Fairfield vs Yale Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Dec 2022

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 64-77

29-24 35-53

Position#267

Record4-6

FormLWLWW

Points / game62.3

Allowed / game65.5

Fairfield

Yale 🏆

Position#50

Record8-3

FormLWWLL

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game57.0

NCAA

Other2022-23

Meetings · Fairfield v Yale

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fairfield winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Yale winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fairfield

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Wake Forest

#142

59-71

-12

A08/11

NCAA

New Hampshire

#211

71-83

-12

A11/11

NCAA

Xavier

#46

65-78

-13

A16/11

NCAA

Wagner

#167

52-68

-16

A19/11

NCAA

Towson

#94

74-69

A25/11

NCAA

Mercer

#261

58-60

-2

A27/11

NCAA

Evansville

#365

63-56

A28/11

NCAA

Manhattan

#274

53-56

-3

A02/12

NCAA

St. Peters

#257

67-55

+12

H04/12

NCAA

Sacred Heart

#219

61-59

H08/12

NCAA

25-32

34-39

35-43

36-40

37-35

28-43

23-37

29-31

34-33

40-36

24-24

34-36

28-27

35-29

27-24

26-32

29-22

38-33

32-27

29-32

127.8Avg total

62.3Scored

65.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	62.3	65.5	127.8	-3.2	40%
Season at home (2)	64.0	57.0	121.0	+7.0	100%
Season away (8)	61.9	67.6	129.5	-5.8	25%
Last 10 (10)	62.3	65.5	127.8	-3.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	60.4	57.2	117.6	+3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	68.2	75.8	144.0	-7.5	25%
vs Similar (21)	61.5	64.6	126.0	-3.1	33%
vs Weaker (5)	66.6	62.6	129.2	+4.0	60%

This opponent (Yale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Yale

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

East. Washington

#63

74-60

+14

A12/11

NCAA

Miss. Valley St.

#366

80-51

+29

H14/11

NCAA

Hawaii

#80

62-59 OT

A15/11

NCAA

John Jay

#648

112-55

112

+57

H20/11

NCAA

Vermont

#68

73-44

+29

H23/11

NCAA

Colorado

#192

62-65

-3

A27/11

NCAA

Howard

#99

86-40

+46

H01/12

NCAA

Stony Brook

#313

77-72

A03/12

NCAA

Butler

#256

61-71

-10

A06/12

NCAA

Kentucky

#86

59-69

-10

A10/12

NCAA

32-33

42-27

35-21

45-30

17-16

34-35

66-23

46-32

27-30

46-14

28-38

34-27

47-23

39-17

42-36

35-36

28-37

33-34

27-33

32-36

133.2Avg total

74.6Scored

58.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	76.5	57.0	133.5	+19.5	73%
Season at home (5)	89.4	46.2	135.6	+43.2	100%
Season away (6)	65.8	66.0	131.8	-0.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	74.6	58.6	133.2	+16.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	69.0	63.4	132.4	+5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	67.4	76.8	144.2	-9.4	40%
vs Similar (9)	68.8	64.6	133.3	+4.2	78%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	74.2	60.8	135.0	+13.4	73%

This opponent (Fairfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

FairfieldYale

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

FairfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Wake Forest

#142

25-32

-7

A08/11

NCAA

New Hampshire

#211

35-43

-8

A11/11

NCAA

Xavier

#46

37-35

A16/11

NCAA

Wagner

#167

23-37

-14

A19/11

NCAA

Towson

#94

34-33

A25/11

NCAA

Mercer

#261

24-24

A27/11

NCAA

Evansville

#365

28-27

A28/11

NCAA

Manhattan

#274

27-24

A02/12

NCAA

St. Peters

#257

29-22

H04/12

NCAA

Sacred Heart

#219

32-27

H08/12

NCAA

59.8Avg total

29.4Scored

30.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.6	30.3	60.0	-0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	31.5	29.3	60.8	+2.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	28.2	31.1	59.3	-2.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.4	30.4	59.8	-1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	24.8	52.8	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	35.8	34.0	69.8	+1.8	75%	-
vs Similar (21)	28.4	30.4	58.9	-2.0	48%	-
vs Weaker (5)	29.8	27.0	56.8	+2.8	80%	-

This opponent (Yale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

YaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

East. Washington

#63

32-33

-1

A12/11

NCAA

Miss. Valley St.

