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Faenza W vs Virtus Bologna W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 54-76
19-22 14-21 12-15 9-18
Position#11
Record4-11
FormLLLWW
Points / game64.8
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#3
Record12-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game60.5
ItalySerie A1 WRound 17· Palasport Bubani
Women2023-24
Meetings · Faenza W v Virtus Bologna W
03 Feb 2024
FAEN54
VIRT76
12 Nov 2022
FAEN69
VIRT79
27 Nov 2021
FAEN43
VIRT77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Faenza W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Faenza WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Schio W
#2
L
55-82
55
82
-27
43avg 59
H17/11
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#5
L
56-61
56
61
-5
49avg 59
A26/11
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#4
L
56-60
56
60
-4
47avg 59
H03/12
Serie A1 W
Oxygen Roma W
#8
L
54-77
54
77
-23
44avg 59
A10/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
68-74
68
74
-6
62avg 59
H17/12
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#6
L
64-94
64
94
-30
59avg 59
A20/12
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#2
L
59-83
59
83
-24
54avg 59
A04/01
Coppa Italia Women
Brixia W
#10
L
70-86
70
86
-16
63avg 59
H14/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
W
69-61
69
61
+8
72avg 59
A21/01
Serie A1 W
Sanga Milano W
#13
W
77-58
77
58
+19
76avg 59
H28/01
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
15-18
10-16
11-22
21-24
15-10
6-13
14-14
12-22
19-5
8-17
17-16
18-20
6-22
24-16
6-19
20-19
17-20
19-20
12-15
18-24
18-22
14-30
14-18
16-22
18-25
14-21
11-15
22-20
12-20
20-27
16-19
17-16
26-7
15-24
11-14
14-16
21-16
19-15
23-11
136.4Avg total
62.8Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)64.871.5136.3-6.727%
Season at home (8)66.472.2138.6-5.925%
Season away (7)63.070.7133.7-7.729%
Last 10 (10)62.873.6136.4-10.820%
Last 5 (5)67.876.4144.2-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)64.276.5140.8-12.20%
vs Similar (9)64.173.6137.7-9.422%
vs Weaker (8)63.557.2120.8+6.275%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus Bologna WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perfumerias Avenida W
#9
W
62-58
62
58
+4
57avg 66
A20/12
Euroleague Women
Schio W
#2
W
79-76
79
76
+3
78avg 66
A27/12
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#2
L
67-76
67
76
-9
60avg 66
H07/01
Coppa Italia Women
ESB Villeneuve W
#5
W
65-62
65
62
+3
49avg 66
H10/01
Euroleague Women
Ragusa W
#6
W
69-60
69
60
+9
71avg 66
A14/01
Serie A1 W
CBK Mersin W
#7
L
61-64
61
64
-3
55avg 66
A17/01
Euroleague Women
Brixia W
#10
W
70-34
70
34
+36
62avg 66
A21/01
Serie A1 W
USK Prague W
#2
L
61-69
61
69
-8
50avg 66
A24/01
Euroleague Women
Battipaglia W
#12
W
95-47
95
47
+48
98avg 66
H27/01
Serie A1 W
Landes W
#14
W
74-66
74
66
+8
72avg 66
H30/01
Euroleague Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
15-9
9-17
25-15
30-15
14-32
15-14
20-15
16-19
18-19
18-25
15-13
22-16
16-20
15-14
12-12
17-21
24-17
18-8
10-14
19-23
13-13
15-15
14-13
21-10
23-9
14-7
12-8
26-26
6-17
9-18
20-8
20-14
23-11
29-12
23-10
19-18
15-18
24-12
16-18
131.5Avg total
70.3Scored
61.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.560.5135.0+13.980%
Season at home (7)80.061.3141.3+18.786%
Season away (8)69.659.9129.5+9.875%
Last 10 (10)70.361.2131.5+9.170%
Last 5 (5)72.256.0128.2+16.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.079.5144.5-14.50%
vs Similar (10)71.071.6142.6-0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)74.860.7135.5+14.182%
This opponent (Faenza W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +4.1+4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +4.1+4.1
Faenza WVirtus Bologna W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Faenza WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Schio W
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H17/11
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#5
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A26/11
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#4
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H03/12
Serie A1 W
Oxygen Roma W
#8
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A10/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H17/12
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#6
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A20/12
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A04/01
Coppa Italia Women
Brixia W
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H14/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
W
43-23
43
23
+20
A21/01
Serie A1 W
Sanga Milano W
#13
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H28/01
Serie A1 W
71.8Avg total
34.4Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.135.869.9-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.634.770.3+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)32.536.969.4-4.333%-
Last 10 (10)34.437.471.8-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.674.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.938.674.5-2.733%-
