Estudiantes vs Quimsa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 May 2018

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 81-75

26-17 13-18 15-21 27-19

Position#11

Record16-24

FormLWWLL

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game82.0

Estudiantes 🏆

Quimsa

Position#5

Record26-14

FormWWWWW

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game76.2

Liga A

Other2017-18

Meetings · Estudiantes v Quimsa

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Quimsa winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstudiantes

Date

Competition

Salta

#20

74-59

+15

no box

H22/04

Liga A

Argentino

92-76

+16

no box

H24/04

Liga A

Ferro

#16

80-84

-4

no box

A26/04

Liga A

San Martin

76-77

-1

no box

H28/04

Liga A

Real Madrid

75-92

-17

no box

H29/04

ACB

Quimsa

76-77

-1

no box

H01/05

Liga A

Atenas

66-62

no box

H03/05

Liga A

Tenerife

97-92

133avg 110

H06/05

ACB

Quimsa

74-80

-6

no box

A07/05

Liga A

Quimsa

66-101

101

-35

no box

A09/05

Liga A

27-21

12-15

24-7

11-16

20-27

33-14

24-19

15-16

13-19

19-18

25-14

23-33

21-12

16-16

17-20

22-29

16-21

15-23

20-30

24-18

13-18

26-17

19-24

18-18

23-16

19-16

9-13

15-17

28-19

25-29

21-19

23-25

15-21

22-24

22-14

15-21

24-32

9-18

12-33

21-18

157.6Avg total

77.6Scored

80.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (40)	79.9	82.0	161.9	-2.1	40%
Season at home (19)	84.5	79.1	163.5	+5.4	68%
Season away (21)	75.8	84.8	160.5	-9.0	14%
Last 10 (10)	77.6	80.0	157.6	-2.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	82.4	158.2	-6.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	74.5	83.1	157.5	-8.6	18%
vs Similar (16)	80.1	80.6	160.6	-0.5	50%
vs Weaker (3)	93.3	78.0	171.3	+15.3	100%

This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Quimsa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormQuimsa

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#13

94-83

+11

no box

A07/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

73-62

+11

no box

H10/04

Liga A

San Lorenzo

60-71

-11

no box

A19/04

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

82-61

+21

no box

A21/04

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

70-77

-7

no box

A23/04

Liga A

San Lorenzo

82-73

no box

H26/04

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

77-76

no box

A01/05

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#19

76-70

no box

A03/05

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

80-74

no box

H07/05

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

101-66

101

+35

no box

H09/05

Liga A

17-26

24-8

33-19

20-30

11-15

20-16

21-19

21-12

20-20

10-19

19-16

11-16

11-17

17-11

33-17

21-16

16-24

16-12

26-18

12-23

16-24

20-16

20-17

26-16

18-13

17-26

24-19

18-18

15-19

21-14

16-26

24-11

21-15

24-22

14-22

21-15

32-24

18-9

33-12

18-21

150.8Avg total

79.5Scored

71.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (40)	80.4	76.2	156.6	+4.2	65%
Season at home (21)	82.8	74.2	157.0	+8.6	81%
Season away (19)	77.8	78.4	156.2	-0.6	47%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	71.3	150.8	+8.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	71.8	155.0	+11.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	71.0	72.0	143.0	-1.0	50%
vs Similar (8)	73.6	79.1	152.8	-5.5	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	84.3	73.9	158.2	+10.4	80%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesQuimsa

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	18.1	39.3	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	22.3	41.9	-2.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.5	36%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.8	20.4	40.1	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	29.7	19.3	49.0	+10.3	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	17.3	37.8	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	20.5	38.3	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	19.7	37.4	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.4	17.5	35.9	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.4	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	18.3	37.7	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	20.6	37.7	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.5	19.5	37.1	-2.0	18%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.8	20.2	37.9	-2.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.3	15.3	38.7	+8.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.1	37.0	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.3	37.9	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	17.9	36.1	+0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	15.3	34.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.4	37.4	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	17.5	32.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.3	17.4	36.7	+1.9	55%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Salta

#20

39-36

H22/04

Liga A

Argentino

53-41

+12

H24/04

Liga A

Ferro

#16

32-37

-5

A26/04

Liga A

San Martin

37-28

H28/04

Liga A

Real Madrid

31-44

-13

H29/04

ACB

Quimsa

39-35

H01/05

Liga A

Atenas

42-32

+10

H03/05

Liga A

Tenerife

53-48

H06/05

ACB

Quimsa

37-45

-8

A07/05

Liga A

Quimsa

33-50

-17

A09/05

Liga A

79.2Avg total

39.6Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	39.7	78.3	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	36.5	77.0	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	42.9	79.6	-6.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	39.6	79.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	42.0	82.8	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	36.3	39.8	76.1	-3.5	36%	-
vs Similar (16)	37.5	40.6	78.1	-3.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	53.0	34.7	87.7	+18.3	100%	-