#366

35-21

+14

H14/11

NCAA

Hawaii

#80

17-16

A15/11

NCAA

John Jay

#648

66-23

+43

H20/11

NCAA

Vermont

#68

27-30

-3

H23/11

NCAA

Colorado

#192

28-38

-10

A27/11

NCAA

Howard

#99

47-23

+24

H01/12

NCAA

Stony Brook

#313

42-36

A03/12

NCAA

Butler

#256

28-37

-9

A06/12

NCAA

Kentucky

#86

27-33

-6

A10/12

NCAA

63.9Avg total

34.9Scored

29.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	30.7	66.2	+4.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.4	28.7	69.1	+11.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	31.3	32.4	63.8	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	29.0	63.9	+5.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	33.4	67.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.4	37.4	72.8	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar (9)	34.2	29.9	64.1	+4.3	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	34.3	29.5	63.8	+4.9	60%	-

This opponent (Fairfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.3	35.3	68.6	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	32.8	34.1	66.9	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	33.7	36.2	69.9	-2.5	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.9	35.1	68.0	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.4	32.4	64.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	32.5	41.8	74.2	-9.2	25%	-
vs Similar (21)	33.0	34.1	67.2	-1.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	35.2	34.8	70.0	+0.4	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	33.4	70.2	+3.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	31.6	70.7	+7.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.8	35.1	69.8	-0.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	28.8	67.4	+9.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	30.0	64.6	+4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	32.0	39.4	71.4	-7.4	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	34.6	34.7	69.2	-0.1	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	39.1	30.8	69.9	+8.3	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Fairfield wins

Yale wins

Date	Game	Score
14/03/12	Fairfield v Yale	68-56

Fairfieldlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/22	H	Sacred Heart	61-59
04/12/22	H	St. Peters	67-55
02/12/22	A	Manhattan	53-56
28/11/22	A	Evansville	63-56
27/11/22	A	Mercer	58-60
25/11/22	A	Towson	74-69
19/11/22	A	Wagner	52-68
16/11/22	A	Xavier	65-78
11/11/22	A	New Hampshire	71-83
08/11/22	A	Wake Forest	59-71

Yalelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/12/22	A	Kentucky	59-69
06/12/22	A	Butler	61-71
03/12/22	A	Stony Brook	77-72
01/12/22	H	Howard	86-40
27/11/22	A	Colorado	62-65
23/11/22	H	Vermont	73-44
20/11/22	H	John Jay	112-55
15/11/22	A	Hawaii	62-59 OT
14/11/22	H	Miss. Valley St.	80-51
12/11/22	A	East. Washington	74-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fairfield

NCAA 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	40%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LWLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	2	8
Win %	40%	100%	25%
Points / game	62.3	64.0	61.9
Allowed / game	65.5	57.0	67.6
Point differential	-3.2	+7.0	-5.8
Avg total	127.8	121.0	129.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	100% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Yale

NCAA 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	73%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	73%	100%	50%
Points / game	76.5	89.4	65.8
Allowed / game	57.0	46.2	66.0
Point differential	+19.5	+43.2	-0.2
Avg total	133.5	135.6	131.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	55%	100%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	-	67% (3)
Overtime %	9%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Iona	8	6	2	75%	78.4	63.0	+15.4
2	Quinnipiac	11	8	3	73%	73.0	68.0	+5.0
3	Niagara	9	5	4	56%	65.1	66.0	-0.9
4	Rider	8	4	4	50%	73.1	69.2	+3.9
5	Siena	10	5	5	50%	71.1	70.7	+0.4
6	Mount St. Mary's	11	5	6	45%	65.6	65.2	+0.5
7	St. Peters	9	4	5	44%	66.9	66.4	+0.4
8	Marist	9	4	5	44%	62.2	63.2	-1.0
9	Sacred Heart	12	5	7	42%	71.7	74.2	-2.6
10	Fairfield	10	4	6	40%	62.3	65.5	-3.2
11	Manhattan	9	3	6	33%	70.7	73.4	-2.8
12	Canisius	9	2	7	22%	72.7	75.6	-2.9
13	Merrimack Warriors	13	2	11	15%	56.0	66.1	-10.1

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Ivy League conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Princeton	10	8	2	80%	77.1	62.9	+14.2
2	Cornell	9	7	2	78%	85.1	72.1	+13.0
3	Yale	11	8	3	73%	76.5	57.0	+19.5
4	Harvard	10	7	3	70%	69.7	63.4	+6.3
5	Brown	11	6	5	55%	64.0	64.5	-0.5
6	Penn	13	6	7	46%	72.6	74.0	-1.4
7	Dartmouth	11	4	7	36%	72.2	68.3	+3.9
8	Columbia	13	4	9	31%	69.3	71.6	-2.3