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Estonia vs Sweden Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 17:05
Final 82-87
13-27 24-12 24-20 21-28
Position#55
Record2-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Sweden 🏆
Position#33
Record6-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game76.4
EuropeWorld CupRound 9
Other2023
Meetings · Estonia v Sweden
01 Mar 2026
ESTO69
SWED79
11 Nov 2022
ESTO82
SWED87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sweden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland
#53
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A28/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
57-88
57
88
-31
H30/06
World Cup
Israel
#52
L
77-96
77
96
-19
A03/07
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
83-104
83
104
-21
A25/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H28/08
World Cup
Italy
#11
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A02/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H03/09
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A05/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
94-62
94
62
+32
H06/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
69-90
69
90
-21
H08/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
21-26
14-17
12-15
11-18
11-13
16-36
19-21
22-29
22-19
13-24
20-24
23-27
15-29
25-21
20-27
21-23
15-24
18-10
14-19
18-21
15-31
19-17
10-14
21-15
14-18
26-23
12-18
16-20
13-13
19-20
22-20
24-18
25-18
29-17
16-9
21-27
15-24
13-26
20-13
153.7Avg total
72.1Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)70.881.2152.0-10.525%
Season at home (4)67.278.5145.8-11.225%
Season away (4)74.284.0158.2-9.825%
Last 10 (10)72.181.6153.7-9.510%
Last 5 (5)73.676.4150.0-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)70.981.4152.4-10.524%
vs Similar (5)74.672.6147.2+2.060%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sweden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portugal
#38
W
79-60
79
60
+19
A16/08
World Cup
Luxembourg
#64
W
94-58
94
58
+36
H18/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H25/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A28/11
World Cup
Croatia
#66
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A25/02
World Cup
Croatia
#66
L
98-105 OT
98
105
-7
H28/02
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A30/06
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H03/07
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H25/08
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A28/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-12
15-20
23-12
25-16
24-19
19-11
28-14
23-14
14-11
17-8
16-14
25-29
24-17
20-25
19-25
26-27
18-15
17-20
17-10
18-19
21-14
20-12
18-24
20-29
29-19
17-24
8-26
15-16
17-22
24-19
20-29
20-14
9-25
20-21
13-8
8-13
24-23
28-15
18-22
25-23
155.9Avg total
79.7Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.676.4160.0+7.250%
Season at home (6)78.775.8154.5+2.833%
Season away (6)88.577.0165.5+11.567%
Last 10 (10)79.776.2155.9+3.550%
Last 5 (5)78.684.8163.4-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.774.4140.1-8.618%
vs Similar (7)83.080.9163.9+2.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.974.2159.2+10.767%
This opponent (Estonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
EstoniaSweden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland
#53
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A28/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H30/06
World Cup
Israel
#52
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A03/07
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A25/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H28/08
World Cup
Italy
#11
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A02/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H03/09
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A05/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H06/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H08/09
EuroBasket
78.9Avg total
36.4Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.439.375.7-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.238.875.0-2.644%-
Last 30 away (14)36.739.976.6-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)36.442.578.9-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)36.441.077.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.739.775.4-4.032%-
vs Similar (5)40.037.277.2+2.880%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sweden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SwedenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portugal
#38
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A16/08
World Cup
Luxembourg
#64
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H18/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
31-19
31
19
+12
H25/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A28/11
World Cup
Croatia
#66
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A25/02
World Cup
Croatia
#66
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H28/02
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A30/06
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H03/07
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H25/08
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A28/08
World Cup
74.5Avg total
39.3Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.276.6+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.436.875.2+1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)38.539.878.3-1.343%-
Last 10 (10)39.335.274.5+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.880.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.941.973.8-10.09%-
vs Similar (7)43.338.381.6+5.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.634.876.3+6.875%-
This opponent (Estonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estonia wins
0
Sweden wins
No previous meetings.
Estonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/09/22HGreece69-90
06/09/22HGreat Britain94-62
05/09/22ACroatia70-73
03/09/22HUkraine73-74
02/09/22AItaly62-83
28/08/22HFinland68-76
25/08/22ASlovenia83-104
03/07/22AIsrael77-96
30/06/22HGermany57-88
28/02/22APoland68-70
Swedenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/08/22AIsrael95-83
25/08/22HGermany50-67
03/07/22HSlovenia81-84
30/06/22AFinland69-85
28/02/22HCroatia98-105 OT
25/02/22ACroatia70-64
28/11/21ASlovenia89-94
25/11/21HFinland72-62
18/08/21HLuxembourg94-58
16/08/21APortugal79-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estonia
World Cup 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game70.867.274.2
Allowed / game81.278.584.0
Point differential-10.5-11.2-9.8
Avg total152.0145.8158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sweden
World Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game83.678.788.5
Allowed / game76.475.877.0
Point differential+7.2+2.8+11.5
Avg total160.0154.5165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canada990100%101.667.8+33.8
2 Australia990100%90.259.2+31.0
3 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
4 Ivory Coast990100%76.466.2+10.2
5 Latvia1312192%85.871.6+14.2
6 Lebanon98189%87.364.8+22.6
7 South Sudan98189%75.762.2+13.4
8 Spain87188%84.665.4+19.2
9 Germany87188%78.968.2+10.6
10 Lithuania87188%80.071.5+8.5
11 Finland87188%78.673.4+5.2
12 New Zealand76186%90.763.3+27.4
13 Egypt97278%74.459.0+15.4
14 China97278%80.265.8+14.4
15 Angola97278%73.661.2+12.3
16 Venezuela97278%76.365.6+10.8
17 France86275%81.162.4+18.8
18 Montenegro129375%79.072.6+6.4
19 Italy75271%90.487.6+2.9
20 Uruguay75271%74.672.0+2.6
21 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
22 Dominican Republic96367%82.372.4+9.9
23 Senegal96367%72.664.0+8.6
24 Argentina96367%78.470.9+7.6
25 Slovenia96367%84.079.7+4.3
26 Mexico64267%84.281.0+3.2
27 Puerto Rico64267%77.074.8+2.2
28 Iceland1711665%82.380.6+1.7
29 Brazil85362%84.671.0+13.6
30 Belgium85362%75.066.8+8.2
31 Greece85362%78.275.2+3.0
32 Serbia85362%78.475.6+2.8
33 Georgia85362%78.577.4+1.1
34 Philippines74357%75.674.0+1.6
35 Iran95456%77.971.3+6.6
36 Nigeria95456%71.265.2+6.0
37 Jordan95456%73.971.0+2.9
38 Tunisia95456%63.061.6+1.4
39 Kazakhstan95456%67.369.1-1.8
40 Sweden126650%83.676.4+7.2
41 Cape Verde84450%71.168.8+2.4
42 Portugal168850%70.971.6-0.7
43 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
44 Bosnia & Herzegovina84450%79.683.0-3.4
45 Hungary84450%69.979.5-9.6
46 Saudi Arabia94544%69.072.7-3.7
47 Japan94544%71.776.0-4.3
48 D.R. Congo94544%55.060.4-5.4
49 Colombia73443%79.689.6-10.0
50 Mali52340%42.047.2-5.2
51 Ukraine83538%80.079.5+0.5
52 Czech Republic83538%78.082.5-4.5
53 Israel93633%77.177.9-0.8
54 Poland62433%74.077.0-3.0
55 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
56 Slovakia1651131%68.976.7-7.8
57 Turkey72529%76.380.0-3.7
58 Panama82625%64.673.8-9.1
59 Estonia82625%70.881.2-10.5
60 Bahamas82625%79.592.6-13.1
61 Cameroon92722%61.667.8-6.2
62 Uganda92722%65.974.9-9.0
63 Guinea92722%63.973.3-9.4
64 Bahrain92722%63.482.9-19.4
65 North Macedonia102820%64.375.8-11.5
66 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
67 Bulgaria61517%74.379.2-4.8
68 Croatia61517%77.083.2-6.2
69 Rwanda61517%56.765.2-8.5
70 Chile61517%66.075.7-9.7
71 Syria61517%69.379.3-10.0
72 Great Britain61517%70.781.7-11.0
73 Central African Republic61517%61.275.2-14.0
74 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
75 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
76 Cuba4040%65.072.8-7.8
77 Netherlands7070%70.979.4-8.6
78 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
79 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
80 Chinese Taipei6060%61.090.7-29.7
81 India7070%59.189.0-29.9
82 United States Virgin Islands6060%64.796.2-31.5
83 Indonesia6060%58.590.2-31.7
84 Paraguay6060%55.086.8-31.8
85 Kenya6060%42.574.8-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 85 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estonia1324242182
Sweden2712202887
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