This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

QuimsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#13

41-34

A07/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

31-31

H10/04

Liga A

San Lorenzo

30-39

-9

A19/04

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

28-28

A21/04

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

32-36

-4

A23/04

Liga A

San Lorenzo

36-40

-4

H26/04

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

35-39

-4

A01/05

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#19

36-33

A03/05

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

45-37

H07/05

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

50-33

+17

H09/05

Liga A

71.4Avg total

36.4Scored

35.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	37.0	75.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	35.6	75.7	+4.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.9	38.4	74.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	35.0	71.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	36.4	76.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	33.0	39.5	72.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.2	37.6	74.9	-0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	38.9	36.5	75.3	+2.4	75%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.3	41.0	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	21.9	41.0	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.3	38.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.6	37.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.8	23.2	41.0	-5.4	36%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	24.3	44.7	-4.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.9	41.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	18.9	40.0	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	20.9	42.3	+0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	18.5	42.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	16.5	36.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (8)	16.5	21.8	38.2	-5.2	12%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.4	19.4	42.8	+3.9	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	17.9	38.1	+2.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	21.7	42.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.1	39.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.3	36%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.5	19.8	40.2	+0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.3	39.6	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	17.2	39.3	+4.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.8	37.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.2	37.6	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	16.0	34.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.9	19.8	39.6	+0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.1	17.9	40.0	+4.2	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	41.1	81.2	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.6	38.5	79.1	+2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	43.6	83.3	-3.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	40.4	78.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	40.4	75.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	38.2	43.3	81.5	-5.1	27%	-
vs Similar (16)	41.4	39.1	80.6	+2.3	62%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.3	43.3	83.7	-3.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	38.2	80.7	+4.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.2	36.1	79.3	+7.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.9	40.3	82.2	+1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	36.3	79.4	+6.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	35.4	78.2	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	38.0	32.5	70.5	+5.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.4	41.5	77.9	-5.1	12%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	45.5	37.4	82.9	+8.1	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 84.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	18.0	49.3%	53.8%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.0	10.2	34.0%	32.9%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	23.6	17.4	73.7%	71.7%	17.4

They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Quimsatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.4	21.5	50.7%	53.8%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	8.7	35.8%	32.9%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	20.2	15.0	74.3%	71.7%	15.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.4	18.9	52.1%	53.8%	37.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.1	9.4	31.3%	32.9%	28.3
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.7	74.6%	71.7%	15.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.5	21.9	50.4%	53.8%	43.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.6	7.8	34.3%	32.9%	23.2
🏀 Free throws	20.8	15.7	75.7%	71.7%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Quimsa wins

Date	Game	Score
09/05/18	Quimsa v Estudiantes	101-66
07/05/18	Quimsa v Estudiantes	80-74
01/05/18	Estudiantes v Quimsa	76-77
09/02/18	Quimsa v Estudiantes	91-88
26/02/17	Quimsa v Estudiantes	73-80
13/12/16	Estudiantes v Quimsa	100-77
19/11/16	Estudiantes v Quimsa	80-74
05/11/16	Quimsa v Estudiantes	81-91
03/04/16	Estudiantes v Quimsa	78-114
04/03/16	Quimsa v Estudiantes	72-75 OT

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/05/18	A	Quimsa	66-101
07/05/18	A	Quimsa	74-80
06/05/18	H	Tenerife	97-92
03/05/18	H	Atenas	66-62
01/05/18	H	Quimsa	76-77
29/04/18	H	Real Madrid	75-92
28/04/18	H	San Martin	76-77
26/04/18	A	Ferro	80-84
24/04/18	H	Argentino	92-76
22/04/18	H	Salta	74-59

Quimsalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/05/18	H	Estudiantes	101-66
07/05/18	H	Estudiantes	80-74
03/05/18	A	Comunicaciones Mercedes	76-70
01/05/18	A	Estudiantes	77-76
26/04/18	H	San Lorenzo	82-73
23/04/18	A	Hispano Americano	70-77
21/04/18	A	Boca Juniors	82-61
19/04/18	A	San Lorenzo	60-71
10/04/18	H	Gimnasia	73-62
07/04/18	A	Olimpico	94-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Liga A 2017-18

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	40%
Home	WWLLW	68%
Away	LLLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	40	19	21
Win %	40%	68%	14%
Points / game	79.9	84.5	75.8
Allowed / game	82.0	79.1	84.8
Point differential	-2.1	+5.4	-9.0
Avg total	161.9	163.5	160.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	32%	5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (15)	50% (10)	0% (5)
Overtime %	5%	5%	5%

Quimsa

Liga A 2017-18

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	65%
Home	WWWWW	81%
Away	LWLWW	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	40	21	19
Win %	65%	81%	47%
Points / game	80.4	82.8	77.8
Allowed / game	76.2	74.2	78.4
Point differential	+4.2	+8.6	-0.6
Avg total	156.6	157.0	156.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	43%	26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	80% (5)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	40	32	8	80%	86.2	78.2	+8.1
2	San Martin	41	30	11	73%	84.7	78.5	+6.2
3	Atenas	40	29	11	72%	88.5	84.1	+4.4
4	Instituto de Cordoba	40	28	12	70%	85.8	80.0	+5.8
5	Quimsa	40	26	14	65%	80.4	76.2	+4.2
6	La Union	41	25	16	61%	79.7	77.7	+2.0
7	Gimnasia	40	24	16	60%	82.9	80.5	+2.5
8	Obras Sanitarias	40	22	18	55%	85.0	83.9	+1.1
9	Argentino	40	18	22	45%	78.4	80.9	-2.5
10	Weber Bahia	40	18	22	45%	77.6	80.4	-2.8
11	Boca Juniors	41	17	24	41%	78.0	80.2	-2.2
12	Hispano Americano	41	17	24	41%	83.6	86.9	-3.3
13	Estudiantes	40	16	24	40%	79.9	82.0	-2.1
14	Regatas	40	16	24	40%	79.3	83.0	-3.6
15	Ferro	40	15	25	38%	81.2	82.5	-1.3
16	Olimpico	40	15	25	38%	82.0	84.6	-2.7
17	Quilmes	38	14	24	37%	87.0	90.1	-3.1
18	Penarol	40	14	26	35%	81.9	84.0	-2.0
19	Comunicaciones Mercedes	38	13	25	34%	81.1	84.8	-3.7
20	Salta	40	11	29	28%	75.6	80.8	-5.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	26	13	15	27	81
Quimsa	17	18	21	19	75

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Estudiantes vs Quimsa Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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