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Estudiantes vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 75-92
16-21 15-23 20-30 24-18
Position#10
Record14-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game85.1
Estudiantes
Spain
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
Position#1
Record25-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game78.6
SpainACBRound 30
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Estudiantes v Real Madrid
07 Feb 2021
EST65
MAD79
06 Jan 2019
EST93
MAD88
29 Apr 2018
EST75
MAD92
23 Oct 2016
EST88
MAD96
08 Nov 2015
EST75
MAD80
07 Dec 2014
EST89
MAD84
13 Apr 2014
EST64
MAD71
09 Dec 2012
EST74
MAD87
11 Dec 2011
EST90
MAD85
30 Sep 2010
EST79
MAD84
29 Dec 2009
EST82
MAD80
25 Apr 2009
EST71
MAD63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#19
L
77-79
77
79
-2
no box
H12/04
Liga A
Penarol
#18
L
79-85
79
85
-6
no box
A15/04
Liga A
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
L
65-78
65
78
-13
96avg 109
A15/04
ACB
Quilmes
#17
L
72-87
72
87
-15
no box
A17/04
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#10
L
55-89
55
89
-34
no box
A18/04
Liga A
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
116-112 OT
116
112
+4
no box
A21/04
ACB
Salta
#20
W
74-59
74
59
+15
no box
H22/04
Liga A
Argentino
#9
W
92-76
92
76
+16
no box
H24/04
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
80-84
80
84
-4
no box
A26/04
Liga A
San Martin
#2
L
76-77
76
77
-1
no box
H28/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
21-26
15-19
18-12
17-28
21-15
25-19
16-23
19-20
7-27
17-19
22-12
21-15
14-31
17-19
20-22
23-21
12-21
11-23
9-24
21-25
27-19
27-28
23-26
27-21
12-15
24-7
11-16
20-27
33-14
24-19
15-16
13-19
19-18
25-14
23-33
21-12
16-16
17-20
22-29
161.2Avg total
78.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)84.785.1169.8-0.548%
Season at home (14)83.379.0162.3+4.364%
Season away (15)85.990.9176.8-4.933%
Last 10 (10)78.682.6161.2-4.030%
Last 5 (5)87.681.6169.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.183.8160.9-6.733%
vs Similar (18)79.881.6161.4-1.839%
vs Weaker (3)93.378.0171.3+15.3100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
82-79
82
79
+3
113avg 117
A30/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#7
W
89-88
89
88
+1
116avg 117
A01/04
ACB
Bamberg
#13
W
106-86
106
86
+20
138avg 117
H06/04
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
78-65
78
65
+13
115avg 117
H08/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
87-70
87
70
+17
119avg 117
H10/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
90-75
90
75
+15
117avg 117
A14/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
L
67-95
67
95
-28
91avg 117
A17/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
89-82
89
82
+7
122avg 117
A19/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
81-74
81
74
+7
111avg 117
H25/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
89-82
89
82
+7
no box
H27/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
16-19
21-18
18-22
21-17
26-31
22-17
20-23
27-28
26-22
29-19
24-17
19-18
21-14
22-10
16-23
22-18
24-14
24-19
17-19
23-22
17-13
30-13
20-27
13-26
17-20
14-31
23-18
16-21
20-19
32-21
21-21
17-17
23-17
17-19
24-21
19-14
32-21
27-25
11-22
165.4Avg total
85.8Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)90.278.6168.9+11.689%
Season at home (14)90.976.3167.2+14.693%
Season away (14)89.680.9170.5+8.686%
Last 10 (10)85.879.6165.4+6.290%
Last 5 (5)83.281.6164.8+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)86.687.8174.4-1.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.578.3165.8+9.283%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
EstudiantesReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#19
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H12/04
Liga A
Penarol
#18
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A15/04
Liga A
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A15/04
ACB
Quilmes
#17
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A17/04
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#10
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A18/04
Liga A
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A21/04
ACB
Salta
#20
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/04
Liga A
Argentino
#9
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H24/04
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A26/04
Liga A
San Martin
#2
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H28/04
Liga A
79.9Avg total
38.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.977.8-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.236.875.9+2.454%-
Last 30 away (17)37.042.279.2-5.224%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.279.9-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.837.279.0+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.139.675.7-3.433%-
