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Valencia W vs Estudiantes W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 77-81
19-29 20-21 24-10 14-21
Position#2
Record21-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game64.0
Valencia W
Spain
vs
Estudiantes W 🏆
Spain
Position#6
Record13-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game69.7
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 26· Font de Sant Lluis
Women2024-25
Meetings · Valencia W v Estudiantes W
17 Mar 2027
VALE v ESTU
upcoming
02 Nov 2025
VALE84
ESTU61
15 Mar 2025
VALE77
ESTU81
23 Mar 2024
VALE77
ESTU50
02 Dec 2023
VALE55
ESTU33
23 Apr 2023
VALE77
ESTU35
30 Mar 2023
VALE69
ESTU56
20 Oct 2022
VALE79
ESTU72
28 Apr 2022
VALE72
ESTU35
31 Oct 2021
VALE70
ESTU52
06 Dec 2020
VALE79
ESTU51
22 Dec 2009
VALE102
ESTU56
28 Feb 2009
VALE76
ESTU54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valencia WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Araski W
#13
W
69-55
69
55
+14
62avg 72
H31/01
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
L
70-73
70
73
-3
63avg 72
A13/02
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#1
W
88-80
88
80
+8
83avg 72
A16/02
Liga Femenina W
CBK Mersin W
#2
W
89-57
89
57
+32
88avg 72
H19/02
Euroleague Women
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
102-49
102
49
+53
114avg 72
H22/02
Liga Femenina W
CBK Mersin W
#2
L
77-92
77
92
-15
71avg 72
A26/02
Euroleague Women
Ferrol W
#8
W
74-54
74
54
+20
73avg 72
A01/03
Liga Femenina W
Ardoi W
#16
W
93-43
93
43
+50
104avg 72
H05/03
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
L
73-76
73
76
-3
64avg 72
A09/03
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#14
L
63-67
63
67
-4
55avg 72
A12/03
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
23-2
18-15
14-18
18-22
21-18
11-19
20-14
26-25
29-12
12-20
21-23
25-15
13-20
27-7
24-15
22-15
22-17
27-13
31-4
15-21
19-20
26-25
17-26
22-9
19-16
13-11
20-18
25-16
26-9
23-8
19-10
17-16
22-13
15-26
19-21
16-12
19-13
16-18
12-24
144.4Avg total
79.8Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.964.0143.0+14.981%
Season at home (12)82.862.2145.0+20.792%
Season away (14)75.665.6141.2+9.971%
Last 10 (10)79.864.6144.4+15.260%
Last 5 (5)76.066.4142.4+9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.282.2155.5-9.025%
vs Similar (4)81.572.2153.8+9.2100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)79.264.8144.0+14.477%
This opponent (Estudiantes W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Estudiantes WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
ESB Villeneuve W
#4
L
90-108 OT
90
108
-18
82avg 62
A15/01
EuroCup Women
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#14
W
76-67
76
67
+9
69avg 62
H18/01
Liga Femenina W
Celta W
#15
L
71-80
71
80
-9
58avg 62
A26/01
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#1
L
67-87
67
87
-20
53avg 62
H31/01
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
L
55-72
55
72
-17
45avg 62
A13/02
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#13
W
80-56
80
56
+24
73avg 62
H16/02
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#10
L
70-72
70
72
-2
65avg 62
A23/02
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#12
L
73-83
73
83
-10
62avg 62
H01/03
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#11
W
66-63
66
63
+3
53avg 62
A05/03
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
W
66-57
66
57
+9
54avg 62
H09/03
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
15-21
14-16
15-13
19-21
21-16
18-16
18-14
11-23
26-19
11-18
23-20
17-26
21-21
10-24
19-16
20-16
4-14
7-21
24-21
17-10
23-16
30-15
10-15
16-23
14-6
22-28
18-15
13-25
22-18
20-23
18-17
19-18
17-14
16-16
14-15
12-17
25-12
14-8
15-20
145.9Avg total
71.4Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)70.069.7139.7+0.352%
Season at home (13)72.867.1139.9+5.869%
Season away (12)66.972.6139.5-5.733%
Last 10 (10)71.474.5145.9-3.140%
Last 5 (5)71.066.2137.2+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)64.972.8137.7-7.933%
vs Similar (9)73.872.6146.3+1.256%
vs Weaker (12)79.868.5148.2+11.267%
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +7.3+7.3Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +7.3+7.3Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
Valencia WEstudiantes W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valencia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Araski W
#13
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H31/01
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A13/02
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#1
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A16/02
Liga Femenina W
CBK Mersin W
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H19/02
Euroleague Women
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H22/02
Liga Femenina W
CBK Mersin W
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A26/02
Euroleague Women
Ferrol W
#8
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A01/03
Liga Femenina W
Ardoi W
#16
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H05/03
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A09/03
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#14
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A12/03
Liga Femenina W
72.4Avg total
41.3Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.933.973.8+6.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.134.575.6+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)38.933.472.3+5.656%-
Last 10 (10)41.331.172.4+10.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.029.069.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.244.877.0-12.525%-
