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Fairfield vs Rider Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 68-62
34-22 34-40
Position#105
Record9-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Position#367
Record1-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.6
Allowed / game75.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Fairfield v Rider
22 Jan 2027
FAIR v RIDE
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
FAIR68
RIDE62
04 Dec 2024
FAIR78
RIDE75
08 Feb 2024
FAIR84
RIDE67
29 Jan 2023
FAIR69
RIDE78
03 Mar 2022
FAIR65
RIDE59
02 Jan 2021
FAIR72
RIDE56
01 Jan 2021
FAIR62
RIDE70
01 Mar 2020
FAIR51
RIDE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fairfield winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rider winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FairfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Columbia
#141
L
77-106
77
106
-29
H27/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H30/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A06/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A07/12
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H14/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A19/12
NCAA
CCNY
#691
W
121-58
121
58
+63
H23/12
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H30/12
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A02/01
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-46
48-60
35-45
37-23
26-31
40-39
30-39
33-35
32-35
41-30
47-26
37-44
61-34
60-24
35-31
31-39
37-39
44-46
41-31
42-44
152.7Avg total
78.6Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.674.2151.9+3.456%
Season at home (7)81.074.3155.3+6.771%
Season away (9)75.074.2149.2+0.844%
Last 10 (10)78.674.1152.7+4.550%
Last 5 (5)87.071.6158.6+15.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)65.875.1140.9-9.225%
vs Similar (9)73.073.4146.4-0.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)80.370.9151.2+9.467%
This opponent (Rider) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#135
L
65-99
65
99
-34
A19/11
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
45-91
45
91
-46
A21/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H26/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A05/12
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A07/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H10/12
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A17/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
79-100
79
100
-21
A23/12
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-44
37-55
25-47
20-44
37-24
28-44
33-37
33-31
20-38
38-34
16-26
22-25
25-31
32-34
36-45
43-55
37-33
34-41
31-40
34-34
137.1Avg total
60.9Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)61.675.7137.3-14.18%
Season at home (5)65.064.2129.2+0.820%
Season away (8)59.582.9142.4-23.40%
Last 10 (10)60.976.2137.1-15.30%
Last 5 (5)62.072.8134.8-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)65.575.6141.0-10.127%
vs Similar (6)61.267.2128.3-6.033%
vs Weaker (1)78.050.0128.0+28.0100%
This opponent (Fairfield) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: -7.7-7.72nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -7.6-7.6
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: -7.7-7.72nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -7.6-7.6
FairfieldRider
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
FairfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Columbia
#141
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H27/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H30/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A06/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A07/12
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H14/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A19/12
NCAA
CCNY
#691
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H23/12
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H30/12
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A02/01
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A04/01
NCAA
73.0Avg total
37.3Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.434.969.3-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.535.570.0-1.138%-
Last 30 away (17)34.434.468.8-0.135%-
Last 10 (10)37.335.773.0+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.232.276.4+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)29.836.866.6-6.98%-
vs Similar (9)37.033.470.4+3.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)37.933.971.8+4.056%-
This opponent (Rider) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#135
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A19/11
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A21/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A05/12
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A07/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
L
16-26
16
26
-10
H10/12
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A17/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A23/12
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H30/12
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H04/01
NCAA
65.3Avg total
28.8Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.635.767.3-4.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.432.164.6+0.350%-
Last 30 away (16)30.938.869.6-7.912%-
Last 10 (10)28.836.565.3-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)29.035.064.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)31.837.469.1-5.627%-
vs Similar (6)28.231.259.3-3.033%-
vs Weaker (1)44.025.069.0+19.0100%-
This opponent (Fairfield) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Fairfield wins
3
Rider wins
DateGameScore
22/02/25Rider v Fairfield49-69
05/12/24Fairfield v Rider78-75
09/02/24Fairfield v Rider84-67
03/12/23Rider v Fairfield81-88
11/02/23Rider v Fairfield58-57
29/01/23Fairfield v Rider69-78 OT
04/03/22Fairfield v Rider65-59
29/01/22Rider v Fairfield65-76
02/01/21Fairfield v Rider72-56
01/01/21Fairfield v Rider62-70
Fairfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26ANiagara83-75
02/01/26ACanisius81-85
30/12/25HSt. Peters66-70
23/12/25HCCNY121-58
19/12/25ACentral Connecticut State84-70
14/12/25HMonmouth73-65
07/12/25AMerrimack Warriors63-74
06/12/25AManhattan66-70
30/11/25HNew Hampshire Wildcats72-68
27/11/25HColumbia77-106
Riderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HSiena65-74
30/12/25HManhattan71-74
23/12/25AVCU Rams79-100
17/12/25ADelaware57-65
10/12/25HBucknell38-51
07/12/25AQuinnipiac58-72
05/12/25AMerrimack Warriors66-68
26/11/25HCoppin State65-68
21/11/25AHouston45-91
19/11/25ATexas65-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fairfield
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayLLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %56%71%44%
Points / game77.681.075.0
Allowed / game74.274.374.2
Point differential+3.4+6.7+0.8
Avg total151.9155.3149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%14%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %6%14%0%
Rider
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %8%20%0%
Points / game61.665.059.5
Allowed / game75.764.282.9
Point differential-14.1+0.8-23.4
Avg total137.3129.2142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quinnipiac1611569%77.972.6+5.3
2 Siena1510567%70.065.3+4.7
3 Marist149564%72.161.9+10.3
4 Iona1610662%76.177.6-1.4
5 St. Peters127558%72.268.6+3.6
6 Fairfield169756%77.674.2+3.4
7 Merrimack Warriors169756%66.971.2-4.3
8 Canisius157847%63.271.5-8.3
9 Manhattan167944%77.281.7-4.4
10 Sacred Heart1651131%74.877.2-2.4
11 Mount St. Mary's1651131%68.275.1-6.9
12 Niagara1441029%63.774.6-10.9
13 Rider131128%61.675.7-14.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fairfield343468
Rider224062
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