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Estonia W vs Denmark W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 66-58
18-22 8-4 22-17 18-15
Position#31
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game50.0
Allowed / game82.0
Estonia W 🏆
vs
Denmark W
Position#28
Record1-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game68.0
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 4· Nord Cramo Spordihoone
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estonia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denmark W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estonia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#6
L
52-78
52
78
-26
no box
H06/02
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#18
L
43-62
43
62
-19
no box
A11/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
W
72-69
72
69
+3
no box
H14/11
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
L
61-86
61
86
-25
no box
A24/11
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#18
L
52-76
52
76
-24
no box
H27/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
L
45-100
45
100
-55
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
L
65-67
65
67
-2
no box
H12/02
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
L
53-81
53
81
-28
no box
A09/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
45-83
45
83
-38
30avg 38
H12/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
52-82
52
82
-30
45avg 38
H07/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-17
12-20
14-20
15-21
14-15
11-17
4-23
14-7
19-19
16-22
16-10
21-18
15-27
15-17
20-22
11-20
12-27
16-21
6-8
18-20
10-23
7-25
20-24
8-28
16-18
18-14
19-15
12-20
14-18
13-21
12-28
14-14
12-17
11-23
13-16
9-27
17-22
13-14
7-26
15-20
132.4Avg total
54.0Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)50.082.0132.0-32.00%
Season at home (2)48.582.5131.0-34.00%
Season away (1)53.081.0134.0-28.00%
Last 10 (10)54.078.4132.4-24.410%
Last 5 (5)52.082.6134.6-30.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)54.579.1133.7-24.67%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denmark W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denmark WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Italy W
#7
L
55-101
55
101
-46
no box
A04/02
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#11
L
63-84
63
84
-21
no box
H06/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#27
W
82-48
82
48
+34
no box
H11/11
European Championship Women
Russia W
#1
L
57-77
57
77
-20
no box
A14/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
L
60-67
60
67
-7
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#27
L
63-66
63
66
-3
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
81-53
81
53
+28
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
69-76
69
76
-7
65avg 56
A12/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
62-75
62
75
-13
47avg 56
A07/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
11-23
19-23
12-29
19-15
13-28
17-19
14-22
16-15
24-12
21-13
21-8
16-25
13-17
12-22
16-13
14-18
15-16
7-16
24-17
18-18
20-18
19-14
6-16
20-19
13-16
21-20
17-16
18-14
21-13
28-12
14-14
20-21
18-16
15-23
16-16
15-19
12-12
19-25
16-19
140.4Avg total
67.6Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.768.0138.7+2.733%
Season at home (1)81.053.0134.0+28.0100%
Season away (2)65.575.5141.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)67.672.8140.4-5.230%
Last 5 (5)71.870.2142.0+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)63.182.7145.9-19.60%
vs Similar (2)73.072.0145.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.854.2144.0+35.680%
This opponent (Estonia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
Estonia WDenmark W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Estonia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#6
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H06/02
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#18
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A11/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H14/11
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A24/11
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#18
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H27/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
L
17-48
17
48
-31
A09/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H12/02
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A09/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H12/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H07/11
European Championship Women
66.9Avg total
27.2Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)27.540.868.3-13.313%-
Last 30 at home (8)29.538.167.6-8.625%-
Last 30 away (7)25.343.969.1-18.60%-
Last 10 (10)27.239.766.9-12.510%-
Last 5 (5)26.239.065.2-12.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)27.540.868.3-13.313%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denmark W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denmark WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy W
#7
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A04/02
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#11