vs Similar (9)32.736.669.2-3.933%-
vs Weaker (8)32.929.462.2+3.575%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus Bologna WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perfumerias Avenida W
#9
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A20/12
Euroleague Women
Schio W
#2
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A27/12
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H07/01
Coppa Italia Women
ESB Villeneuve W
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H10/01
Euroleague Women
Ragusa W
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A14/01
Serie A1 W
CBK Mersin W
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A17/01
Euroleague Women
Brixia W
#10
W
44-19
44
19
+25
A21/01
Serie A1 W
USK Prague W
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A24/01
Euroleague Women
Battipaglia W
#12
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H27/01
Serie A1 W
Landes W
#14
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H30/01
Euroleague Women
71.4Avg total
37.0Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.634.872.4+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.335.474.7+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)35.934.170.1+1.853%-
Last 10 (10)37.034.471.4+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)37.031.868.8+5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)28.546.575.0-18.00%-
vs Similar (10)36.037.973.9-1.940%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)39.831.471.2+8.576%-
This opponent (Faenza W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Faenza Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Faenza W: 62.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.1 points a game
53%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.4
47.3%
45.7%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.55.4
27.7%
32.7%16.2
🏀 Free throws14.511.0
75.9%
74.9%11.0
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bologna Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna W: 69.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.1 points a game
53%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.3
49.9%
45.7%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.6
35.2%
32.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws10.27.7
75.5%
74.9%7.7
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Faenza W
WWLLLLLLLL
Virtus Bologna W
WWLWLWWLWW
#11
League position
#3
-15.2
Net rating
+12.2
84.9
Offensive rating
96.7
100.1
Defensive rating
84.5
45.3%
Effective FG%
50.9%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
25.4%
Turnover %
19.7%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
21.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.17
27.7%
3-point %
35.2%
62.3%
Assist %
65.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence84.9 · 96.7Defence100.1 · 84.5Shooting45.3% · 50.9%3-point %27.7% · 35.2%Ball care25.4% · 19.7%Off. rebounds23.1% · 21.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Faenza W   ■ Virtus Bologna W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Faenza W wins
5
Virtus Bologna W wins
Faenza Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HSanga Milano W77-58
21/01/24ASan Martino W69-61
14/01/24HBrixia W70-86
04/01/24ARagusa W59-83
20/12/23ARagusa W64-94
17/12/23HSassari W68-74
10/12/23AOxygen Roma W54-77
03/12/23HSan Giovanni W56-60
26/11/23ACampobasso W56-61
17/11/23HSchio W55-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/24HLandes W74-66
27/01/24HBattipaglia W95-47
24/01/24AUSK Prague W61-69
21/01/24ABrixia W70-34
17/01/24ACBK Mersin W61-64
14/01/24ARagusa W69-60
10/01/24HESB Villeneuve W65-62
07/01/24HRagusa W67-76
27/12/23ASchio W79-76
20/12/23APerfumerias Avenida W62-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Faenza W
Serie A1 W 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW27%
HomeLLLLW25%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %27%25%29%
Points / game64.866.463.0
Allowed / game71.572.270.7
Point differential-6.7-5.9-7.7
Avg total136.3138.6133.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna W
Serie A1 W 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %80%86%75%
Points / game74.580.069.6
Allowed / game60.561.359.9
Point differential+13.9+18.7+9.8
Avg total135.0141.3129.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%57%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia W1514193%75.858.2+17.6
2 Schio W1613381%76.462.8+13.6
3 Virtus Bologna W1512380%74.560.5+13.9
4 Campobasso W1511473%62.958.5+4.3
5 San Giovanni W1510567%67.364.0+3.3
6 San Martino W148657%72.968.9+4.0
7 Ragusa W147750%71.167.9+3.3
8 Sassari W1661038%65.171.7-6.6
9 Oxygen Roma W145936%65.565.8-0.3
10 Brixia W1551033%63.371.1-7.8
11 Faenza W1541127%64.871.5-6.7
12 Sanga Milano W1521313%61.278.7-17.5
13 Battipaglia W150150%59.380.3-21.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Faenza W191412954
Virtus Bologna W2221151876
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