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Estonia vs Greece Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Sep 2022
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 69-90
21-27 15-24 13-26 20-13
Position#34
Record3-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Greece 🏆
Position#2
Record8-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game78.3
EuropeEuroBasketRound 5
Other2022
Meetings · Estonia v Greece
08 Sep 2022
ESTO69
GREE90
02 Jul 2018
ESTO56
GREE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Greece winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland
#53
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H25/02
World Cup
Poland
#53
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A28/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
57-88
57
88
-31
H30/06
World Cup
Israel
#52
L
77-96
77
96
-19
A03/07
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
83-104
83
104
-21
A25/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H28/08
World Cup
Italy
#11
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A02/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H03/09
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A05/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
94-62
94
62
+32
H06/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
32-22
13-18
15-17
21-12
21-26
14-17
12-15
11-18
11-13
16-36
19-21
22-29
22-19
13-24
20-24
23-27
15-29
25-21
20-27
21-23
15-24
18-10
14-19
18-21
15-31
19-17
10-14
21-15
14-18
26-23
12-18
16-20
13-13
19-20
22-20
24-18
25-18
29-17
16-9
152.4Avg total
72.7Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.879.7155.5-3.930%
Season at home (5)77.678.6156.2-1.020%
Season away (5)74.080.8154.8-6.840%
Last 10 (10)72.779.7152.4-7.020%
Last 5 (5)73.473.6147.0-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)71.081.1152.1-10.125%
vs Similar (6)73.575.2148.7-1.750%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Greece) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belarus
#15
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H28/11
World Cup
Turkey
#50
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H25/02
World Cup
Turkey
#50
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A28/02
World Cup
Great Britain
#75
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H30/06
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
A25/08
World Cup
Belgium
#35
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H28/08
World Cup
Croatia
#12
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A02/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H03/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
93-77
93
77
+16
A05/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
99-79
99
79
+20
H06/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
22-12
20-18
19-19
13-20
27-12
20-24
12-15
17-15
19-18
26-13
14-21
19-20
20-18
30-10
24-23
25-31
19-20
19-19
24-17
30-15
19-18
15-11
21-24
24-16
22-14
24-32
19-23
23-17
24-23
24-17
14-24
24-17
22-26
25-17
22-17
23-20
16-26
32-11
28-22
162.9Avg total
86.3Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.578.3160.8+4.280%
Season at home (5)78.476.8155.2+1.660%
Season away (5)86.679.8166.4+6.8100%
Last 10 (10)86.376.6162.9+9.790%
Last 5 (5)90.278.0168.2+12.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.289.0174.2-3.840%
vs Similar (13)79.875.8155.6+3.977%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.775.8160.4+8.983%
This opponent (Estonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
EstoniaGreece
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland
#53
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H25/02
World Cup
Poland
#53
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A28/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H30/06
World Cup
Israel
#52
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A03/07
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A25/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H28/08
World Cup
Italy
#11
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A02/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H03/09
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A05/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H06/09
EuroBasket
78.5Avg total
37.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.438.975.3-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.238.074.2-1.847%-
Last 30 away (15)36.639.776.3-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)37.541.078.5-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.276.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.739.275.0-3.533%-
vs Similar (6)39.237.376.5+1.867%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Greece) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GreeceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belarus
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H28/11
World Cup
Turkey
#50
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H25/02
World Cup
Turkey
#50
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A28/02
World Cup
Great Britain
#75
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H30/06
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A25/08
World Cup
Belgium
#35
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H28/08
World Cup
Croatia
#12
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A02/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H03/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A05/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H06/09
EuroBasket
80.0Avg total
42.4Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.978.4+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.236.979.1+5.479%-
Last 30 away (16)38.938.977.8+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)42.437.680.0+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)45.438.483.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)43.643.086.6+0.660%-
vs Similar (13)40.236.977.1+3.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.536.976.4+2.658%-
This opponent (Estonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estonia wins
2
Greece wins
DateGameScore
02/07/18Estonia v Greece56-78
23/02/18Greece v Estonia87-75
Estonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/09/22HGreat Britain94-62
05/09/22ACroatia70-73
03/09/22HUkraine73-74
02/09/22AItaly62-83
28/08/22HFinland68-76
25/08/22ASlovenia83-104
03/07/22AIsrael77-96
30/06/22HGermany57-88
28/02/22APoland68-70
25/02/22HPoland75-71
Greecelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/09/22HUkraine99-79
05/09/22AGreat Britain93-77
03/09/22HItaly85-81
02/09/22ACroatia89-85
28/08/22HBelgium85-68
25/08/22ASerbia94-100 OT
30/06/22HGreat Britain93-71
28/02/22ATurkey76-67
25/02/22HTurkey72-71
28/11/21HBelarus77-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estonia
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW30%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game75.877.674.0
Allowed / game79.778.680.8
Point differential-3.9-1.0-6.8
Avg total155.5156.2154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Greece
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%60%100%
Points / game82.578.486.6
Allowed / game78.376.879.8
Point differential+4.2+1.6+6.8
Avg total160.8155.2166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %20%0%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia108280%88.574.9+13.6
2 Greece108280%82.578.3+4.2
3 Belgium1511473%79.971.7+8.2
4 Spain118373%84.774.2+10.5
5 Slovenia118373%84.978.7+6.2
6 Israel107370%80.477.0+3.4
7 Russia64267%76.767.5+9.2
8 Denmark1812667%79.576.6+2.9
9 Croatia117464%77.571.6+5.8
10 Ukraine117464%79.173.6+5.5
11 Bosnia & Herzegovina117464%79.174.6+4.5
12 France117464%76.974.8+2.1
13 Great Britain1811761%76.874.9+1.8
14 Poland106460%80.877.1+3.7
15 Italy106460%82.979.4+3.5
16 North Macedonia148657%78.177.2+0.9
17 Lithuania116555%84.780.7+4.0
18 Finland116555%80.078.8+1.2
19 Turkey116555%77.776.8+0.9
20 Montenegro116555%74.575.7-1.2
21 Belarus84450%78.073.9+4.1
22 Armenia42250%74.874.0+0.8
23 Portugal126650%74.275.0-0.8
24 Romania147750%73.778.5-4.8
25 Germany115645%83.981.1+2.8
26 Georgia115645%80.885.6-4.8
27 Sweden104640%74.374.6-0.3
28 Iceland83538%79.981.9-2.0
29 Slovakia83538%75.078.5-3.5
30 Hungary114736%74.584.0-9.5
31 Switzerland145936%82.084.3-2.3
32 Austria103730%74.578.4-3.9
33 Estonia103730%75.879.7-3.9
34 Czech Republic103730%80.988.7-7.8
35 Netherlands113827%69.476.3-6.9
36 Bulgaria113827%77.688.1-10.5
37 Luxembourg82625%72.583.4-10.9
38 Latvia61517%79.080.0-1.0
39 Cyprus1221017%66.376.8-10.4
40 Kosovo81712%78.883.6-4.9
41 Albania8080%65.283.1-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 41 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estonia2115132069
Greece2724261390
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