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H06/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#27
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H11/11
European Championship Women
Russia W
#1
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A14/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H24/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#27
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A27/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A12/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H09/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A12/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A07/11
European Championship Women
69.0Avg total
32.9Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)39.134.273.3+4.947%-
Last 30 at home (9)41.332.173.4+9.256%-
Last 30 away (10)37.136.173.2+1.040%-
Last 10 (10)32.936.169.0-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.033.268.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.742.174.9-9.414%-
vs Similar (2)33.041.574.5-8.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.827.272.0+17.680%-
This opponent (Estonia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estonia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estonia W: 49.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.3 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.713.7
43.2%
45.4%27.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.05.0
21.7%
30.0%15.0
🏀 Free throws10.77.0
65.6%
72.4%7.0
They take 54.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denmark Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denmark W: 69.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.7 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.719.3
43.3%
45.4%38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.0
30.4%
30.0%21.0
🏀 Free throws15.09.7
64.4%
72.4%9.7
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estonia W
LLLLLLLWLL
Denmark W
LLWWLLLWLL
#31
League position
#28
-40.5
Net rating
+2.6
63.7
Offensive rating
89.6
104.2
Defensive rating
87.0
38.7%
Effective FG%
44.1%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
33.3%
Turnover %
23.1%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.22
21.7%
3-point %
30.4%
66.1%
Assist %
65.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence63.7 · 89.6Defence104.2 · 87.0Shooting38.7% · 44.1%3-point %21.7% · 30.4%Ball care33.3% · 23.1%Off. rebounds21.4% · 35.0%Free throws0.20 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Estonia W   ■ Denmark W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estonia W wins
1
Denmark W wins
DateGameScore
09/11/23Denmark W v Estonia W81-53
Estonia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/24HSweden W52-82
12/11/23HGreat Britain W45-83
09/11/23ADenmark W53-81
12/02/23HGreece W65-67
09/02/23AGreat Britain W45-100
27/11/22HPortugal W52-76
24/11/22AGreece W61-86
14/11/21HGreat Britain W72-69
11/11/21APortugal W43-62
06/02/21HBosnia & Herzegovina W52-78
Denmark Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/24AGreat Britain W62-75
12/11/23ASweden W69-76
09/11/23HEstonia W81-53
12/02/23AMontenegro W84-81 OT
27/11/22AAustria W63-66
24/11/22HMontenegro W60-67
14/11/21ARussia W57-77
11/11/21HAustria W82-48
06/02/21HCzech Republic W63-84
04/02/21AItaly W55-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estonia W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game50.048.553.0
Allowed / game82.082.581.0
Point differential-32.0-34.0-28.0
Avg total132.0131.0134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denmark W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game70.781.065.5
Allowed / game68.053.075.5
Point differential+2.7+28.0-10.0
Avg total138.7134.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia W330100%85.345.7+39.7
2 France W330100%88.349.7+38.7
3 Turkey W330100%82.753.0+29.7
4 Spain W330100%70.352.7+17.7
5 Luxembourg W330100%68.053.7+14.3
6 Sweden W440100%71.260.8+10.5
7 Italy W43175%64.855.8+9.0
8 Belgium W32167%93.055.0+38.0
9 Poland W32167%81.762.7+19.0
10 Croatia W32167%79.069.0+10.0
11 Germany W32167%72.362.3+10.0
12 Lithuania W32167%81.372.0+9.3
13 Montenegro W32167%75.067.3+7.7
14 Slovenia W32167%71.065.0+6.0
15 Hungary W32167%68.363.3+5.0
16 Latvia W32167%73.369.0+4.3
17 Portugal W32167%60.062.0-2.0
18 Slovakia W32167%70.374.0-3.7
19 Great Britain W42250%70.058.5+11.5
20 Israel W42250%78.074.5+3.5
21 Greece W42250%68.566.5+2.0
22 Denmark W31233%70.768.0+2.7
23 Ukraine W31233%67.069.7-2.7
24 Bulgaria W31233%70.373.7-3.3
25 Netherlands W31233%60.064.0-4.0
26 Switzerland W31233%63.367.7-4.3
27 Finland W31233%64.372.0-7.7
28 Romania W31233%71.088.0-17.0
29 Iceland W3030%68.377.3-9.0
30 Bosnia & Herzegovina W3030%65.383.0-17.7
31 Austria W3030%53.076.7-23.7
32 Czech Republic W3030%51.376.0-24.7
33 Estonia W3030%50.082.0-32.0
34 North Macedonia W3030%53.788.7-35.0
35 Ireland W4040%54.890.5-35.8
36 Azerbaijan W3030%47.0113.3-66.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estonia W188221866
Denmark W224171558
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