-21
17-27
16-20
23-17
16-20
17-23
30-13
17-20
15-18
19-25
19-8
11-24
11-18
21-3
27-19
31-16
29-23
19-20
17-14
15-24
34-8
24-20
21-17
14-15
21-13
18-24
17-19
21-20
26-21
10-17
154.5Avg total
79.5Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)72.574.2146.7-1.747%
Season at home (15)71.271.4142.6-0.253%
Season away (15)73.877.0150.8-3.240%
Last 10 (10)79.575.0154.5+4.570%
Last 5 (5)81.268.6149.8+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)65.576.0141.5-10.520%
vs Similar (14)72.172.9145.0-0.957%
vs Weaker (6)85.274.2159.3+11.067%
This opponent (Zaragoza W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zaragoza WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uni Girona W
#2
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A06/03
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
101-56
101
56
+45
H22/03
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
W
84-59
84
59
+25
A04/04
Liga Femenina W
Leganes W
#7
W
73-50
73
50
+23
H08/04
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A11/04
Liga Femenina W
Landes W
#6
W
69-53
69
53
+16
A15/04
Euroleague Women
Galatasaray W
#2
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A17/04
Euroleague Women
Uni Girona W
#8
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H19/04
Euroleague Women
Estudiantes W
#10
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A23/04
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
W
91-65
91
65
+26
H25/04
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
21-20
21-17
13-23
22-12
28-12
32-17
19-15
18-20
20-11
25-15
21-13
18-14
23-17
12-11
20-8
16-15
18-18
16-17
19-17
19-18
16-8
27-14
7-13
4-24
16-13
14-12
22-14
17-15
17-21
23-12
9-15
25-22
15-18
16-16
24-16
23-14
21-12
21-16
26-23
139.6Avg total
77.0Scored
62.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.065.9144.9+13.190%
Season at home (15)79.363.7143.1+15.693%
Season away (15)78.768.1146.8+10.587%
Last 10 (10)77.062.6139.6+14.490%
Last 5 (5)72.463.2135.6+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.375.7138.0-13.30%
vs Similar (8)74.065.9139.9+8.188%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.261.6139.7+16.695%
This opponent (Estepona W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
Estepona WZaragoza W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Estepona WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ensino W
#6
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H14/02
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A22/02
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H28/02
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H06/03
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A22/03
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H04/04
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A08/04
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H11/04
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A19/04
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H25/04
Liga Femenina W
76.3Avg total
38.6Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.638.375.0-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.138.772.9-4.627%-
Last 30 away (15)39.137.977.1+1.253%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.776.3+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.273.8+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)31.141.172.2-10.030%-
vs Similar (14)38.336.374.6+2.050%-
vs Weaker (6)42.038.580.5+3.533%-
This opponent (Zaragoza W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zaragoza WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uni Girona W
#2
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A06/03
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H22/03
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A04/04
Liga Femenina W
Leganes W
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H08/04
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A11/04
Liga Femenina W
Landes W
#6
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A15/04
Euroleague Women
Galatasaray W
#2
L
20-37
20
37
-17
A17/04
Euroleague Women
Uni Girona W
#8
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H19/04
Euroleague Women
Estudiantes W
#10
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A23/04
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H25/04
Liga Femenina W
70.5Avg total
38.3Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.933.471.3+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.433.472.8+6.067%-
Last 30 away (15)36.533.369.8+3.160%-
Last 10 (10)38.332.270.5+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)34.633.067.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.046.376.3-16.30%-
vs Similar (8)39.233.072.2+6.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)38.631.570.1+7.268%-
This opponent (Estepona W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estepona Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estepona W: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.218.8
48.0%
46.8%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.7
36.1%
32.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.112.8
70.7%
74.2%12.8
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zaragoza Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zaragoza W: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.9
52.6%
46.8%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.8
34.1%
32.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws13.99.8
70.5%
74.2%9.8
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estepona W
LWWWWWLLWW
Zaragoza W
WWWLWWWWWW
#9
League position
#1
+1.5
Net rating
+19.8
106.7
Offensive rating
104.4
105.2
Defensive rating
84.6
50.3%
Effective FG%
52.1%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
42.7%
0.0%
Turnover %
5.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.1%
3-point %
34.1%
61.1%
Assist %
68.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 104.4Defence105.2 · 84.6Shooting50.3% · 52.1%3-point %36.1% · 34.1%Ball care0.0% · 5.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Estepona W   ■ Zaragoza W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estepona W wins
2
Zaragoza W wins
DateGameScore
11/01/26Zaragoza W v Estepona W62-59
23/11/25Estepona W v Zaragoza W70-75
Estepona Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26HAraski W74-77
19/04/26AJoventut Badalona W74-69
11/04/26HCadi La Seu W90-66
08/04/26AGran Canaria W106-78
04/04/26HIDK Gipuzkoa W62-53
22/03/26AGernika Bizkaia W81-76
06/03/26HEstudiantes W72-80
28/02/26HPerfumerias Avenida W65-91
22/02/26AJairis W79-76 OT
14/02/26HEnsino W92-84
Zaragoza Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26HCadi La Seu W91-65
23/04/26AEstudiantes W80-72
19/04/26HUni Girona W66-63
17/04/26AGalatasaray W56-63
15/04/26ALandes W69-53
11/04/26AFerrol W69-67
08/04/26HLeganes W73-50
04/04/26AAraski W84-59
22/03/26HGran Canaria W101-56
06/03/26AUni Girona W81-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estepona W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL47%
HomeLLWWL53%
AwayLWWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %47%53%40%
Points / game72.571.273.8
Allowed / game74.271.477.0
Point differential-1.7-0.2-3.2
Avg total146.7142.6150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Zaragoza W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWW87%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %90%93%87%
Points / game79.079.378.7
Allowed / game65.963.768.1
Point differential+13.1+15.6+10.5
Avg total144.9143.1146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%60%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zaragoza W3027390%79.065.9+13.1
2 Uni Girona W3124777%82.068.2+13.8
3 Valencia W3122971%76.565.8+10.6
4 Jairis W31191261%73.266.4+6.8
5 Perfumerias Avenida W31191261%69.667.7+1.9
6 Ensino W31161552%73.372.7+0.5
7 Leganes W31151648%69.368.9+0.4
8 Estepona W30141647%72.574.2-1.7
9 Ferrol W30141647%71.273.7-2.5
10 Estudiantes W30121840%75.876.5-0.6
11 IDK Gipuzkoa W30121840%65.468.0-2.6
12 Gernika Bizkaia W30121840%74.577.3-2.8
13 Joventut Badalona W30111937%71.474.3-2.8
14 Cadi La Seu W30111937%67.975.3-7.4
15 Araski W30111937%65.773.4-7.7
16 Gran Canaria W3032710%70.290.3-20.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estepona W1714201768
Zaragoza W2122182384
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