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Niagara vs Fairfield Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 75-83
31-41 44-42
Position#351
Record4-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game62.8
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#105
Record8-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game74.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Niagara v Fairfield
04 Jan 2026
NIAG75
FAIR83
12 Jan 2024
NIAG96
FAIR72
24 Feb 2023
NIAG76
FAIR68
05 Dec 2021
NIAG71
FAIR81
19 Dec 2020
NIAG81
FAIR61
18 Dec 2020
NIAG68
FAIR51
03 Jan 2020
NIAG75
FAIR66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niagara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fairfield winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NiagaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Moyne
#240
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A18/11
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
42-100
42
100
-58
A22/11
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A22/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H29/11
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
54-83
54
83
-29
A06/12
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
43-71
43
71
-28
A07/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A13/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
58-84
58
84
-26
A16/12
NCAA
Houghton
#433
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H20/12
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H02/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-32
36-42
19-47
23-53
37-29
33-51
29-38
37-32
21-46
33-37
19-32
24-39
33-35
40-46
34-37
24-47
41-20
40-38
32-24
32-37
138.1Avg total
61.9Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)62.873.9136.8-11.131%
Season at home (4)69.861.5131.2+8.275%
Season away (9)59.879.4139.2-19.711%
Last 10 (10)61.976.2138.1-14.320%
Last 5 (5)63.871.0134.8-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)62.375.9138.2-13.612%
vs Similar (11)70.371.6141.9-1.436%
vs Weaker (2)67.561.5129.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Fairfield) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FairfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Moyne
#240
W
97-83
97
83
+14
A22/11
NCAA
Columbia
#141
L
77-106
77
106
-29
H27/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H30/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A06/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A07/12
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H14/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A19/12
NCAA
CCNY
#691
W
121-58
121
58
+63
H23/12
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H30/12
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A02/01
NCAA
1H
2H
56-38
41-45
29-46
48-60
35-45
37-23
26-31
40-39
30-39
33-35
32-35
41-30
47-26
37-44
61-34
60-24
35-31
31-39
37-39
44-46
154.9Avg total
80.0Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.374.2151.5+3.153%
Season at home (7)81.074.3155.3+6.771%
Season away (8)74.074.1148.1-0.138%
Last 10 (10)80.074.9154.9+5.150%
Last 5 (5)85.069.6154.6+15.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)65.875.1140.9-9.225%
vs Similar (9)73.073.4146.4-0.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)78.671.2149.8+7.356%
This opponent (Niagara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -4.3-4.31st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: -10.0-10.02nd half: +2.7+2.7
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -4.3-4.31st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: -10.0-10.02nd half: +2.7+2.7
NiagaraFairfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NiagaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Moyne
#240
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A18/11
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
19-47
19
47
-28
A22/11
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A22/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H29/11
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
21-46
21
46
-25
A06/12
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
19-32
19
32
-13
A07/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A13/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A16/12
NCAA
Houghton
#433
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H02/01
NCAA
63.7Avg total
29.7Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.834.364.1-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.931.864.8+1.150%-
Last 30 away (18)27.835.963.7-8.117%-
Last 10 (10)29.734.063.7-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)31.829.661.4+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)29.034.963.9-5.925%-
vs Similar (11)29.835.164.9-5.327%-
vs Weaker (2)31.032.063.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Fairfield) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FairfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Moyne
#240
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A22/11
NCAA
Columbia
#141
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H27/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H30/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A06/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A07/12
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H14/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A19/12
NCAA
CCNY
#691
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H23/12
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H30/12
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A02/01
NCAA
75.2Avg total
38.8Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.135.169.2-1.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.335.669.9-1.336%-
Last 30 away (16)33.934.668.6-0.731%-
Last 10 (10)38.836.475.2+2.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.433.075.4+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)29.836.866.6-6.98%-
vs Similar (9)37.033.470.4+3.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)36.934.471.3+2.444%-
This opponent (Niagara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Niagara wins
4
Fairfield wins
DateGameScore
17/01/25Fairfield v Niagara70-66
17/02/24Fairfield v Niagara63-65
13/01/24Niagara v Fairfield96-72
25/02/23Niagara v Fairfield76-68
07/01/23Fairfield v Niagara69-77 OT
12/02/22Fairfield v Niagara73-53
05/12/21Niagara v Fairfield71-81
19/12/20Niagara v Fairfield81-61
18/12/20Niagara v Fairfield68-51
22/02/20Fairfield v Niagara61-60
Niagaralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/26HSacred Heart64-61
20/12/25HHoughton81-58
16/12/25AVCU Rams58-84
13/12/25AMorgan State73-81
07/12/25ASt. Peters43-71
06/12/25ASiena54-83
29/11/25HDetroit66-70
22/11/25AHoward70-80
22/11/25ADuke42-100
18/11/25ALe Moyne68-74
Fairfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/26ACanisius81-85
30/12/25HSt. Peters66-70
23/12/25HCCNY121-58
19/12/25ACentral Connecticut State84-70
14/12/25HMonmouth73-65
07/12/25AMerrimack Warriors63-74
06/12/25AManhattan66-70
30/11/25HNew Hampshire Wildcats72-68
27/11/25HColumbia77-106
22/11/25ALe Moyne97-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Niagara
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW31%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1349
Win %31%75%11%
Points / game62.869.859.8
Allowed / game73.961.579.4
Point differential-11.1+8.2-19.7
Avg total136.8131.2139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fairfield
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL53%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%71%38%
Points / game77.381.074.0
Allowed / game74.274.374.1
Point differential+3.1+6.7-0.1
Avg total151.5155.3148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%14%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quinnipiac1510567%77.872.9+4.9
2 Iona1510567%78.777.2+1.5
3 Siena149564%69.765.3+4.4
4 Marist138562%71.363.7+7.6
5 St. Peters127558%72.268.6+3.6
6 Merrimack Warriors169756%66.971.2-4.3
7 Fairfield158753%77.374.2+3.1
8 Canisius157847%63.271.5-8.3
9 Manhattan167944%77.281.7-4.4
10 Mount St. Mary's1551033%68.174.8-6.7
11 Sacred Heart1651131%74.877.2-2.4
12 Niagara134931%62.873.9-11.1
13 Rider121118%61.375.8-14.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Niagara314475
Fairfield414283
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