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Faenza W vs Lucca W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 72-66
16-11 20-10 15-23 21-22
Position#11
Record3-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#12
Record2-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game75.0
ItalySerie A1 WRound 13
Women2022-23
Meetings · Faenza W v Lucca W
21 Dec 2022
FAEN72
LUCC66
24 Feb 2022
FAEN84
LUCC89
26 Feb 2012
FAEN74
LUCC62
09 Jan 2011
FAEN56
LUCC42
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Faenza W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lucca W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Faenza WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brixia W
#14
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H09/10
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A15/10
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H22/10
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
69-103
69
103
-34
A30/10
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
A06/11
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H12/11
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
L
48-73
48
73
-25
H19/11
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A04/12
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H10/12
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A18/12
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
20-15
19-12
19-23
19-17
21-19
18-18
22-14
18-15
12-15
20-19
13-15
15-24
11-27
19-26
24-26
20-26
19-22
23-12
15-17
21-28
10-13
21-24
17-14
8-28
14-15
12-17
14-13
11-12
5-24
23-15
21-13
12-29
22-19
15-14
16-14
21-18
19-13
15-17
12-6
142.0Avg total
68.4Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)69.875.4145.2-5.625%
Season at home (6)66.073.2139.2-7.217%
Season away (6)73.777.7151.3-4.033%
Last 10 (10)68.473.6142.0-5.230%
Last 5 (5)61.869.2131.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)64.276.8141.0-12.711%
vs Similar ◀ (8)67.464.5131.9+2.975%
vs Weaker (3)79.368.0147.3+11.3100%
This opponent (Lucca W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lucca WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari W
#4
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A08/10
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
L
60-75
60
75
-15
H16/10
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
63-99
63
99
-36
A23/10
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A29/10
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
67-79
67
79
-12
H06/11
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A13/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
H19/11
Serie A1 W
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A06/12
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H11/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H18/12
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-22
19-15
13-16
15-21
16-17
17-25
12-16
15-17
17-31
13-18
14-24
19-26
10-10
12-25
31-19
15-16
11-22
17-22
23-18
16-17
12-10
8-26
13-28
22-16
19-21
14-24
26-23
17-30
22-29
8-27
17-12
19-11
18-17
23-23
10-17
23-20
17-12
16-8
14-15
13-13
142.5Avg total
64.6Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)64.075.0139.0-11.017%
Season at home (6)68.772.8141.5-4.233%
Season away (6)59.377.2136.5-17.80%
Last 10 (10)64.677.9142.5-13.310%
Last 5 (5)66.276.4142.6-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)60.678.4139.0-17.815%
vs Similar ◀ (7)67.165.7132.9+1.457%
vs Weaker (8)74.065.1139.1+8.988%
This opponent (Faenza W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
Faenza WLucca W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Faenza WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brixia W
#14
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H09/10
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A15/10
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H22/10
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A30/10
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A06/11
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H12/11
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
L
22-43
22
43
-21
H19/11
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
16-36
16
36
-20
A04/12
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H10/12
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A18/12
Serie A1 W
71.7Avg total
32.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.838.671.4-5.827%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.038.074.0-2.033%-
Last 30 away (15)29.639.368.9-9.720%-
Last 10 (10)32.239.571.7-7.330%-
Last 5 (5)28.639.868.4-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)30.440.470.8-10.011%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)34.835.069.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (3)42.737.079.7+5.767%-
This opponent (Lucca W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lucca WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari W
#4
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A08/10
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H16/10
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A23/10
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A29/10
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H06/11
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A13/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H19/11
Serie A1 W
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A06/12
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H18/12
Serie A1 W
70.3Avg total
29.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.838.171.9-4.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.135.170.2-0.171%-
Last 30 away (16)32.740.673.3-7.919%-
Last 10 (10)29.940.470.3-10.520%-
Last 5 (5)31.439.470.8-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)31.741.373.0-9.623%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.737.374.0-0.671%-
vs Weaker (8)34.233.968.1+0.462%-
This opponent (Faenza W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Faenza W wins
5
Lucca W wins
DateGameScore
06/04/22Lucca W v Faenza W64-56
24/02/22Faenza W v Lucca W84-89
02/12/12Lucca W v Faenza W72-53
26/02/12Faenza W v Lucca W74-62
27/11/11Lucca W v Faenza W80-37
27/03/11Lucca W v Faenza W66-49
09/01/11Faenza W v Lucca W56-42
Faenza Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22ABasket Crema W67-54
10/12/22HSan Martino W65-76
04/12/22ASan Giovanni W60-64
19/11/22HRagusa W48-73
12/11/22HVirtus Bologna W69-79
06/11/22ASassari W81-89 OT
30/10/22ASchio W69-103
22/10/22HCampobasso W63-64
15/10/22AValdarno W80-68
09/10/22HBrixia W82-66
Lucca Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22HBrixia W60-48
11/12/22HRagusa W74-77
06/12/22ALibertas Moncalieri W66-79
19/11/22HSchio W76-98
13/11/22ASan Giovanni W55-80
06/11/22HVenezia W67-79
29/10/22AValdarno W68-70
23/10/22AVirtus Bologna W63-99
16/10/22HSan Martino W60-75
08/10/22ASassari W57-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Faenza W
Serie A1 W 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW25%
HomeWLLLL17%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%17%33%
Points / game69.866.073.7
Allowed / game75.473.277.7
Point differential-5.6-7.2-4.0
Avg total145.2139.2151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Lucca W
Serie A1 W 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game64.068.759.3
Allowed / game75.072.877.2
Point differential-11.0-4.2-17.8
Avg total139.0141.5136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W12120100%84.058.7+25.3
2 Virtus Bologna W1210283%83.864.8+18.9
3 Venezia W1210283%79.063.8+15.2
4 Sassari W129375%71.667.5+4.1
5 San Giovanni W129375%66.864.3+2.4
6 Campobasso W127558%64.966.7-1.8
7 Ragusa W126650%75.368.8+6.5
8 San Martino W126650%68.871.8-3.0
9 Libertas Moncalieri W126650%63.568.6-5.1
10 Faenza W123925%69.875.4-5.6
11 Basket Crema W1331023%65.271.4-6.2
12 Lucca W1221017%64.075.0-11.0
13 Brixia W121118%59.176.0-16.9
14 Valdarno W131128%60.581.1-20.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Faenza W1620152172
Lucca W1110232266
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