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Estonia W vs Latvia W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-82
17-23 13-20 28-23 17-16
Position#35
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.4
Allowed / game87.8
Estonia W
vs
Latvia W 🏆
Position#9
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game60.6
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 6· Nord Cramo Spordihoone
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estonia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Latvia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estonia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Great Britain W
#18
L
45-83
45
83
-38
H12/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
52-82
52
82
-30
H07/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H10/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
42-93
42
93
-51
A06/02
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
51-70
51
70
-19
A09/02
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#23
L
54-92
54
92
-38
H12/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#18
L
65-87
65
87
-22
H15/11
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#9
L
47-89
47
89
-42
A18/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#23
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A11/03
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#18
L
54-84
54
84
-30
A14/03
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
11-23
13-16
9-27
17-22
13-14
7-26
15-20
18-22
8-4
22-17
18-15
10-23
14-23
12-23
6-24
8-21
22-11
8-16
13-22
19-23
13-18
20-25
2-26
17-33
12-14
16-17
20-23
16-21
13-26
6-26
12-16
20-15
20-18
21-30
16-24
9-15
16-26
19-27
10-16
137.8Avg total
55.3Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)59.487.8147.2-28.40%
Season at home (2)59.589.5149.0-30.00%
Season away (3)59.386.7146.0-27.30%
Last 10 (10)55.382.5137.8-27.210%
Last 5 (5)59.487.8147.2-28.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)55.480.3135.7-24.99%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Latvia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Latvia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel W
#26
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
H11/02
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
W
85-53
85
53
+32
H07/11
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
51-82
51
82
-31
H10/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A06/02
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
W
96-90
96
90
+6
A09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#18
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A12/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#23
W
89-62
89
62
+27
H15/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#35
W
89-47
89
47
+42
H18/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#18
W
79-53
79
53
+26
H11/03
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#23
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A14/03
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
19-25
23-14
17-17
23-18
28-13
21-14
13-8
12-20
12-18
10-23
17-21
15-17
34-25
20-9
14-29
24-18
27-28
19-22
26-22
19-12
14-20
19-22
14-23
18-15
25-15
21-13
25-19
21-16
26-13
26-6
16-12
20-21
18-17
27-7
14-8
16-19
17-10
21-15
19-20
148.8Avg total
79.7Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.260.6139.8+18.680%
Season at home (3)85.754.0139.7+31.7100%
Season away (2)69.570.5140.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)79.769.1148.8+10.680%
Last 5 (5)79.260.6139.8+18.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)55.772.0127.7-16.333%
vs Similar (1)65.073.0138.0-8.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.766.1144.8+12.779%
This opponent (Estonia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -7.9-7.9Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: -9.2-9.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -7.9-7.9Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: -9.2-9.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
Estonia WLatvia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Estonia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Great Britain W
#18
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H12/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H07/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H10/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A06/02
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A09/02
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#23
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H12/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#18
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H15/11
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#9
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A18/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#23
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/03
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#18
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A14/03
European Championship Women
67.7Avg total
28.8Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)28.240.268.4-12.013%-
Last 30 at home (11)29.438.167.5-8.718%-
Last 30 away (12)27.142.269.2-15.18%-
Last 10 (10)28.838.967.7-10.110%-
Last 5 (5)31.041.872.8-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)28.240.268.4-12.013%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Latvia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Latvia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel W
#26
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H11/02
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H07/11
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H10/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A06/02
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#18
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A12/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#23
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H15/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#35
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H18/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#18
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H11/03
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#23
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A14/03
European Championship Women
76.3Avg total
40.4Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)36.932.869.7+4.165%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.034.372.3+3.755%-
Last 30 away (12)35.931.567.4+4.475%-
Last 10 (10)40.435.976.3+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)38.831.670.4+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.335.363.7-7.033%-
vs Similar (1)34.032.066.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)38.432.570.9+5.968%-
This opponent (Estonia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estonia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estonia W: 50.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.3 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.2 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.812.7
37.4%
-25.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.35.7
26.6%
-17.0
🏀 Free throws13.28.2
62.0%
-8.2
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Latvia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latvia W: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 23% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.016.8
41.1%
-33.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.5
31.1%
-25.5
🏀 Free throws23.217.8
77.0%
-17.8
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estonia W
LLLLLLLWLL
Latvia W
WWWWLWWLWW
#35
League position
#9
-34.9
Net rating
-2.2
66.9
Offensive rating
90.4
101.8
Defensive rating
92.6
38.4%
Effective FG%
43.3%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
30.5%
Turnover %
21.3%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.34
26.6%
3-point %
31.1%
70.9%
Assist %
67.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Estonia W   ■ Latvia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estonia W wins
1
Latvia W wins
DateGameScore
18/11/25Latvia W v Estonia W89-47
Estonia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26ASlovenia W54-84
11/03/26ANetherlands W77-87
18/11/25ALatvia W47-89
15/11/25HSlovenia W65-87
12/11/25HNetherlands W54-92
09/02/25ASweden W51-70
06/02/25AGreat Britain W42-93
10/11/24HDenmark W66-58
07/11/24HSweden W52-82
12/11/23HGreat Britain W45-83
Latvia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26ANetherlands W73-64
11/03/26HSlovenia W79-53
18/11/25HEstonia W89-47
15/11/25HNetherlands W89-62
12/11/25ASlovenia W66-77
09/02/25AIreland W96-90
06/02/25AIsrael W83-80
10/11/24HFrance W51-82
07/11/24HIreland W85-53
11/02/24HIsrael W86-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estonia W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game59.459.559.3
Allowed / game87.889.586.7
Point differential-28.4-30.0-27.3
Avg total147.2149.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Latvia W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game79.285.769.5
Allowed / game60.654.070.5
Point differential+18.6+31.7-1.0
Avg total139.8139.7140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Poland W550100%76.450.6+25.8
2 Serbia W440100%81.058.5+22.5
3 Israel W660100%88.069.8+18.2
4 Lithuania W220100%80.067.0+13.0
5 Bulgaria W65183%92.357.7+34.7
6 Latvia W54180%79.260.6+18.6
7 Great Britain W54180%83.465.2+18.2
8 Austria W54180%79.468.8+10.6
9 Montenegro W64267%79.060.2+18.8
10 Greece W64267%90.777.5+13.2
11 Slovakia W53260%68.656.8+11.8
12 Luxembourg W53260%69.263.6+5.6
13 Slovenia W53260%75.470.0+5.4
14 Croatia W53260%79.074.2+4.8
15 Netherlands W53260%78.273.8+4.4
16 Denmark W63350%88.878.3+10.5
17 Belgium W21150%82.572.5+10.0
18 Ukraine W63350%71.565.7+5.8
19 Finland W21150%79.086.5-7.5
20 Switzerland W52340%70.472.0-1.6
21 Romania W52340%59.474.2-14.8
22 Portugal W31233%69.772.7-3.0
23 Ireland W62433%73.580.3-6.8
24 North Macedonia W51420%64.497.6-33.2
25 Sweden W2020%71.086.5-15.5
26 Bosnia & Herzegovina W5050%69.288.4-19.2
27 Cyprus W5050%55.478.2-22.8
28 Iceland W3030%65.092.0-27.0
29 Norway W5050%50.277.4-27.2
30 Estonia W5050%59.487.8-28.4
31 Azerbaijan W6060%45.7105.0-59.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estonia W1713281775
Latvia W2320231682
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