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Estepona W vs Araski W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 74-77
17-19 21-20 26-21 10-17
Position#9
Record14-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game74.1
vs
Position#15
Record10-19
FormLLWLW
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game73.3
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 30
Women2025-26
Meetings · Estepona W v Araski W
29 Dec 2026
ESTE v ARAS
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
ESTE74
ARAS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estepona W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Araski W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estepona WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia W
#3
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H07/02
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#6
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H14/02
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
A22/02
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
L
65-91
65
91
-26
H28/02
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H06/03
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A22/03
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H04/04
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
106-78
106
78
+28
A08/04
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H11/04
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A19/04
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-9
18-18
12-22
17-17
29-19
22-29
21-15
20-21
22-16
8-24
22-15
13-10
17-22
9-21
22-21
17-27
16-20
23-17
16-20
17-23
30-13
17-20
15-18
19-25
19-8
11-24
11-18
21-3
27-19
31-16
29-23
19-20
17-14
15-24
34-8
24-20
21-17
14-15
21-13
18-24
152.7Avg total
78.8Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)72.474.1146.6-1.748%
Season at home (14)71.071.0142.0+0.057%
Season away (15)73.877.0150.8-3.240%
Last 10 (10)78.873.9152.7+4.980%
Last 5 (5)82.668.4151.0+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)65.576.0141.5-10.520%
vs Similar (14)72.172.9145.0-0.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)87.473.6161.0+13.880%
This opponent (Araski W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Araski WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A07/02
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H15/02
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
L
61-93
61
93
-32
A22/02
Liga Femenina W
Leganes W
#7
L
40-87
40
87
-47
H28/02
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H06/03
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A22/03
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
59-84
59
84
-25
H04/04
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A08/04
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A12/04
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H18/04
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
16-20
21-13
19-19
28-8
18-24
12-13
18-21
19-21
12-26
14-22
16-24
14-24
8-20
10-20
8-23
18-19
19-21
21-19
25-9
13-20
16-29
18-15
25-16
20-18
11-20
15-25
13-21
16-21
13-13
23-16
20-18
13-19
13-12
9-17
19-13
24-18
18-19
26-11
18-18
142.6Avg total
68.0Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)65.373.3138.6-8.134%
Season at home (15)65.973.7139.6-7.933%
Season away (14)64.672.9137.6-8.336%
Last 10 (10)68.074.6142.6-6.650%
Last 5 (5)68.671.8140.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)64.773.4138.1-8.836%
vs Similar (3)69.067.7136.7+1.333%
vs Weaker (2)77.078.0155.0-1.050%
This opponent (Estepona W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
Estepona WAraski W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Estepona WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia W
#3
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H07/02
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#6
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H14/02
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A22/02
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H28/02
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H06/03
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A22/03
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H04/04
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A08/04
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H11/04
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A19/04
Liga Femenina W
75.1Avg total
38.6Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.638.374.9-1.741%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.938.772.6-4.929%-
Last 30 away (15)39.137.977.1+1.253%-
Last 10 (10)38.636.575.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.434.074.4+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.141.172.2-10.030%-
vs Similar (14)38.336.374.6+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.838.481.2+4.440%-
This opponent (Araski W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Araski WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria W
#16
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A07/02
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H15/02
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A22/02
Liga Femenina W
Leganes W
#7
L
22-44
22
44
-22
H28/02
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H06/03
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A22/03
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H04/04
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A08/04
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A12/04
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H18/04
Liga Femenina W
72.3Avg total
33.0Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.138.370.3-6.217%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.637.971.4-4.325%-
Last 30 away (14)30.438.769.1-8.47%-
Last 10 (10)33.039.372.3-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)31.437.869.2-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)31.338.369.6-7.012%-
vs Similar (3)36.734.070.7+2.767%-
vs Weaker (2)35.044.079.0-9.00%-
This opponent (Estepona W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estepona Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estepona W: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.918.1
46.5%
46.8%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.8
37.0%
32.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.013.0
72.2%
74.2%13.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Araski Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Araski W: 64.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.515.9
40.3%
46.8%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.6
31.0%
32.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws14.39.7
67.8%
74.2%9.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estepona W
WWWWWLLWWW
Araski W
WLWLLWLLWW
#9
League position
#15
+4.2
Net rating
-17.6
105.7
Offensive rating
90.7
101.5
Defensive rating
108.4
49.9%
Effective FG%
42.7%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.0%
3-point %
31.0%
63.6%
Assist %
57.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 90.7Defence101.5 · 108.4Shooting49.9% · 42.7%3-point %37.0% · 31.0%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Estepona W   ■ Araski W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Estepona W wins
0
Araski W wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Araski W v Estepona W71-91
Estepona Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26AJoventut Badalona W74-69
11/04/26HCadi La Seu W90-66
08/04/26AGran Canaria W106-78
04/04/26HIDK Gipuzkoa W62-53
22/03/26AGernika Bizkaia W81-76
06/03/26HEstudiantes W72-80
28/02/26HPerfumerias Avenida W65-91
22/02/26AJairis W79-76 OT
14/02/26HEnsino W92-84
07/02/26HValencia W67-66
Araski Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26HFerrol W86-66
12/04/26AJairis W54-61
08/04/26APerfumerias Avenida W72-68
04/04/26HZaragoza W59-84
22/03/26AEstudiantes W72-80
06/03/26HJoventut Badalona W83-68
28/02/26HLeganes W40-87
22/02/26AGernika Bizkaia W61-93
15/02/26HIDK Gipuzkoa W76-66
07/02/26AGran Canaria W77-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estepona W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW48%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayLWWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %48%57%40%
Points / game72.471.073.8
Allowed / game74.171.077.0
Point differential-1.7+0.0-3.2
Avg total146.6142.0150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%21%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)60% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Araski W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW34%
HomeWLWLW33%
AwayWLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %34%33%36%
Points / game65.365.964.6
Allowed / game73.373.772.9
Point differential-8.1-7.9-8.3
Avg total138.6139.6137.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zaragoza W2926390%78.666.0+12.6
2 Uni Girona W2923679%81.968.0+13.9
3 Valencia W2921872%76.865.6+11.2
4 Jairis W29181162%73.766.3+7.3
5 Perfumerias Avenida W29181162%69.267.1+2.1
6 Ensino W29151452%72.972.1+0.8
7 Leganes W29151452%68.868.0+0.8
8 Estepona W29141548%72.474.1-1.7
9 Ferrol W29131645%70.973.9-3.0
10 Estudiantes W29121741%75.776.2-0.5
11 IDK Gipuzkoa W29121741%65.767.4-1.8
12 Gernika Bizkaia W29111838%74.177.3-3.3
13 Cadi La Seu W29111838%68.074.8-6.8
14 Joventut Badalona W29101934%70.274.4-4.2
15 Araski W29101934%65.373.3-8.1
16 Gran Canaria W2932610%70.289.7-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estepona W1721261074
Araski W1920211777
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