vs Similar (4)38.235.073.2+3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)41.631.773.4+9.977%-
This opponent (Estudiantes W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Estudiantes WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ESB Villeneuve W
#4
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A15/01
EuroCup Women
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#14
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H18/01
Liga Femenina W
Celta W
#15
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A26/01
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H31/01
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A13/02
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#13
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H16/02
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#10
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A23/02
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H01/03
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#11
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A05/03
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H09/03
Liga Femenina W
71.2Avg total
35.2Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.835.972.7+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.234.573.6+4.771%-
Last 30 away (13)33.737.871.5-4.215%-
Last 10 (10)35.236.071.2-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)35.631.867.4+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)32.838.070.8-5.222%-
vs Similar (9)35.635.270.8+0.344%-
vs Weaker (12)40.834.975.7+5.867%-
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valencia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia W: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.819.6
46.9%
46.8%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.2
32.5%
31.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws14.611.4
78.1%
74.3%11.4
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantes Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes W: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.523.6
50.8%
46.8%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.1
29.2%
31.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.014.5
76.3%
74.3%14.5
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia W
LLWWLWWWLW
Estudiantes W
WWLLWLLLWL
#2
League position
#6
+2.4
Net rating
+16.6
98.5
Offensive rating
104.6
96.2
Defensive rating
88.0
47.6%
Effective FG%
48.4%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
44.3%
19.3%
Turnover %
17.4%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.5%
3-point %
29.2%
70.9%
Assist %
68.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 104.6Defence96.2 · 88.0Shooting47.6% · 48.4%3-point %32.5% · 29.2%Ball care19.3% · 17.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Valencia W   ■ Estudiantes W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Valencia W wins
0
Estudiantes W wins
DateGameScore
26/10/24Estudiantes W v Valencia W61-65
23/03/24Valencia W v Estudiantes W77-50
24/02/24Estudiantes W v Valencia W59-64
02/12/23Valencia W v Estudiantes W55-33
23/04/23Valencia W v Estudiantes W77-35
20/04/23Estudiantes W v Valencia W56-58
30/03/23Valencia W v Estudiantes W69-56
25/02/23Estudiantes W v Valencia W65-71
20/10/22Valencia W v Estudiantes W79-72
28/04/22Valencia W v Estudiantes W72-35
Valencia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25AIDK Gipuzkoa W63-67
09/03/25APerfumerias Avenida W73-76
05/03/25HArdoi W93-43
01/03/25AFerrol W74-54
26/02/25ACBK Mersin W77-92
22/02/25HGernika Bizkaia W102-49
19/02/25HCBK Mersin W89-57
16/02/25AUni Girona W88-80
13/02/25AJairis W70-73
31/01/25HAraski W69-55
Estudiantes Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HJairis W66-57
05/03/25AGran Canaria W66-63
01/03/25HEnsino W73-83
23/02/25ACadi La Seu W70-72
16/02/25HAraski W80-56
13/02/25APerfumerias Avenida W55-72
31/01/25HUni Girona W67-87
26/01/25ACelta W71-80
18/01/25HIDK Gipuzkoa W76-67
15/01/25AESB Villeneuve W90-108 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia W
Liga Femenina W 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL81%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWLL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %81%92%71%
Points / game78.982.875.6
Allowed / game64.062.265.6
Point differential+14.9+20.7+9.9
Avg total143.0145.0141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%83%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estudiantes W
Liga Femenina W 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW52%
HomeWLWLW69%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %52%69%33%
Points / game70.072.866.9
Allowed / game69.767.172.6
Point differential+0.3+5.8-5.7
Avg total139.7139.9139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%46%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uni Girona W2521484%80.866.1+14.7
2 Valencia W2621581%78.964.0+14.9
3 Perfumerias Avenida W2520580%75.465.1+10.3
4 Zaragoza W2516964%74.367.7+6.6
5 Jairis W26161062%73.267.1+6.1
6 Joventut Badalona W26141254%72.572.6-0.1
7 Estudiantes W25131252%70.069.7+0.3
8 Gernika Bizkaia W25131252%66.768.2-1.4
9 Ferrol W24121250%69.470.8-1.5
10 Ensino W25101540%69.270.3-1.1
11 Gran Canaria W25101540%66.071.6-5.6
12 Cadi La Seu W2591636%67.070.3-3.3
13 Araski W2581732%66.873.4-6.6
14 IDK Gipuzkoa W2681831%63.269.4-6.2
15 Celta W2671927%66.075.7-9.7
16 Ardoi W2542116%61.879.4-17.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia W1920241477
Estudiantes W2921102181
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