vs Similar (18)36.340.977.2-4.628%-
vs Weaker (3)53.034.787.7+18.3100%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A30/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A01/04
ACB
Bamberg
#13
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H06/04
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H08/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H10/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A14/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A17/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A19/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H25/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H27/04
Euroleague
81.7Avg total
42.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.682.3+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.438.081.4+5.475%-
Last 30 away (14)42.141.483.4+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.181.7+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.077.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)38.242.881.0-4.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.638.782.2+4.967%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.6
52.0%
51.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.0
34.5%
35.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.317.8
76.4%
74.6%17.8
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.9
52.6%
51.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.88.3
38.1%
35.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws23.818.1
76.1%
74.6%18.1
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estudiantes
LLWWWLLLLL
Real Madrid
WWWLWWWWWW
#10
League position
#1
+2.2
Net rating
+8.3
111.8
Offensive rating
114.1
109.5
Defensive rating
105.8
51.9%
Effective FG%
54.2%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.4%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.39
34.5%
3-point %
38.1%
62.9%
Assist %
63.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 114.1Defence109.5 · 105.8Shooting51.9% · 54.2%3-point %34.5% · 38.1%Ball care15.9% · 16.4%Off. rebounds29.8% · 31.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Estudiantes   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Estudiantes wins
9
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
31/12/17Real Madrid v Estudiantes96-89
30/04/17Real Madrid v Estudiantes79-72
23/10/16Estudiantes v Real Madrid88-96
07/02/16Real Madrid v Estudiantes97-79
08/11/15Estudiantes v Real Madrid75-80
29/03/15Real Madrid v Estudiantes92-66
07/12/14Estudiantes v Real Madrid89-84
13/04/14Estudiantes v Real Madrid64-71
24/11/13Real Madrid v Estudiantes72-57
05/05/13Real Madrid v Estudiantes93-82
Estudianteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/18HSan Martin76-77
26/04/18AFerro80-84
24/04/18HArgentino92-76
22/04/18HSalta74-59
21/04/18AObradoiro CAB116-112 OT
18/04/18AWeber Bahia55-89
17/04/18AQuilmes72-87
15/04/18AMoraBanc Andorra65-78
15/04/18APenarol79-85
12/04/18HComunicaciones Mercedes77-79
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/18HPanathinaikos89-82
25/04/18HPanathinaikos81-74
19/04/18APanathinaikos89-82
17/04/18APanathinaikos67-95
14/04/18AFuenlabrada90-75
10/04/18HJoventut Badalona87-70
08/04/18HObradoiro CAB78-65
06/04/18HBamberg106-86
01/04/18AUnicaja89-88
30/03/18ACrvena zvezda82-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW48%
HomeWLWWW64%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %48%64%33%
Points / game84.783.385.9
Allowed / game85.179.090.9
Point differential-0.5+4.3-4.9
Avg total169.8162.3176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%36%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %10%7%13%
Real Madrid
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLLWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %89%93%86%
Points / game90.290.989.6
Allowed / game78.676.380.9
Point differential+11.6+14.6+8.6
Avg total168.9167.2170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2825389%90.278.6+11.6
2 Baskonia2921872%85.878.3+7.4
3 Barcelona3021970%89.579.4+10.1
4 Valencia30201067%83.476.5+6.9
5 Unicaja30181260%82.576.7+5.8
6 MoraBanc Andorra30171357%85.481.9+3.5
7 Gran Canaria30171357%83.882.3+1.5
8 Tenerife30161453%77.576.8+0.6
9 Murcia31161552%77.776.6+1.1
10 Fuenlabrada30151550%76.782.1-5.4
11 Estudiantes29141548%84.785.1-0.5
12 Gipuzkoa30121840%80.883.4-2.6
13 Obradoiro CAB30121840%78.281.6-3.4
14 San Pablo Burgos30111937%80.686.2-5.6
15 Joventut Badalona31102132%78.883.0-4.3
16 Tecnyconta Zaragoza3092130%80.887.3-6.6
17 Bilbao3082227%76.384.1-7.8
18 Real Betis3072323%78.289.6-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes1615202475
Real Madrid2123301892
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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