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Afyon Belediye vs OGM Ormanspor Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 91-114
27-25 22-29 18-29 24-31
Position#9
Record12-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#16
Record6-21
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game88.1
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 28
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Afyon Belediye v OGM Ormanspor
27 Apr 2021
ABE91
OOR114
29 Mar 2020
ABE v OOR
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afyon Belediye winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
OGM Ormanspor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#4
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A06/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
L
83-95
83
95
-12
A28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
103-85
103
85
+18
H07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
87-97
87
97
-10
H28/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
L
70-110
70
110
-40
A04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
24-20
15-18
25-18
19-21
19-13
17-24
25-21
28-22
31-24
15-25
12-18
16-25
22-19
20-23
19-22
29-21
20-30
19-22
15-22
22-24
30-27
20-7
31-27
15-22
26-10
16-17
12-26
13-23
22-21
23-14
17-23
27-28
12-28
19-21
29-20
24-31
20-21
16-35
10-23
169.8Avg total
81.5Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.786.0167.7-4.344%
Season at home (13)82.582.2164.7+0.254%
Season away (14)81.089.5170.5-8.536%
Last 10 (10)81.588.3169.8-6.830%
Last 5 (5)80.889.6170.4-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)79.085.6164.6-6.628%
vs Similar (10)80.882.3163.1-1.560%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)95.092.5187.5+2.550%
This opponent (OGM Ormanspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OGM OrmansporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
A23/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#5
L
68-92
68
92
-24
H01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
L
89-98
89
98
-9
A07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
L
68-90
68
90
-22
A13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
L
90-97
90
97
-7
H20/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
65-92
65
92
-27
A27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H03/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
16-25
10-25
31-15
23-25
16-19
16-18
13-30
27-29
15-28
22-19
25-22
10-23
23-20
25-26
23-13
19-20
10-20
22-21
25-22
22-24
28-24
12-18
15-10
20-18
20-23
14-19
14-30
19-25
23-28
27-24
21-20
14-24
23-18
15-28
13-22
22-21
10-20
25-27
17-17
165.3Avg total
76.3Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.388.1165.4-10.922%
Season at home (14)77.986.4164.4-8.529%
Season away (13)76.590.0166.5-13.515%
Last 10 (10)76.389.0165.3-12.710%
Last 5 (5)74.888.0162.8-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)76.888.6165.4-11.820%
vs Similar (5)83.690.6174.2-7.040%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
Afyon BelediyeOGM Ormanspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A06/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H28/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
89.7Avg total
44.0Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.484.8-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.941.382.3-0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)41.845.587.3-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)44.045.789.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.247.089.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.643.783.3-4.139%-
vs Similar (10)44.241.485.6+2.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)43.051.094.0-8.00%-
This opponent (OGM Ormanspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OGM OrmansporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A23/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H20/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H03/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.2Avg total
37.8Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.745.885.6-6.123%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.244.784.9-4.527%-
Last 30 away (15)39.346.986.2-7.720%-
Last 10 (10)37.846.484.2-8.610%-
Last 5 (5)40.245.085.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)39.645.985.5-6.224%-
vs Similar (5)40.245.685.8-5.420%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.221.5
49.8%
53.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.49.2
41.1%
36.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws12.99.9
76.7%
74.6%9.9
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
OGM Ormansportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

OGM Ormanspor: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.1
51.8%
53.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.1
29.6%
36.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.214.0
72.9%
74.6%14.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Afyon Belediye
LLLLWLLLWW
OGM Ormanspor
LLLLWLLLLL
#9
League position
#16
-9.3
Net rating
-17.3
107.1
Offensive rating
102.9
116.4
Defensive rating
120.3
53.8%
Effective FG%
49.0%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
59.9%
19.5%
Turnover %
16.0%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.31
41.1%
3-point %
29.6%
71.0%
Assist %
65.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 102.9Defence116.4 · 120.3Shooting53.8% · 49.0%3-point %41.1% · 29.6%Ball care19.5% · 16.0%Off. rebounds30.0% · 25.3%Free throws0.20 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Afyon Belediye   ■ OGM Ormanspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Afyon Belediye wins
1
OGM Ormanspor wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/21AGalatasaray70-110
28/03/21HFenerbahce87-97
21/03/21ABursaspor75-81
13/03/21HKarsiyaka69-75
07/03/21HAnadolu Efes103-85
28/02/21ABuyukcekmece83-95
09/02/21HBahcesehir Kol.77-89
06/02/21ATurk Telekom86-89
30/01/21HDarussafaka80-79
24/01/21ATofas85-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/21HBuyukcekmece74-85
27/03/21ABahcesehir Kol.65-92
20/03/21HTurk Telekom90-97
13/03/21ADarussafaka68-90
06/03/21HTofas77-76
27/02/21APetkim Spor76-83
11/02/21HGaziantep81-82
07/02/21AFethiye Bld.89-98
01/02/21HBesiktas68-92
23/01/21AAnadolu Efes75-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL44%
HomeWLWLL54%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %44%54%36%
Points / game81.782.581.0
Allowed / game86.082.289.5
Point differential-4.3+0.2-8.5
Avg total167.7164.7170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%23%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
OGM Ormanspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL22%
HomeLLWLL29%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %22%29%15%
Points / game77.377.976.5
Allowed / game88.186.490.0
Point differential-10.9-8.5-13.5
Avg total165.4164.4166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes2827196%89.075.3+13.7
2 Fenerbahce2821775%87.175.9+11.2
3 Karsiyaka2820871%83.877.8+6.0
4 Tofas29181162%86.381.3+5.0
5 Besiktas28171161%85.181.4+3.6
6 Turk Telekom29171259%83.081.5+1.5
7 Darussafaka29161355%83.079.6+3.4
8 Gaziantep28131546%74.875.6-0.9
9 Afyon Belediye27121544%81.786.0-4.3
10 Bursaspor29121741%79.384.0-4.7
11 Galatasaray29111838%83.786.5-2.9
12 Bahcesehir Kol.28101836%81.081.9-0.8
13 Buyukcekmece29101934%80.687.0-6.4
14 Petkim Spor2992031%79.081.6-2.6
15 Fethiye Bld.2982128%76.387.2-11.0
16 OGM Ormanspor2762122%77.388.1-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Afyon Belediye2722182491
OGM Ormanspor25292931114
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